Europe - Conference League
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by Thobelani Moyo in Conference League Predictions
With a two-goal lead obtained from the first leg, AZ Alkmaar are set to host Levski Sofia at AFAS Stadion in the return leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League play-off round. Here's our match prediction.
The 2025-26 Eredivisie season has already begun, and AZ Alkmaar sits in eighth place after matchday three with one game in hand. This means they can narrow the point gap at the top from five to just two points.
At the moment, their current focus is on seeing their dream of reaching the main draw of the UEFA Europa Conference League materialise. The Cheese Farmers are in the play-offs. They had to beat Ilves and FC Vaduz in the second and third qualifying rounds, respectively.
A trip to Bulgaria to lock horns with Levski Sofia in the first leg of the play-offs turned out to be a walk in the park. They secured a 2-0 victory.
For Levski Sofia, that's the current situation they need to confront in the return leg, and that's overturning a two-goal deficit.
It won't be easy, but neither will they give up on their European football dreams so easily. In preparation for this upcoming encounter, Sofia had to postpone their league game against Botev Plovdiv.
Their record against the Netherlands opposition is not impressive, with just one win in ten outings (D2, L7).
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The Best Betting Odds for AZ Alkmaar v Levski Sofia Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.4 | 4.5 | 8 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.6 | 7 |
|
|
1.36 | 4.4 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.5 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.4 | 5.2 | 6.25 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between AZ Alkmaar and Levski Sofia?
Our prediction for the AZ Alkmaar vs Levski Sofia match is: AZ Alkmaar -1.5 Asian handicap.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/08/2025 between AZ Alkmaar and Levski Sofia in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.22% for a win of AZ Alkmaar against Levski Sofia with odds of 1.4 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AZ Alkmaar vs Levski Sofia is 25.13% with odds of 5.4 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 20.65% chance ⭐ for a win of Levski Sofia vs AZ Alkmaar with odds of 8.3 at Betwinner.
AZ Alkmaar vs Levski Sofia Form
AZ Alkmaar and Levski Sofia Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Aug 2025 - Conference League
17 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
14 Aug 2025 - Conference League
10 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
7 Aug 2025 - Conference League
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
7 Aug 2025 - Conference League
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2025 - Conference League
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Aug 2025 - Conference League
17 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
14 Aug 2025 - Conference League
24 Jul 2025 - Conference League
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Aug 2025 - Conference League
17 Aug 2025 - A PFG
14 Aug 2025 - Conference League
10 Aug 2025 - A PFG
7 Aug 2025 - Conference League
3 Aug 2025 - A PFG
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Aug 2025 - Conference League
10 Aug 2025 - A PFG
7 Aug 2025 - Conference League
3 Aug 2025 - A PFG
24 Jul 2025 - Europa League
20 Jul 2025 - A PFG
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2025 - A PFG
14 Aug 2025 - Conference League
31 Jul 2025 - Europa League
27 Jul 2025 - A PFG
17 Jul 2025 - Europa League
26 May 2025 - A PFG
AZ Alkmaar vs Levski Sofia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
21 Aug 2025 - Conference League
Missing players
S. Maikuma
M. Dekker
MidfielderS. Mijnans
J. Clasie
ForwardL. Zeefuik
Most goals and assists
AZ Alkmaar
Levski Sofia
T. Parrott
(3 Goals)
M. Petkov
(3 Goals)
, 
M. Sangare
(3 Goals)
E. Poku
(1 Assists)
, 
M. Chavez
(1 Assists)
,
S. Mijnans
(1 Assists)
,
K. Smit
(1 Assists)
AZ Alkmaar - Levski Sofia Key Points
- AZ Alkmaar have covered the -1.5 spread in each of their last two home matches across all competitions.
- Levski Sofia have lost each of their last two matches against AZ Alkmaar by a two-goal margin.
- Three of AZ Alkmaar's last five matches across all competitions have seen them cover the -1.5 spread.
- Levski Sofia's last away match against AZ Alkmaar ended in a 5-0 defeat.
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Our AZ Alkmaar vs Levski Sofia Prediction
AZ Alkmaar have been impressive thus far in the 2025-26 season. The home team has maintained a seven-match unbeaten run across all competitions. They managed to win four of those outings by a two-goal margin, and we believe they can achieve the same feat here.
Levski Sofia have been unlucky in this fixture. They are winless in their last three meetings against AZ Alkmaar. It's worth mentioning that they have lost two matches in a row, recording 5-0 and 2-0 defeats. A convincing defeat is inevitable. Our AZ Alkmaar vs Levski Sofia prediction: AZ Alkmaar -1.5 Asian handicap.
Use £/€50 free bets for the AZ Alkmaar vs. Levski Sofia game!
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Try your luck on this year's Conference League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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