Alexander Bublik vs Alex De Minaur Prediction & Betting Tips - Rolex Paris Masters

ATP - Rolex Paris Masters

ATP 11 Kazachstan
Alexander Bublik
31/10/2025 10:40
ATP 7 Australia
Alex De Minaur

Prediction :

 

Alex De Minaur wins

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Rolex Paris Masters Predictions

Sixth seed Alex de Minaur is in his third successive Paris Masters quarter-final. The Australian faces the 13th seed Alexander Bublik for a place in the last four against either Valentin Vacherot or Felix Auger-Aliassime. Here's our match prediction.

Alex de Minaur is seventh in both the live rankings and the ATP Race. A win over Bublik will take him into the end-of-season ATP Tour Finals. Thursday saw him beat 10th seed Karen Khachanov, losing only four games. That followed a three-set victory over Gabriel Diallo in round two.

De MInaur is ultra-consistent and this is his fifth consecutive hard court quarter-final with ten in total this year. He leads Bublik 3-1 in previous meetings and has won both of their matches played on a hard court.

Alexander Bublik is playing in his first Paris Masters quarter-final. The Czech has beaten Alexei Popyrin, Corentin Moutet and on Thursday, fourth-seeded Taylor Fritz. Bublik is in his second quarter-final in a row, reaching this stage in Vienna last week.

Last month saw him win the ATP Tour hard court tournament played in Hangzhou. He's up to a career-high 13th in the live rankings and 12th in the ATP Race. This could be close but we tip de Minaur to get the win.

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The Best Betting Odds for Alexander Bublik v Alex De Minaur Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.1 1.73
William Hill
2.1 1.73
Unibet
2.1 1.75
Betway
2.1 1.73
Ladbrokes
2.1 1.67
Check all Alexander Bublik vs Alex De Minaur odds

Who will win the Alexander Bublik vs Alex De Minaur Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Alexander Bublik vs Alex De Minaur match is: Alex de Minaur wins.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alexander Bublik vs Alex De Minaur game on 31/10/2025 of the current Rolex Paris Masters season:

  • Alexander Bublik has a 45.56% chance to win against Alex De Minaur according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 2.13.
  • Alex De Minaur has a 54.44% probability of winning facing Alexander Bublik ⭐ with odds of 1.76 at LSbet.

Alexander Bublik vs Alex De Minaur Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alexander Bublik has a 45.56 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Alexander Bublik45.56 %
Alex De Minaur54.44 %

Alexander Bublik vs Alex De Minaur Form

Alexander Bublik and Alex De Minaur Last Matches

Alexander Bublik Last matches
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

30 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Taylor Fritz
0 :  2
Alexander Bublik

29 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Corentin Moutet
0 :  2
Alexander Bublik

27 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Alexei Popyrin
0 :  2
Alexander Bublik

24 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna

Jannik Sinner
2 :  0
Alexander Bublik

23 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna

Francisco Cerundolo
0 :  2
Alexander Bublik

20 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna

Alejandro Tabilo
0 :  2
Alexander Bublik
Alex De Minaur Last matches
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

30 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Karen Khachanov
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur

29 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Gabriel Diallo
1 :  2
Alex De Minaur

25 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna

Jannik Sinner
2 :  0
Alex De Minaur

24 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna

Alex De Minaur
2 :  0
Matteo Berrettini

22 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna

Alex De Minaur
2 :  0
Filip Misolic

20 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna

Alex De Minaur
2 :  0
Jurij Rodionov

Alexander Bublik vs Alex De Minaur Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Alexander Bublik

33 %

Alex De Minaur

67 %

29 May 2025 - ATP French Open

Alex De Minaur
2 :  3
Alexander Bublik

10 Mar 2024 - ATP Indian Wells

Alexander Bublik
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur

13 Jan 2021 - Antalya, Turkey

Alexander Bublik
- :  -
Alex De Minaur

Alexander Bublik - Alex De Minaur Key Points

  1. De Minaur is playing in his third successive Paris Masters quarter-final.
  2. This is de Minaur's fifth consecutive appearance in the last eight of a hard court tournament.
  3. De Minaur has won both of his previous hard court matches against Bublik.
  4. Only six players have earned more ranking points this year than de Minaur.
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Our Alexander Bublik vs Alex De Minaur Prediction

Between them these two players have won 100 matches this year. Alex de Minaur has won 53 of those and is just so consistent at present on this surface. The Australian is playing in his fifth consecutive hard court quarter-final and third in Paris.

He was impressive when dropping only four games against Karen Khachanov on Thursday. He's never lost on this surface to Bublik but this could be a close match. Our Alexander Bublik v Alex de Minaur prediction is Alex de Minaur wins.

Prediction :

 

Alex De Minaur wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Alexander Bublik vs Alex De Minaur Prediction