AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction & Betting Tips - Eredivisie
Netherlands - Eredivisie
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by Thobelani Moyo | in Eredivisie Predictions
AZ Alkmaar continue their bid for a top-four finish when they welcome NEC Nijmegen to the AFAS Stadion on matchday 21 of the Eredivisie this Saturday. AZ are in fifth place in the league standings, while NEC are right ahead in fourth place. Here's our match prediction.
AZ Alkmaar are in high spirits after ending their two-match winless league run. Last time out, they secured a 1-0 away win against Telstar.
Isak Jensen scored the only goal in that match in the 78th minute. That strike marked the youngster's first goal for his team in 19 games.
De Kaasboeren will aim to make it two straight league wins for the first time in nine games. The key to achieving such a feat lies in their home form. They have maintained a six-match unbeaten run at AFAS Stadion across all competitions. During this period, they secured three wins and three draws.
NEC Nijmegen have hit the ground running in 2026. So far, they have won three out of three games across all competitions. Moving on from that, the visitors are unbeaten in their last ten matches.
NEC's recent match was a league outing against PEC Zwolle. As expected, they bagged three points in a 2-1 home victory. That result made it two consecutive league wins.
In unfamiliar territory, they have kept their opponents from winning outright in four league games (W3, D1).
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AZ Alkmaar v NEC Nijmegen Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.87 | 4 | 3.65 |
|
|
1.86 | 3.92 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.87 | 3.96 | 3.76 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.9 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.82 | 3.85 | 3.6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between AZ Alkmaar and NEC Nijmegen?
Our prediction for the AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen match is: Draw or NEC Nijmegen.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/01/2026 between AZ Alkmaar and NEC Nijmegen in Eredivisie :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.28% for a win of AZ Alkmaar against NEC Nijmegen with odds of 1.91 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen is 28.52% with odds of 4.1 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.2% chance ⭐ for a win of NEC Nijmegen vs AZ Alkmaar with odds of 3.9 at LSbet.
AZ Alkmaar - NEC Nijmegen Prediction and Best Odds:
| AZ Alkmaar NEC Nijmegen Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen wins | 40.2% | 3.9 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.46% | |
| Both Team To Score | 67.92% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: NEC Nijmegen | 16.98% | 9.5 at LSbet |
AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen Form
AZ Alkmaar and NEC Nijmegen's standings in the Eredivisie
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
59 | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | +24 |
|
7
|
52 | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | +7 |
AZ Alkmaar and NEC Nijmegen Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie
21 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie
17 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie
14 Jan 2026 - KNVB beker
10 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie
21 Dec 2025 - Eredivisie
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie
14 Jan 2026 - KNVB beker
10 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie
18 Dec 2025 - Conference League
7 Dec 2025 - Eredivisie
27 Nov 2025 - Conference League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie
17 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie
21 Dec 2025 - Eredivisie
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
3 Dec 2025 - KNVB beker
30 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie
20 Jan 2026 - KNVB beker
17 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie
20 Dec 2025 - Eredivisie
16 Dec 2025 - KNVB beker
13 Dec 2025 - Eredivisie
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie
20 Dec 2025 - Eredivisie
29 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
9 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
18 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
28 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jan 2026 - KNVB beker
17 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie
16 Dec 2025 - KNVB beker
13 Dec 2025 - Eredivisie
7 Dec 2025 - Eredivisie
23 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
29 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
17 Aug 2024 - Eredivisie
28 Apr 2024 - Eredivisie
29 Oct 2023 - Eredivisie
21 May 2023 - Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar against NEC Nijmegen Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
R. Owusu Oduro
H. Verhulst
DefenderS. Maikuma
B. van Duijl
E. Dijkstra
M. Chavez
R. Robbemond
ForwardW. Patati
A. Oufkir
J. Hornkamp
I. Sadiq
R. Janse
J. Cillessen
DefenderB. Pereira
J. Willems
T. Ouwejan
MidfielderS. de Laat
D. Proper
K. Kers
P. Sandler
Y. el Kachati
Vura
K. Ogawa
Missing players
D. Kasius
MidfielderJ. Clasie
S. Mijnans
K. Smit
ForwardM. Meerdink
B. Nuytinck
Most goals and assists
AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen
T. Parrott
(16 Goals)
B. Linssen
(11 Goals)
S. Mijnans
(6 Assists)
,
M. De Wit
(6 Assists)
K. Sano
(8 Assists)
AZ Alkmaar - NEC Nijmegen Key Points
- AZ Alkmaar have drawn three of their last five home games across all competitions.
- NEC Nijmegen are unbeaten in their last ten games across all competitions.
- AZ Alkmaar have drawn two of their last three home league games.
- NEC Nijmegen have lost just one of their last four away league games against AZ Alkmaar.
- Two of those outings ended with 1-1 scorelines.
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Our AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction
AZ Alkmaar are looking unsteady at the moment and can not be trusted to step up to the plate in this one. Their home form has left much to be desired, with just one win in four games. Two of those outings saw both teams share the spoils.
NEC Nijmegen is not a team to be underestimated. The visitors have been a difficult opponent to beat, avoiding defeat in eight league games. Six of those outings ended in victory. They won't be an easy ride for their opponents in this upcoming encounter. Our AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen prediction: Draw or NEC Nijmegen.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis AZ Alkmaar NEC Nijmegen
| AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar wins | 1.93 | 1.91 | -1.0% |
| Draw | 3.9 | 4.1 | +5.1% |
| NEC Nijmegen wins | 3.4 | 3.9 | +14.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- NEC Nijmegen is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 14.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 29.4% and is now 25.6% (-3.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
