Andrey Rublev vs Luciano Darderi Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Bastad Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
The top two seeds meet in the final of the outdoor clay court Swedish Open. Can the number one seed Andrey Rublev defeat defending champion Luciano Darderi. Looking at the stats, a tight match is likely, and our prediction is more than 9.5 games in set one.
Andrey Rublev is in his second ATP Tour clay court final of 2026. He last won a title on this surface two years ago and he was the Swedish Open champion in 2024.
The Russian beat third seed Alejandro Tabilo in three sets in Saturday’s semi-final. Of his three matches this week, two have had at least ten games played in the opening set. All three of the sets in that semi-final went to 6-4.
Luciano Darderi won this title last year and has already lifted one ATP Tour clay court trophy in 2026. This is the third final on this surface that he’s reached this year. Of the last five finals he has played, all but one saw more than 9.5 games in the opening set.
The Italian also had to go to a deciding set in his semi-final, beating unseeded Adolfo Daniel Vallejo. All three of the opening sets he has played this week had at least ten games played in them.
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Andrey Rublev - Luciano Darderi Key Points
- Four of the last five ATP Tour finals that Darderi has played in saw more than 9.5 games played in the opening set.
- All three of the opening sets Darderi has played this week had at least ten games played in them.
- Two of Rublev’s matches this week had more than 9.5 games played in the first set.
- The last three sets Rublev has played in this tournament had more than 9.5 games played in them.
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Our Andrey Rublev vs Luciano Darderi Prediction
An exciting and likely close final is expected on Sunday. Can the top seed Andrey Rublev dethrone the defending champion, Luciano Darderi? Both players had to battle hard to win in t three sets in Saturday’s semi-final with each needing three sets to progress.
When it comes to the opening set, five of the six that Rublev and Darderi have played this week have had at least ten games in them. Our Andrey Rublev v Luciano Darderi prediction is more than 9.5 games in set one.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.