Italy - Serie A
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Serie A Predictions
It's not the highest profile game of Round 6 in the Serie A, but the clash between Atalanta and Como is shaping up to be one of the tightest and most entertaining of the gameweek. Only two points separate the two sides, and a win here could mathematically push them into the top 4. See the sharp pick in our Atalanta vs Como match prediction below.
For us, there'll be a lot of goals in this game, specifically over 2.5 goals. Since Cesc Fabregas took over Como, they've clashed with Atalanta only twice, and both games featured over 2.5 goals. In fact, Como beat Atalanta 3-2 at home. Now, this is a trend we've also found in their recent games.
For Atalanta, four of their last five games in all competitions saw 3+ goals by full-time. Then, at home and outside friendlies, four of their last five games have also seen over 2.5 goals, with the latest game being their 2-1 victory over Club Brugge in the Champions League.
Then, for Como, two of their last three games went over 2.5 goals. In that span, they thrashed Sassuolo 3-0 and defeated Fiorentina 2-1 away from home. Como’s latest game was the outlier, and it finished 1-1, but could've gone over 2.5 if not for a red card.
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The Best Betting Odds for Atalanta v Como 1907 Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.15 | 3.4 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.4 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.25 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.3 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.12 | 3.25 | 3.55 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Atalanta and Como 1907?
Our prediction for the Atalanta vs Como 1907 match is: Over 2.5 Goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/10/2025 between Atalanta and Como 1907 in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.02% for a win of Atalanta against Como 1907 with odds of 2.3 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atalanta vs Como 1907 is 25.75% with odds of 3.4 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.23% chance ⭐ for a win of Como 1907 vs Atalanta with odds of 3.62 at LSbet.
Atalanta - Como 1907 Prediction and Best Odds:
| Atalanta Como 1907 Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atalanta wins | 40.02% | 2.3 at Betfred |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.25% | 1.83 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 75% | |
| Half-time: Como 1907 / Full-time: Atalanta | 16.77% | 23 at Bet365 |
Atalanta vs Como 1907 Form
Atalanta and Como 1907's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
18 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
|
13
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 2 |
Atalanta and Como 1907 Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
27 Sept 2025 - Serie A
21 Sept 2025 - Serie A
17 Sept 2025 - Champions League
14 Sept 2025 - Serie A
30 Aug 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
14 Sept 2025 - Serie A
24 Aug 2025 - Serie A
16 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2025 - Serie A
21 Sept 2025 - Serie A
17 Sept 2025 - Champions League
30 Aug 2025 - Serie A
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2025 - Serie A
24 Sept 2025 - Coppa Italia
21 Sept 2025 - Serie A
15 Sept 2025 - Serie A
30 Aug 2025 - Serie A
24 Aug 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2025 - Serie A
24 Sept 2025 - Coppa Italia
15 Sept 2025 - Serie A
24 Aug 2025 - Serie A
16 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia
27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sept 2025 - Serie A
30 Aug 2025 - Serie A
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2025 - Serie A
3 May 2025 - Serie A
Atalanta vs Como 1907 Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Jan 2025 - Serie A
24 Sept 2024 - Serie A
Atalanta against Como 1907 Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
S. Kolasinac
M. Bakker
G. Scalvini
R. Bellanova
O. Kossounou
MidfielderN. Zalewski
M. De Roon
ForwardG. Scamacca
C. De Ketelaere
H. Menke
DefenderA. Dossena
I. Van Der Brempt
MidfielderS. Roberto
ForwardA. Diao
J. Rodriguez Caraballo
Most goals and assists
Atalanta
Como 1907
L. Samardzic
(3 Goals)
N. Paz
(4 Goals)
N. Krstovic
(3 Assists)
N. Paz
(4 Assists)
Atalanta - Como 1907 Key Points
- Their only four meetings, dating back to 2003, featured over 2.5 goals.
- Como won 3-2 in Atalanta’s home last season.
- Four of Atalanta’s last five games in all competitions finished with over 2.5 goals.
- Of Atalanta’s last five home games, four finished with over 2.5 goals.
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Our Atalanta vs Como 1907 Prediction
Cesc Fabregas has proven that his Como side is a formidable force that can go toe-to-toe with any Serie A side. And so we expect the kind of end-to-end action that produced over 2.5 goals in this game against Atalanta.
Last season was their first league meeting since 2003, and we saw both games featuring 3+ goals, with Como even winning 3-2 in Atalanta's home. What's more, Atalanta has shown vulnerability despite success, as they've conceded in all of their last five home Serie A games, seeing four finish with over 2.5 goals. Hence, our Atalanta vs Como prediction is Over 2.5 Goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atalanta Como 1907
| Atalanta vs Como 1907 | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta wins | 1.95 | 2.15 | +10.3% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 3.4 | -10.5% |
| Como 1907 wins | 3.5 | 3.4 | -2.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Atalanta is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 10.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 51.3% and is now 46.5% (-4.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Atalanta vs. Como 1907 game!
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Try your luck on this year's Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
