Spain - LaLiga
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by Kennedy Kechula in LaLiga Predictions
Atletico Madrid will be looking to secure third place in La Liga this weekend when they play host to Real Sociedad at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano. Ahead of this game, Atletico are third in the standings, eight places ahead of their visitors. The hosts’ tally of 67 points is 24 more than Real Sociedad’s. It is, therefore, no wonder bookies’ predictions favor an Atletico Madrid win on Saturday.
Earlier regarded as a contender for the title, Atletico Madrid have fallen off the race and can only ideally fight for third place. With Spain granted five Champions League slots, one more win secures that for Atleti.
Real Sociedad, on the other hand, can at best stage a fight for a Conference League spot. Going into this game, they trail eighth place by just a point, but it is a tight race. The visitors’ current four-match winless streak will not be the best source of inspiration heading to the capital.
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The Best Betting Odds for Atletico Madrid v Real Sociedad Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.67 | 3.7 | 5 |
|
|
1.62 | 4 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.95 | 2.5 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.7 | 5.1 |
|
|
1.61 | 3.7 | 5.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico Madrid and Real Sociedad?
Our prediction for the Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad match is: under 2.5 goals & BTTS – No.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/05/2025 between Atletico Madrid and Real Sociedad in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.28% for a win of Atletico Madrid against Real Sociedad with odds of 1.95 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad is 27.17% with odds of 4 at Betfred.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.55% chance ⭐ for a win of Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid with odds of 5.6 at Stake.
Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad Form
Atletico Madrid and Real Sociedad's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
67 | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 29 |
|
11
|
43 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | -5 |
Atletico Madrid and Real Sociedad Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2025 - LaLiga
24 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
19 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
14 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
6 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
2 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
14 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
2 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2025 - LaLiga
19 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
6 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2025 - LaLiga
23 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
20 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
12 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
6 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
1 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2025 - LaLiga
12 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
26 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
20 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
6 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
1 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
25 May 2024 - LaLiga
8 Oct 2023 - LaLiga
28 May 2023 - LaLiga
3 Sep 2022 - LaLiga
22 May 2022 - LaLiga
Atletico Madrid - Real Sociedad: Form Analysis
Atletico Madrid can secure Champions League football this weekend. They only need three points from Real Sociedad’s visit, and they’ll be home.
The hosts had a stable period between October and January, losing just one of 26 games in all competitions. At some point in that run, they won 15 straight matches.
However, heading into this one, they only have four wins in 11. In their most recent outing, they drew 0-0 with lowly Alaves, failing to score for the second time in three matches.
Three wins in their last five home league matches will build some confidence going into this fixture.
Real Sociedad scored two goals only in the last four matches.
Across all competitions, Real Sociedad haven't won in the last six meetings with Atletico Madrid. Txuri-urdin suffered three defeats in that period.
The winless streak is longer when we look at La Liga clashes between the two. It has now been 10 matches since Real Sociedad last won this fixture in the league.
Recent performances don’t favor Imanol Alguacil’s charges.
They are coming off a run of four straight winless outings. In those four games, they failed to score three times and have one clean sheet in 13. Real Sociedad suffered six defeats in the last nine away league games and won just once.
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Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Atletico Madrid & Real Sociedad Squad Analysis
Atletico Madrid will be targeting a third straight clean sheet coming here, and they are well placed to get it. Jan Oblak has kept two on the bounce and has a league-leading 14 ahead of this round.
He will be facing a Real Sociedad side that has lately struggled in attack, making it possible to extend his good streak. In attack, however, the absence of lead scorer Julian Alvarez will have an effect.
The man with 15 league goals is suspended. With Atletico having failed to score in two of their last three matches, Alvarez’s availability would have been key.
Two keepers with the most clean sheets in La Liga will be facing off here.
In a match Real Sociedad will need all their firepower available, they will not be able to call on Orri Oskarsson. The 20-year-old headlines a list of injuries that has at least four names heading into this match.
While the Iceland forward can’t add to his three goals, Sociedad will at least have Mikel Oyarzabal to bank on for goals. The Spaniard has eight goals and is their leading scorer.
The last time Sociedad visited Atletico, Oyarzabal was on the score sheet in their 2-1 defeat. At the back, Alex Remiro will hope to add to his 13 clean sheets.
Most goals and assists
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
J. Alvarez
(22 Goals)
M. Oyarzabal
(13 Goals)
A. Griezmann
(8 Assists)
,
M. Llorente
(8 Assists)
,
G. Simeone
(8 Assists)
S. Gomez
(5 Assists)
Atletico Madrid and Real Sociedad Stats in LaLiga
Atletico Madrid - Real Sociedad Key Points
- Both teams scored in only four of Atletico’s last 10 fixtures.
- At least one side failed to score in Atletico’s last three matches.
- The last two meetings between these sides had under 2.5 goals.
- Three of Real Sociedad’s last four games produced under 2.5 goals.
- Real Sociedad failed to score in five of their last nine league outings.
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Our Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction
There is a high likelihood that this match will be low-scoring. Atletico, supposedly the favorites, are known to prioritize defending. They lack creativity in midfield, and the absence of their leading scorer will accentuate this. Sociedad have also struggled in attack lately and will depend largely on their defence to keep out Atleti.
Goalkeeper Alex Remiro is second in the clean sheets roster and will be crucial in that aspect. Upfront, the visitors will also be facing a top keeper – Jan Oblak – the man with the most clean sheets, and their goalless run could stretch. Our prediction for Atletico Madrid v Real Sociedad is under 2.5 goals & BTTS – No.
Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad - Other Interesting Predictions
Atletico Madrid to win
Atletico Madrid are undefeated in 10 league matches against Real Sociedad. Their win probability will definitely be higher, given they will be at home, where they haven't lost in 11 games against Real Sociedad.
In their 17 league matches at home this season, Atleti lost just once, against Barcelona. With that, our second prediction for this clash is for Atletico Madrid to win.
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Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad match : Frequently asked questions
The Atletico Madrid v Real Sociedad match will be played on Saturday 20 May.
The Atletico Madrid v Real Sociedad match will be staged at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano Stadium.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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