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South America - Copa Libertadores

Atletico MG
30 Nov 2024 15:00
Botafogo

Prediction :

 

Botafogo wins the match

 
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Atletico MG vs Botafogo Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa Libertadores

 by Ian John in Copa Libertadores Predictions

The biggest game in South America, the Copa Libertadores Final,  takes place on Saturday between Brazilian sides Botafogo and Atlético Mineiro. River Plate’s Estadio Monumental hosts the final match of an exciting tournament, so who will our prediction favour to win the trophy? The ‘Fogo or Galo Forte Vingador

Both teams have form that is somewhat the reverse of the other. Botafogo boss Artur Jorge has seen his team go on a long unbeaten run in Brazil’s Serie A, but they have looked susceptible in the Copa Libertadores, especially away from home. That could be a factor with this game being played on neutral territory in the Argentine capital of Buenos Aires.

In contrast, Gabriel Milito’s Atlético Mineiro have been very good in the Copa Libertadores over the entire course of the competition, but their league form in Brazil’s Serie A has seen them win just one of their last eleven matches. They also know that in meetings between the two teams this season, Botafogo have had the upper hand, including a 3-0 win. Their most recent game was a bad tempered 0-0 draw which saw three red cards, one for Atletico, two for Botafogo late in the game.

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The Best Betting Odds for Atletico MG v Botafogo Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
4.33 3.3 1.91
Ladbrokes
4.4 2.2 2.3
1xbet
4.18 3.25 1.98
22bet
4.18 3.25 1.98
Betobet
4.2 3.1 2
Stake
4.2 3.25 2.01
Melbet
4.26 3.28 1.94
Tonybet
4.3 3.3 1.99
Betway
4.2 3.1 1.95
Unibet
4.2 3.1 2.02
Betfair
4.2 3 1.85
Betsson
4.5 3.3 1.95
William Hill
4.2 3 1.88
Vbet
4.5 3.26 1.93
Check all Atletico MG vs Botafogo odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico MG and Botafogo?

Our prediction for the Atletico MG vs Botafogo match is: Botafogo to win.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/11/2024 between Atletico MG and Botafogo in Copa Libertadores :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 21.65% for a win of Atletico MG against Botafogo with odds of 4.5 at Betsson.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico MG vs Botafogo is 29.91% with odds of 3.3 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 48.43% chance ⭐ for a win of Botafogo vs Atletico MG with odds of 2.3 at Ladbrokes.

Atletico MG - Botafogo Prediction and Best Odds:

Atletico MG Botafogo Prediction Probability Odds
Botafogo wins 48.43% 2.3 at Ladbrokes
Under 2.5 55.85% 2.02 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score 41.67% 2.25 at Bet365
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Botafogo 19.67% 5.1 at Vbet

Atletico MG vs Botafogo Form

Atletico MG and Botafogo Last Matches

Atletico MG
Atletico MG Last matches
L D L D D L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

26 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
2 :  3
Juventude

23 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  2
Atletico MG

20 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
0 :  0
Botafogo

16 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico Paranense
1 :  0
Atletico MG

13 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
0 :  0
Atletico MG

10 Nov 2024 - Copa do Brasil

Atletico MG
0 :  1
Flamengo
W W L L D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

26 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
2 :  3
Juventude

20 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
0 :  0
Botafogo

10 Nov 2024 - Copa do Brasil

Atletico MG
0 :  1
Flamengo

26 Oct 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
1 :  3
Internacional

22 Oct 2024 - Copa Libertadores

Atletico MG
3 :  0
CA River Plate (ARG)

9 Oct 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
2 :  1
Gremio
D L L D L D
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

23 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  2
Atletico MG

16 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico Paranense
1 :  0
Atletico MG

13 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
0 :  0
Atletico MG

6 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico GO
1 :  0
Atletico MG

3 Nov 2024 - Copa do Brasil

Flamengo
3 :  1
Atletico MG

29 Oct 2024 - Copa Libertadores

CA River Plate (ARG)
0 :  0
Atletico MG
Botafogo
Botafogo Last matches
L W D D D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

26 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
1 :  3
Botafogo

23 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
1 :  1
Vitoria

20 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
0 :  0
Botafogo

9 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
0 :  0
Cuiaba

5 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
3 :  0
Vasco Da Gama

30 Oct 2024 - Copa Libertadores

CA Penarol Montevideo
3 :  1
Botafogo
D D W W D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

23 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
1 :  1
Vitoria

9 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
0 :  0
Cuiaba

5 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
3 :  0
Vasco Da Gama

23 Oct 2024 - Copa Libertadores

Botafogo
5 :  0
CA Penarol Montevideo

18 Oct 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
1 :  1
Criciuma

28 Sep 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
0 :  0
Gremio
D W W L D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

26 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
1 :  3
Botafogo

20 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
0 :  0
Botafogo

30 Oct 2024 - Copa Libertadores

CA Penarol Montevideo
3 :  1
Botafogo

26 Oct 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bragantino
0 :  1
Botafogo

5 Oct 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico Paranense
0 :  1
Botafogo

25 Sep 2024 - Copa Libertadores

SAO Paulo
1 :  1
Botafogo

Atletico MG vs Botafogo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Atletico MG

33 %

Draw

17 %

Botafogo

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.5
Total goals
0%
BTTS
0.33
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.17
Goals scored (Team 2)
17%
Over 2.5
83%
Under 2.5

20 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
0 :  0
Botafogo

7 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
3 :  0
Atletico MG

16 Sep 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
1 :  0
Botafogo

7 May 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
2 :  0
Atletico MG

7 Nov 2022 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
0 :  2
Botafogo

17 Jul 2022 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
0 :  1
Atletico MG
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Atletico MG - Botafogo: Form Analysis

Botafogo’s league form is outstanding as they are unbeaten in Serie A since early August. A run of 14 games, eight of which have been won, six drawn. That included a hugely important 3-1 win over Palmeiras in their last game before this final, which took them top of the table with just two games of the season to go.

