AZ Alkmaar vs Twente Prediction & Betting Tips - Eredivisie

Netherlands - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
03/05/2026 10:45
Twente

Prediction :

 

Less than 3.5 goals

 
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 by Thobelani Moyo | in Eredivisie Predictions

With their sights firmly locked on a top-four finish, FC Twente are set to embark on a daunting trip to face AZ Alkmaar at AFAS Stadion on matchday 32 of the Eredivisie. The two teams have met twice this season, and Twente hold the upper hand, having won once. Here's our match prediction.

AZ Alkmaar are on the hunt for a top-four finish in the Eredivisie. If that doesn't materialise, they'll be content to settle for sixth place - a position they find themselves in with 49 points.

A little under a fortnight ago, Leeroy Echteld's charges were in a celebratory mood after thrashing NEC Nijmegen 5-1 in the KNVB Beker final to clinch their eighth major title.

The Cheese Farmers, however, couldn't capitalise on that outcome in their following match league game against Go Ahead Eagles. Instead, they could manage just a point in a goalless draw. On the bright side, that extended their unbeaten run to three games.

FC Twente are level on points with Ajax in fourth place (54). They occupy fifth place, and a win here, along with results elsewhere, could see them jump to that position.

The Tukkers' recent league game was a 1-1 home draw against NEC Nijmegen. Despite that result, John van den Brom's charges have proven a difficult opponent to beat in the Eredivisie. They've avoided defeat in four games.

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AZ Alkmaar v Twente Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.6 3.8 2.45
Melbet
2.61 3.7 2.5
Betwinner
2.61 3.7 2.5
Bet365
2.5 3.9 2.5
Roobet
2.46 3.65 2.44
Check all AZ Alkmaar vs Twente odds

What is the prediction for the football match between AZ Alkmaar and Twente?

Our prediction for the AZ Alkmaar vs Twente match is: less than 3.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/05/2026 between AZ Alkmaar and Twente in Eredivisie :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.98% for a win of AZ Alkmaar against Twente with odds of 2.65 at Tonybet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AZ Alkmaar vs Twente is 23.27% with odds of 3.9 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 29.75% chance ⭐ for a win of Twente vs AZ Alkmaar with odds of 2.55 at Tonybet.

AZ Alkmaar - Twente Prediction and Best Odds:

AZ Alkmaar Twente Prediction Probability Odds
AZ Alkmaar wins 46.98% 2.65 at Tonybet
Over 2.5 goals 73.99%
Both Team To Score 67.92%
Half-time / Full-time : AZ Alkmaar/AZ Alkmaar 23.41% 4 at Bet365

AZ Alkmaar vs Twente Form

AZ Alkmaar and Twente's standings in the Eredivisie

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4 Twente
58 34 15 13 6 +19
7 AZ Alkmaar
52 34 14 10 10 +7

AZ Alkmaar and Twente Last Matches

AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar Last matches
W L W D W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

23 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie

Go Ahead Eagles
0 :  0
AZ Alkmaar

19 Apr 2026 - KNVB beker

AZ Alkmaar
5 :  1
NEC Nijmegen

16 Apr 2026 - Conference League

AZ Alkmaar
2 :  2
Shakhtar Donetsk

12 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
3 :  0
Heerenveen

9 Apr 2026 - Conference League

Shakhtar Donetsk
3 :  0
AZ Alkmaar

4 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
2 :  0
Fortuna Sittard
W W W W D W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
3 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

19 Apr 2026 - KNVB beker

AZ Alkmaar
5 :  1
NEC Nijmegen

16 Apr 2026 - Conference League

AZ Alkmaar
2 :  2
Shakhtar Donetsk

12 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
3 :  0
Heerenveen

4 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
2 :  0
Fortuna Sittard

15 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
4 :  0
Heracles

12 Mar 2026 - Conference League

AZ Alkmaar
2 :  1
Sparta Prague
L L W L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

23 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie

Go Ahead Eagles
0 :  0
AZ Alkmaar

9 Apr 2026 - Conference League

Shakhtar Donetsk
3 :  0
AZ Alkmaar

22 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

Groningen
3 :  0
AZ Alkmaar

19 Mar 2026 - Conference League

Sparta Prague
0 :  4
AZ Alkmaar

7 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven
2 :  1
AZ Alkmaar

1 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

Utrecht
2 :  0
AZ Alkmaar
Twente
Twente Last matches
W L W W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

25 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie

Twente
1 :  1
NEC Nijmegen

10 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie

Twente
2 :  1
Volendam

4 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax
1 :  2
Twente

21 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard
1 :  2
Twente

15 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

Twente
0 :  2
Utrecht

8 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

Go Ahead Eagles
1 :  4
Twente
W W W L W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

