Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
Europe - Champions League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Champions League Predictions
Could we see an all-Spanish Champions League semi-final? Real Madrid are hoping to progress from this last eight tie but travel to Bayern Munich 2-1 down from the first leg. Can the Whites win in Germany? Read our match prediction below.
The winners of this tie will face either Atletico Madrid or Barcelona in the last four. Atletico won the away first leg of that tie 2-0. Real Madriid would love to face the winners but they have a huge task in this game to do so. They lost the home leg 2-1 but that Mbappe goal in the second half has given the Kings of Europe some chance of making it into another UCL semi-final. Their current form is not good though.
Bayern Munich have been highly impressive in this season's Champions League with only one defeat. They had another comprehensive win at the weekend and are well clear at the top of the German Bundesliga. As you will read in the form section of this preview, they are an incredibly difficult side to beat on home soil and with a one-goal advantage from the first leg will be confident of reaching the last four.
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Bayern Munich v Real Madrid Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.54 | 5.6 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.52 | 5.65 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.51 | 5.55 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.5 | 6 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.53 | 5.4 | 4.6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Bayern Munich and Real Madrid?
Our prediction for the Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid match is: Bayern Munich wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/04/2026 between Bayern Munich and Real Madrid in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 61% for a win of Bayern Munich against Real Madrid with odds of 1.57 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid is 10.07% with odds of 6 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.93% chance ⭐ for a win of Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich with odds of 4.89 at 888Starz.
Bayern Munich - Real Madrid Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bayern Munich Real Madrid Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich wins | 61% | 1.57 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 78.86% | |
| Both Team To Score | 72.92% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Bayern Munich/Bayern Munich | 33.87% | 2.1 at Bet365 |
Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid Form
Bayern Munich and Real Madrid Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Apr 2026 - Champions League
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
6 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal
8 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Apr 2026 - Champions League
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
7 Apr 2026 - Champions League
4 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
14 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
7 Apr 2026 - Champions League
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
14 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
2 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
6 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
21 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Apr 2026 - Champions League
8 May 2024 - Champions League
30 Apr 2024 - Champions League
20 Jul 2019 - International Champions Cup
1 May 2018 - Champions League
25 Apr 2018 - Champions League
Bayern Munich - Real Madrid: Form Analysis
Bayern Munich have won all five of their home games in this season's UCL. The Bavarians beat Chelsea, Club Brugge, Sporting and USG in the league phase, scoring 12 goals and conceding only twice. In the last 16, they beat Atalanta 4-1 to complete a 10-2 aggregate victory..
Last week saw them take control of this quarter-final tie with a 2-1 win in Madrid. They won't be too happy about conceding the late goal that has given Real a better chance of clawing back their deficit.
The weekend saw the Reds win 5-0 at St Pauli. They are 12 points clear at the top of the German Bundesliga and have already scored 105 league goals. Their last five matches in all competitions have been won with 18 goals scored. Bayern are unbeaten in their last 15 matches, winning 13 of them. Each of their last six home matches has been won with four goals being scored in each of the last three.
Real are struggling to get wins at present.
Real Madrid are second in La Liga, nine points behind Barcelona. The Whites have gone three games without a win. Their domestic title hopes suffered another blow on Friday when they were held to a 1-1 draw by Girona.
In the UCL this season, Real Madrid won two away games in the league phase. However, they also lost at Liverpool and Benfica. They finished ninth in the league phase (six points and seven places below Bayern) and beat Manchester City in the last 16, winning the away leg 2-1.
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Bayern Munich against Real Madrid Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
J. Urbig
L. Prescott
DefenderK. Min-jae
H. Ito
R. Guerreiro
A. Davies
L. Goretzka
J. Musiala
N. Jackson
J. Navarro
F. Gonzalez
DefenderF. Garcia
A. Carreras
D. Alaba
D. Carvajal
D. Huijsen
MidfielderE. Camavinga
D. Ceballos
T. Pitarch Pinar
G. Garcia
F. Mastantuono
Missing players
S. Ulreich
MidfielderD. Daiber
L. Karl
T. Courtois
MidfielderA. Tchouameni
ForwardRodrygo
Bayern Munich & Real Madrid Squad Analysis
Winning the UCL this season means everything to Bayern Munich. The Bavarians are almost certainly going to win the German Bundesliga this season so they were able to make seven changes for their weekend game against St Paul and still won 5-0.
They will welcome their top players back for this game against Real Madrid. That includes Harry Kane who made his return from injury in the first leg. Serge Gnabry has had a knee problem and wasn't risked against St Pauli.
He is expected to be fit enough to play against Real on Wednesday. If he is absent, Jamal Musiala is his likely replacement. Not playing on Wednesday will be Lennart Karl who has a thigh injury
Mbappe will be fit to play.
Real Madrid had a bit of a scare on Friday when Kylian Mbappe (scorer of their goal in the first leg) missed training. He was still recovering after an elbow hit him in the head in Friday's disappointing draw against Girona. He was back in training on Monday.
Suspended for this match is Aurelien Tchouameni and Real will still be missing Rodrygo and Thibaut Courtois.
Most goals and assists
Bayern Munich
Real Madrid
H. Kane
(14 Goals)
K. Mbappe
(15 Goals)
M. Olise
(5 Assists)
Vinicius Junior
(6 Assists)
Bayern Munich - Real Madrid Key Points
- Bayern won the away leg 2-1.
- Real have only won one of their last five games against Bayern.
- Real have gone three games without a win.
- Bayern Munich are unbeaten in their last 15 matches.
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Our Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid Prediction
Bayern Munich will be going all out to finish off the job they started so well in Madrid. They lead this quarter-final tie 2-1 from the away leg and are in excellent form. They just keep on winning games at present with goals aplenty.
Real Madrid are looking to end a run of three games without a win. Their La Liga title hopes are rapidly diminishing after just one point from their last two games. Two of their last four away fixtures have ended in defeat. Our main Bayern Munich v Real Madrid prediction is Bayern Munich wins.
Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid Alternative Predictions
BTTS and more than 2.5
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bayern Munich Real Madrid
| Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich wins | 1.7 | 1.57 | -7.6% |
| Draw | 5.25 | 6 | +14.3% |
| Real Madrid wins | 4.22 | 4.89 | +15.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bayern Munich is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 7.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 58.8% and is now 63.7% (4.9%)
Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
