Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Bayer Leverkusen will hope to get their first points of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season with a win against Union Berlin at home on matchday two. This match at BayArena on Saturday between the 12th-placed ‘Factory XI’ and the 8th-placed ‘Iron Ones’ is likely to be a keen tussle, with BTTS being our match prediction.
Leverkusen were one of the seven sides to have started this league campaign with a loss, while Union were one of the four teams to have drawn their first game.
A 3-2 away defeat to newcomers Elversberg rocked Leverkusen on matchday one. Both their goals have come beyond the 75th minute, as the team were completely overwhelmed for their second defeat in the last four games (W2).
Coming back to home isn’t a cause of happiness, as Leverkusen have just two wins from their last eight competitive games here (W1, D5, L2), raising concerns over another slip-up.
Union snatched a point at home against Eintracht Frankfurt on matchday one, coming back from 3-1 down to draw 3-3. It extended their unbeaten run in the league to four matches (W2, D2), but they need to translate that to road form.
The ‘Iron Ones’ have lost six of their last eight Bundesliga trips last term and also failed to win their last nine league visits here (D3, L6).
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Bayer Leverkusen v Union Berlin Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.36 | 6.00 | 8.00 |
|
|
1.37 | 5.68 | 8.12 |
|
|
1.34 | 5.65 | 7.70 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.60 | 8.00 |
|
|
1.34 | 5.55 | 7.90 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bayer Leverkusen and Union Berlin?
Our prediction for the Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/09/2026 between Bayer Leverkusen and Union Berlin in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 60.01% for a win of Bayer Leverkusen against Union Berlin with odds of 1.39 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin is 23.86% with odds of 6 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 16.13% chance ⭐ for a win of Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen with odds of 8.3 at Betsson.
Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bayer Leverkusen Union Berlin Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen wins | 60.01% | 1.39 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.66% | 1.42 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score | 62.92% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Bayer Leverkusen/Bayer Leverkusen | 23.7% | 1.98 at Betsson |
Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin Form
Bayer Leverkusen and Union Berlin's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +7 |
|
17
|
5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -12 |
Bayer Leverkusen and Union Berlin Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
16 May 2026 - Bundesliga
2 May 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Apr 2026 - DFB Pokal
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
16 May 2026 - Bundesliga
2 May 2026 - Bundesliga
18 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
30 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
6 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
12 Nov 2023 - Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen against Union Berlin Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
J. Blaswich
DefenderL. Bade
T. Oermann
L. Vazquez
R. Andrich
J. Hofmann
ForwardM. Diaby
C. Kofane
V. Boniface
M. Raab
DefenderC. Trimmel
D. Kohn
L. Querfeld
MidfielderA. Schafer
J. Woo-yeong
T. Skarke
J. Haberer
R. Skov
Missing players
G. Doue
ForwardN. Tella
S. Nsoki
A. Markgraf
Most goals and assists
Bayer Leverkusen
Union Berlin
P. Schick
(6 Goals)
T. Skarke
(2 Goals)
M. Gutierrez
(3 Assists)
,
P. Schick
(3 Assists)
J. Juranovic
(2 Assists)
Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin Key Points
- Ten of Leverkusen’s last 11 league games saw BTTS.
- Leverkusen’s last six home league games saw both teams score goals.
- Union’s last eight matches saw both teams score goals.
- Seven of Union’s last eight league games also saw both teams score.
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Our Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin Prediction
The surprise defeat on matchday one must have shook Leverkusen up, coming as it did against Bundesliga newcomers. The home fans will demand a response against a side they defeated in five of the last eight league head-to-head outings. Union had a thrilling draw on matchday one and will look to extend Leverkusen’s misery, at least on the defensive front.
This match historically hasn’t produced goals, but this time out, both teams will be eager to find the back of the net. Our Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin prediction is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bayer Leverkusen Union Berlin
| Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen wins | 1.55 | 1.39 | -10.3% |
| Draw | 4.90 | 6.00 | +22.4% |
| Union Berlin wins | 5.90 | 8.30 | +40.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bayer Leverkusen is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 10.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 64.5% and is now 71.9% (7.4%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