25 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie

Twente
1 :  1
NEC Nijmegen

10 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie

Twente
2 :  1
Volendam

15 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

Twente
0 :  2
Utrecht

1 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

Twente
2 :  0
Feyenoord

22 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie

Twente
2 :  1
Groningen

7 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie

Twente
5 :  0
Heerenveen
D L D W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
100% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

4 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax
1 :  2
Twente

21 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard
1 :  2
Twente

8 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

Go Ahead Eagles
1 :  4
Twente

15 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie

Telstar
1 :  1
Twente

3 Feb 2026 - KNVB beker

AZ Alkmaar
2 :  1
Twente

30 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie

NAC Breda
2 :  2
Twente

AZ Alkmaar vs Twente Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

AZ Alkmaar

83 %

Draw

0 %

Twente

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.83
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

3 Feb 2026 - KNVB beker

AZ Alkmaar
2 :  1
Twente

30 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie

Twente
1 :  0
AZ Alkmaar

25 May 2025 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
3 :  2
Twente

14 May 2025 - Eredivisie

Twente
2 :  3
AZ Alkmaar

21 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
1 :  0
Twente

5 May 2024 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
2 :  1
Twente

AZ Alkmaar against Twente Lineups: Starting 11

AZ Alkmaar

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
R. Owusu Oduro
22
E. Dijkstra
3
W. Goes
5
A. Penetra
34
M. De Wit
8
J. Clasie
26
K. Smit
17
I. Jensen
10
S. Mijnans
27
R. Daal
9
T. Parrott
10
S. Lammers
27
S. Orjasaeter
14
K. Hlynsson
11
D. Rots
20
T. Van Den Belt
6
R. Zerrouki
39
M. Rots
43
R. Nijstad
23
S. Lemkin
28
B. van Rooij
1
L. Unnerstall

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Twente

Substitutes

AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
Goalkeeper

H. Verhulst

Defender

M. Chavez

R. Ichihara

S. Maikuma

Midfielder

M. Sin

K. Boogaard

P. Koopmeiners

J. Clasie 60'

Forward

W. Patati

I. Jensen 69'

M. Meerdink

A. Penetra 80'

B. Kovacs

R. Daal 80'

A. Oufkir

I. Sadiq

Twente
Twente
Goalkeeper

S. Karssies

P. Tyton

Defender

G. Peixoto

R. Propper

K. Hlynsson 83'

Midfielder

M. Bruns

D. Weidmann

A. Verschueren

D. Rots 72'

M. Kjolo

T. Van Den Belt 71'

Forward

L. Vennegoor of Hesselink

M. Pjaca

S. Orjasaeter 79'

R. van Wolfswinkel

S. Lammers 79'

T. Booth

Missing players

AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
Forward

J. Hornkamp

Twente
Twente
Defender

M. Hilgers

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato AZ Alkmaar
CD Huachipato Twente
Top Goalscorer
Rep. of Ireland T. Parrott (16 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Iceland K. Hlynsson (10 Goals)
Best assists
Netherlands S. Mijnans (6 Assists)
Netherlands M. De Wit (6 Assists)
Best assists
Netherlands S. Lammers (7 Assists)

AZ Alkmaar - Twente Key Points

  1. AZ Alkmaar have seen their last four league games end with under 3.5 goals.
  2. FC Twente's last five league games have ended with under 3.5 goals.
  3. AZ Alkmaar have kept a clean sheet in their last three home league games, with their last two producing under 3.5 goals.
  4. FC Twente are conceding 1.13 away goals per game.
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Our AZ Alkmaar vs Twente Prediction

This is an important match for both AZ Alkmaar and FC Twente with different goals. It's likely to be a highly contested affair with both sides sharing the points at the end of the match.

The visitors already have the upper hand against their opponents this season. In the reverse fixture, they won 1-0 at home. Clear-cut chances were at a premium as neither team looked dangerous in attack. It's worth noting that Twente have seen 23 of their last 31 league games end with under 3.5 goals. Our AZ Alkmaar vs FC Twente prediction: less than 3.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Less than 3.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis AZ Alkmaar Twente

AZ Alkmaar vs Twente Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
AZ Alkmaar wins 2.85 2.65 -7.0%
Draw 3.9 3.9 0%
Twente wins 2.32 2.55 +9.9%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • AZ Alkmaar is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 7.0% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 35.1% and is now 37.7% (2.6%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

AZ Alkmaar vs Twente Prediction