Europe - Champions League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Champions League Predictions
It's a blockbuster clash in Bavaria as UEFA Champions League heavyweights Bayern Munich and Chelsea clash on matchday one of the 2025-26 campaign. This game on Wednesday between the Bavarians and the Blues comes with our prediction of over 3.5 goals. With both teams among the top favorites to proceed deep in the competition, this match is likely to entertain neutrals.
Bayern have made a flying start to their campaign, winning all five of their competitive matches. That included winning both home matches by scoring 11 goals, which promised another high-scoring fixture. Playing at home usually brings the best out of Bayern, winning 13 of their last 17 Champions League matches at this venue.
Chelsea are back in the Champions League after a two-year absence but have shown their pedigree on the international stage. Not only have they won the Conference League, but they have also won the FIFA Club World Cup in the off-season. The Blues have a team that can test any club, which makes the fixture an interesting contest. Read further to understand our form analysis, team news, and match predictions.
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The Best Betting Odds for Bayern Munich v Chelsea Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.65 | 4.2 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.67 | 4.33 | 5 |
|
|
1.65 | 4.2 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.67 | 4.2 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.64 | 4.35 | 4.7 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bayern Munich and Chelsea?
Our prediction for the Bayern Munich vs Chelsea match is: over 3.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/09/2025 between Bayern Munich and Chelsea in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 61.36% for a win of Bayern Munich against Chelsea with odds of 1.71 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bayern Munich vs Chelsea is 11.26% with odds of 4.4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 27.38% chance ⭐ for a win of Chelsea vs Bayern Munich with odds of 5 at Betfred.
Bayern Munich vs Chelsea Form
Bayern Munich and Chelsea Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga
30 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
27 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
22 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2025 - Super Cup
12 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
7 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Aug 2025 - Telekom Cup
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
27 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
16 Aug 2025 - Super Cup
12 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
29 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sep 2025 - Premier League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
22 Aug 2025 - Premier League
17 Aug 2025 - Premier League
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
17 Aug 2025 - Premier League
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
16 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sep 2025 - Premier League
22 Aug 2025 - Premier League
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
4 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
28 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
Bayern Munich vs Chelsea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 Aug 2020 - Champions League
25 Feb 2020 - Champions League
25 Jul 2017 - International Champions Cup
Bayern Munich - Chelsea: Form Analysis
Bayern Munich lost in the quarter-finals last year and will hope to go further this year. The Bavarians are in cracking form coming into this tournament, and their recent results are a strong indicator. Bayern have won their last five competitive matches, including winning the Super Cup.
The hosts won 5-0 at this venue against Hamburger in the Bundesliga last weekend. That was a second win in a row at the Allianz Arena, scoring 11 goals in the process and conceding none!
Bayern lost only one of their recent 17 home matches in the Champions League.
That sequence included 13 wins and three draws, but Chelsea will hope they can change the trend. Chelsea came here on the back of a 2-2 away draw at Brentford in the Premier League, but it was points lost conceding late in the game.
That extended their unbeaten start to this competitive campaign (W2, D2), but interestingly, all four games have been played in London! As they move out of the capital city for the first time this season, fans will hope they can recreate their Club World Cup form.
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Bayern Munich vs Chelsea last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
H. Ito
MidfielderJ. Musiala
A. Davies
B. Badiashile
L. Colwill
MidfielderD. Essugo
ForwardM. Mudryk
Estevao
L. Delap
Bayern Munich & Chelsea Squad Analysis
Bayern received an injury setback in their last match against Hamburger, as Raphael Guerreiro picked up an injury after coming on as a substitute. He is more likely to miss this game, while Jamal Musiala is also out for the long term.
The Bavarians are set to start in their usual 4-2-3-1 formation with Harry Kane set to lead the attack despite Nicolas Jackson being eligible to face his parent club. Leon Goretzka could come back into the playing side after being stayed at the weekend.
Kane has six goals and three assists in his four competitive games for Bayern this season.
Chelsea have their own set of problems ahead of this trip, as Joao Pedro and Reece James are doubtful to start. Compounding their misery, Estevao is struggling from the injury he picked up during international duty.
That could mean Enzo Maresca will have to make a decision on his frontline, with Marc Guiu or Tyrique George likely to lead the line. There's a chance for Alejandro Garnacho to start on the left flank of their 4-2-3-1 formation, although he was at fault for Brentford's late equalizer in their last game.
Most goals and assists
Bayern Munich
Chelsea
H. Kane
(7 Goals)
E. Fernandez
(2 Goals)
, 
Joao Pedro
(2 Goals)
, 
M. Caicedo
(2 Goals)
H. Kane
(3 Assists)
Joao Pedro
(3 Assists)
Bayern Munich - Chelsea Key Points
- Bayern’s four recent matches have returned at least five goals.
- In two of their last four home Champions League matches, Bayern scored three goals.
- Two of the last three matches between these sides produced five goals each, although played between 2017 and 2020.
- Chelsea scored 2+ goals in their last three competitive matches.
- There have been four or more goals scored in two of their last three matches.
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Our Bayern Munich vs Chelsea Prediction
Chelsea have so many options in their squad that it's difficult to write them off, even against Bayern Munich. The Bavarians look set for a deep run in this campaign, especially as their scoring record has been on the up this season. They have scored 17 goals in their last four matches and will look to continue the same run. Chelsea have been no less, scoring nine goals across their last three fixtures.
Goals look more likely than ever to flow here, and our Bayern Munich vs Chelsea prediction is over 3.5.
Bayern Munich vs Chelsea - Other Interesting Predictions
Cole Palmer to score anytime
Having missed international action for England due to a groin injury, Cole Palmer got back into the Chelsea side with a goal against Brentford. He could be the focal point of the Blues' attacks and find a goal here. Back Cole Palmer to score for Chelsea.
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Bayern Munich vs Chelsea match : Frequently asked questions
The Bayern Munich vs Chelsea UEFA Champions League match is set to be played at Allianz Arena in Munich. This venue in Bavaria has a 75,000 capacity for domestic matches and 70,000 for international games. Home for Bayern Munich, it is the first stadium in the world with a “full color-changing exterior”. Bayern have been playing their home games at this venue since the start of the 2005-06 campaign, having played their matches at the Munich Olympic Stadium since 1972.
The Bayern Munich vs Chelsea UEFA Champions League match is set to be shown on TNT Sports 2 in the UK. Subscribers can access the game online on the Discovery+ app on their tablet or phone. In Germany, it is shown live on DAZN and ZDF.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our UEFA Champions League Livescore page!
Let's start with Bayern Munich. They are going to face Pafos (away), Club Brugge (home), Paris Saint-Germain (away), Arsenal (away), Sporting CP (home), Union Saint-Gilloise (home), and PSV Eindhoven (away).
Chelsea's fixtures are the ones we shall look at now. The visitors will next face – in that order – Benfica (home), Ajax (home), Qarabag (away), Barcelona (home), Atalanta (away), Pafos (home), and Napoli (away).
This is the second season for the new format, as 36 teams start the League phase with four matches at home and four on the road. The top eight ranked teams from this phase will receive a bye to the round of 16. The teams ranked from 9th to 24th will play in the knockout phase play-offs. Among these, the teams from 9th to 16th are seeded, while the others are unseeded. Teams that are ranked from 25th to 36th will be eliminated from all eliminations, as no drop down to the Europa League is on offer for the teams.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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