Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Football Predictions
Atletico-MG will be keen on arresting their decline when they take on struggling Sport Recife in the Brazilian Serie A. After 25 matches, Atletico are 15th and Sport Recife is at the bottom of the standings. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.
One win in the last five league matches signals Atletico’s decline. They have managed just seven league wins all season.
With five of those wins having come at home, they will be confident of prevailing here; Atletico’s recent four matches across all competitions ended without defeat. They won twice in the process, and when hosting Sport Recife, Atletico are unbeaten in 13.
Sport Recife still have 13 matches to save their season, but with each elapsing matchday, they seem to be drawing closer and closer to relegation. In their opening 25 matches, they dropped points in 23.
They are on 16 points after managing just two wins and 10 draws. That tally is 12 points adrift of the safe zone. The last time Sport Recife and Atletico faced off was in the Brazilian Cup; Sport Recife claimed a 1-0 win.
However, they haven't won many of their league meetings. Sport Recife’s prospects aren’t helped by their poor scoring returns. They are so far the lowest scorers in the league, having netted just 19 times.
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The Best Betting Odds for Atletico MG v Sport Recife Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.62 | 3.7 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.6 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.5 | 5 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.6 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.65 | 5.8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico MG and Sport Recife?
Our prediction for the Atletico MG vs Sport Recife match is: Atletico-MG wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/10/2025 between Atletico MG and Sport Recife in Brasileirão Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.18% for a win of Atletico MG against Sport Recife with odds of 1.66 at Bwin.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico MG vs Sport Recife is 35.55% with odds of 3.79 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.26% chance ⭐ for a win of Sport Recife vs Atletico MG with odds of 5.8 at Unibet.
Atletico MG vs Sport Recife Form
Atletico MG and Sport Recife's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
15
|
29 | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -7 |
|
20
|
16 | 25 | 2 | 10 | 13 | -19 |
Atletico MG and Sport Recife Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
30 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
27 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
24 Sep 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
20 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Sep 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
27 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
24 Sep 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
14 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
27 Aug 2025 - Copa do Brasil
17 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Sep 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
11 Sep 2025 - Copa do Brasil
31 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
24 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
27 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
31 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
31 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
16 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
2 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
27 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
10 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
23 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
Atletico MG vs Sport Recife Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 May 2024 - Copa do Brasil
30 Apr 2024 - Copa do Brasil
6 Jun 2021 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Feb 2021 - Brasileirão Serie A
24 Oct 2020 - Brasileirão Serie A
30 May 2018 - Brasileirão Serie A
Atletico MG vs Sport Recife last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
R. Saravia
MidfielderP. da Silva Campos
Alexsander
J. dos Santos Dutra
ForwardT. Cuello
Hereda
I. Carius
R. Thyere
MidfielderS. Oliveira
ForwardZe Roberto
Most goals and assists
Atletico MG
Sport Recife
Hulk
(7 Goals)
Derik Lacerda
(4 Goals)
G. Scarpa
(5 Assists)
L. Lima
(3 Assists)
Atletico MG and Sport Recife Stats in Brasileirão Serie A
Atletico MG - Sport Recife Key Points
- Atletico lost once in their last five home games in Serie A.
- Sport Recife are winless in four away league matches.
- Sport Recife managed just two league wins all season.
- Atletico avoided defeat in three of their last four matches.
- Atletico are unbeaten in five league meetings with Sport Recife.
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Our Atletico MG vs Sport Recife Prediction
Atletico-MG has had a torrid season, but theirs hasn’t been as bad as Sport Recife’s. The visitors are not just the poorest scorers, but they also come into this round having won the least. After 25 matches, Sport Recife has only managed two wins.
It doesn’t help them that they have struggled in this particular fixture. Four times in the last five league games, Sport Recife suffered defeat. While Atletico isn’t doing so great, our prediction for Atletico-MG v Sport Recife is that Atletico-MG wins the match.
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Try your luck on this year's Brasileirão Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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