Alex De Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Washington Citi Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Defending champion Alex de Minaur has a tough draw in round one of the Mubadala Citi DC Open. The top seed faces unseeded Stefanos Tsitsipas who has beaten him 14 times. Our prediction is Tsitsipas wins a set.
In round two, the winner will face either a qualifier or a lucky loser.
Alex de Minaur won this outdoor hard court tournament last year and was also the losing finalist in 2018. Despite that success, the Australian has lost his first match in this tournament on three occasions.
This year has seen him win an indoor hard court tournament. Outdoors, he has reached one quarter-final in the Australian Open. His last two matches played on outdoor hard courts have been lost, more about one of those losses in the next paragraph.
Tsitsipas leads de Minaur 14-2 in previous meetings and 6-1 on this surface. Their most recent meeting was in Miami this year with the Greek winning in straight sets. Tsitsipas comes into this tournament fresh from winning a clay court tournament in Bastad.
He has an 8-6 record on outdoor hard courts this year with a quarter-final in Doha. He won all three of his matches in the team tournament United Cup and has had wins over Taylor Fritz, Daniil Medvedev and de Minaur this year.
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Alex De Minaur v Stefanos Tsitsipas Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.51 | 2.5 |
|
|
1.55 | 2.46 |
|
|
1.58 | 2.38 |
|
|
1.58 | 2.38 |
|
|
1.55 | 2.46 |
|
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Who will win the Alex De Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Alex De Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas match is: Stefanos Tsitsipas wins a set.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alex De Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas game on 27/07/2026 of the current ATP Washington Citi Open season:
- Alex De Minaur has a 51.24% chance to win against Stefanos Tsitsipas according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.58.
- Stefanos Tsitsipas has a 48.76% probability of winning facing Alex De Minaur ⭐ with odds of 2.62 at Bet365.
Alex De Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alex De Minaur has a 51.24 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Alex De Minaur | 51.24 % |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | 48.76 % |
Alex De Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Form
Alex De Minaur and Stefanos Tsitsipas Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
6 Jul 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
4 Jul 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
2 Jul 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
30 Jun 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
19 Jun 2026 - ATP London - Queen's
17 Jun 2026 - ATP London - Queen's
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
19 Jul 2026 - ATP Swiss Open Gstaad
18 Jul 2026 - ATP Swiss Open Gstaad
17 Jul 2026 - ATP Swiss Open Gstaad
15 Jul 2026 - ATP Swiss Open Gstaad
14 Jul 2026 - ATP Swiss Open Gstaad
1 Jul 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Alex De Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
83 %
20 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
14 May 2024 - ATP Italian Open
29 Feb 2024 - ATP Acapulco Open
5 Aug 2023 - ATP Los Cabos Open
21 Apr 2023 - ATP Barcelona
13 Oct 2021 - ATP Indian Wells
Alex De Minaur - Stefanos Tsitsipas Key Points
- Tsitsipas leads de Minaur 14-2 in previous meetings, 6-1 on this surface.
- Tsitsipas has won a set in three of his last four outdoor hard court matches.
- Tsitsipas has won a set against de Minaur in all but one of their previous 16 matches.
- De Minaur has lost a set in each of his last five outdoor hard court matches.
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Our Alex De Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Prediction
It's a really tough draw for the defending champion and top seed. Alex de Minaur has a terrible record against Tsitsipas and last beat him in 2024, the other win being nine years ago. This is his first tournament since Wimbledon.
Stefanos Tsitsipas won an ATP Tour clay court tournament and has had time to recover from that. He has lacked consistency this year but is definitely capable of at least winning a set. Our Alex de Minaur v Stefanos Tsitsipas prediction is Stefanos Tsitsipas wins a set.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