But Botafogo have won just one of their last five in the Copa Libertadores. That being a 5-0 win over Penarol in the semi-final first leg. They lost the second leg 3-1 to progress 6-3 in aggregate. They also beat Palmeiras and Sao Paulo on their way to the final.

Atlético Mineiro’s form domestically is very poor. 

With just one win in their last eleven Brazil Serie A games (five draws, five defeats). They lie 10th in the table on 44 points, 29 points behind Botafogo. They drew 0-0 at home to Botafogo on the 21st November before drawing 2-2 away to Sao Paulo and then losing 3-2 at home to Juventude.

In the Copa Libertadores though their form is excellent, winning all of their seven home games, but they have drawn two and lost two of their last four on the road. That may be a worry with the final being played at a neutral venue.

They beat River Plate 3-0 at home before drawing 0-0 in the second leg to reach the final. They also beat San Lorenzo and Fluminense on their way to the final.

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Atletico MG against Botafogo Lineups: Starting 11

Atletico MG

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

22
Everson
2
Lyanco
21
R. Battaglia
8
J. Alonso
6
G. Scarpa
23
A. Franco
18
F. Vera
13
G. Arana
7
Hulk
9
Deyverson
10
Paulinho
99
I. Jesus
18
T. Almada
10
J. Savarino
7
Luiz Henrique
26
Gregore
17
M. Freitas
13
A. Telles
20
A. Barboza
34
Adryelson
22
Vitinho
12
John Victor

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Botafogo

Atletico MG & Botafogo Squad Analysis

Both teams should be in good shape heading into the Copa Libertadores Final. Neither team has a player suspended for the match and in general, both teams have relatively full-strength squads to pick from, aside from fringe players who have been injured for the long term.

Botafogo will likely line up in their preferred 4-2-3-1 formation with Igor Jesus spearheading attack, ably assisted by the creative influences of Thiaga Almada on the left, Luis Henrique on the right and Venezuelan international Jefferson Savarino in an advanced midfield role.

Former Manchester United left-back Alex Telles will likely start in that position for Botafogo

Atlético Mineiro tend to play a 3-4-2-1 formation with Deyverson their main attacking threat. He is supported by the second-top goalscorer in this competition, Paulinho who has seven goals in eleven Copa Libertadores games. 

Veteran Hulk makes up the trio, despite being 37-years of age. 

Wing backs Gustavo Scarpa and Guilherme Arana provide width down the flanks, with former Southampton defender Lyanco playing on the right side of a trio of defenders that includes Roberto Battaglia and Junior Alonso.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Atletico MG
CD Huachipato Botafogo
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Paulinho (15 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Venezuela J. Savarino (11 Goals) Brazil Luiz Henrique (11 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil Hulk (10 Assists)
Best assists
Venezuela J. Savarino (10 Assists)

Atletico MG - Botafogo Key Points

  1. Botafogo have lost just one of their last 20 games in Serie A and the Copa Libertadores.
  2. In two games this season, Atlético Mineiro have not beaten Botafogo, losing 3-0 away and drawing 0-0 at home.
  3. Atlético Mineiro have not won any of their last six games, drawing three and losing three.
  4. Botafogo have won three of the last five matches between the two teams (drawing one, losing one).
Up to $150 to bet on Atletico MG - Botafogo! 

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Our Atletico MG vs Botafogo Prediction

Our prediction for the Atlético Mineiro vs. Botafogo Copa Libertadoes Final on Saturday is: Botafogo to win.

Atlético Mineiro have not won a game since their 3-0 semi-final first leg win over River Plate in this competition. They face a Botafogo side that could win the Serie A and Copa Libertadores double this season.  Artur Jorge's team come into the game on the back of a superb 3-1 away win over title rivals Palmeiras and as such, are a very solid choice to win the trophy. 

Prediction :

 

Botafogo wins the match

 
Exclusive Offer
$150 offered for betting!

Atletico MG vs Botafogo - Other Interesting Predictions

Igor Jesus (Botafogo) to score at any time.

Odds 3
Botafogo's Igor Jesus Maciel de Cruz has been their talisman in front of goal at key times in the Copa Libertadores this season. He has netted three crucial goals, two against Palmeiras, one in each leg of their Round of 16 two-legged tie and another in the 6-3 semi-final aggregate win over Penarol. In what looks likely to be a tight game, his happy knack of scoring crucial goals makes him a great anytime goalscorer bet for this Copa Libertadores final.
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atletico MG Botafogo

Atletico MG vs Botafogo Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Atletico MG wins 3.5 4.33 +23.7%
Draw 3.25 3.3 +1.5%
Botafogo wins 2.1 1.91 -9.0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Botafogo is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 9.0% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 47.6% and is now 52.4% (4.7%)

Use £30 free bets for the Atletico MG vs. Botafogo game!

bet365 welcome offer

Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Atletico MG and Botafogo? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of £30 free bet credits if you bet £10 as a new player.

Try your luck on this year's Copa Libertadores! You need to make your qualifying bet of £10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger. 

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Atletico MG vs Botafogo Prediction
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