Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Beijing Open
ATP - ATP Beijing Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Round one of the China Open sees eighth seed Jakub Mensik take on unseeded Alexander Bublik. Mensik has won his last two matches against Bublik and is six places above him in the latest rankings. Our prediction is that he can get the win here.
In the second round, the winner will face either unseeded Francisco Cerundolo or qualifier Botic van de Zandschulp.
This is the fourth match between the pair and Mensik leads 2-1. The China Open is being played on an outdoor hard court and this is the first time they've met on this surface.
Jakub Mensik is 15th in the ATP Live Race, so he has a bit of work to do in the remaining weeks of the season to qualify for the ATP Tour Finals. He has won 23 of his 33 outdoor hard court matches this year with two quarter-finals, one semi-final and he won the Auckland title this year.
Alexander Bublik has lost his last two matches against Mensik in straight sets, both played last year.
He is 24th in the ATP Live Race with an 11-5 record this year and the Hong Kong title won.
Bublik has lost three of his last five outdoor hard court matches, most recently reaching round three of the US Open.
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Alexander Bublik v Jakub Mensik Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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2.37 | 1.57 |
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2.41 | 1.61 |
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2.4 | 1.58 |
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2.4 | 1.58 |
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2.4 | 1.58 |
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Who will win the Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik match is: Jakub Mensik wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik game on 01/10/2026 of the current ATP Beijing Open season:
- Alexander Bublik has a 43.25% chance to win against Jakub Mensik according to Shangrila ⭐ with the odds of 2.45.
- Jakub Mensik has a 56.75% probability of winning facing Alexander Bublik ⭐ with odds of 1.61 at 1xbet.
Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alexander Bublik has a 43.25 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Alexander Bublik | 43.25 % |
| Jakub Mensik | 56.75 % |
Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik Form
Alexander Bublik and Jakub Mensik Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
4 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
2 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
30 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open
25 Jul 2026 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open
24 Jul 2026 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open
23 Jul 2026 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
18 Sept 2026 - Davis Cup
5 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
3 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
31 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open
19 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
17 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
29 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
4 Feb 2025 - ATP Rotterdam
1 Jul 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Alexander Bublik - Jakub Mensik Key Points
- Mensik has won his last two matches against Bublik,
- Mensik didn't drop a set in either of those two wins.
- Bublik has lost three of his last five outdoor hard court matches.
- Mensik is nine places above his opponent in the ATP Live Race.
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Our Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik Prediction
The next few weeks are going to be important for Jakub Mensik as he bids to try and reach the end-of-season ATP Tour Finals. He has had a good season on outdoor hard courts with one title won and going deep in three other tournaments. He's won his last two matches against Bublik.
Alexander Bublik made a good start to the year on this surface with one title won and the fourth round of the Australian Open reached. He's been a bit inconsistent then with his best results on clay. Our Alexander Bublik v Jakub Mensik prediction is Jakub Mensik wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.