Bayer Leverkusen vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Bayer Leverkusen will hope to get back to winning ways in the Bundesliga when they host bottom-half side Mainz in matchday 24 on Saturday. This match in Leverkusen between the sixth-placed ‘Factory XI’ and the 13th-placed ‘05ers’ comes with our prediction of a home win.
Ahead of this round’s fixtures, Leverkusen have 39 points from 22 matches (W12, D3, L7) and are four points behind the top four with a game in hand. Mainz have 22 points from 23 matches (W5, D7, L11) and are two points above the relegation zone.
Leverkusen were held to a 0-0 home draw by Olympiacos on Tuesday in the Champions League, although progressing to the round of 16 on aggregate. In the league, they were beaten 1-0 away at Union Berlin last week.
The hosts will hope for a quick rebound at home, where they have four wins and a draw from their last five competitive matches here.
Mainz drew 1-1 against Hamburg last weekend, bouncing back from the 4-0 drubbing against Dortmund a week before. Having won three games in a row in the league before these two games, Mainz have shown they can win consistently.
It’s their away form that’s a concern, as Mainz had won just one of their last 11 road games in all competitions (D3, L7), six defeats coming in the Bundesliga.
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Bayer Leverkusen v 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.77 | 4 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.72 | 3.96 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.72 | 3.96 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.73 | 4 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.71 | 3.95 | 4.4 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Bayer Leverkusen and 1 Fsv Mainz 05?
Our prediction for the Bayer Leverkusen vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 match is: Bayer Leverkusen wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/02/2026 between Bayer Leverkusen and 1 Fsv Mainz 05 in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.64% for a win of Bayer Leverkusen against 1 Fsv Mainz 05 with odds of 1.78 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bayer Leverkusen vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 is 30.19% with odds of 4.11 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.16% chance ⭐ for a win of 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen with odds of 4.77 at 888Starz.
Bayer Leverkusen - 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bayer Leverkusen 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen wins | 50.64% | 1.78 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.62% | 1.85 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 51.25% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Bayer Leverkusen/Bayer Leverkusen | 19.88% | 2.63 at Bet365 |
Bayer Leverkusen vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Form
Bayer Leverkusen and 1 Fsv Mainz 05's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
59 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | +21 |
|
10
|
40 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -9 |
Bayer Leverkusen and 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Feb 2026 - Champions League
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
18 Feb 2026 - Champions League
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
3 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Feb 2026 - Champions League
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
3 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
18 Feb 2026 - Champions League
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
18 Dec 2025 - Conference League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
Bayer Leverkusen vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
17 May 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
30 Sept 2023 - Bundesliga
19 Feb 2023 - Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen against 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 3 - 2 - 2
Substitutes
J. Omlin
N. Lomb
DefenderT. Oermann
MidfielderI. Maza
A. Tape
A. Garcia
C. Kofane
M. Terrier
M. Culbreath
L. Riess
DefenderM. Leitsch
D. da Costa
L. Maloney
W. Boving
D. Gleiber
ForwardS. Katompa Mvumpa
A. Sieb
F. Moreno Fell
Missing players
M. Flekken
DefenderL. Vazquez
L. Bade
ForwardN. Tella
E. Ben Seghir
R. Zentner
DefenderS. Bell
A. Hanche Olsen
A. Caci
MidfielderS. Kawasaki
N. Veratschnig
ForwardB. Hollerbach
K. Bos
Most goals and assists
Bayer Leverkusen
1 Fsv Mainz 05
P. Schick
(16 Goals)
N. Amiri
(12 Goals)
A. Garcia
(8 Assists)
B. Hollerbach
(3 Assists)
,
D. da Costa
(3 Assists)
, 
S. Becker
(3 Assists)
Bayer Leverkusen - 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Key Points
- Leverkusen have six wins from their last nine competitive matches.
- Leverkusen have won four of their last five home matches in all competitions.
- Mainz lost seven of their last 11 competitive matches on the road.
- Leverkusen have won four of their last five Bundesliga matches against Mainz, including the reverse fixture.
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Our Bayer Leverkusen vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction
Leverkusen have had two frustrating games – a defeat to Union Berlin last weekend and a goalless draw in the Champions League. Although that didn’t stop them from progressing to the round of 16, the hosts will target improvements in the Bundesliga to revive their top-four push. A game in hand increases their hopes of bridging the four-point gap, but Mainz won’t be a pushover. The visitors have lost only once in their last five league games.
Leverkusen have an impressive recent history against Mainz, and that’s why our Bayer Leverkusen vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 prediction is Bayer Leverkusen wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bayer Leverkusen 1 Fsv Mainz 05
| Bayer Leverkusen vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen wins | 1.64 | 1.78 | +8.5% |
| Draw | 4.37 | 4.11 | -5.9% |
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 wins | 5.64 | 4.77 | -15.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bayer Leverkusen is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 8.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 61.0% and is now 56.2% (-4.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
