Alex De Minaur vs Casper Ruud Prediction & Betting Tips - United Cup

United Cup - United Cup

ATP 7 Australia
Alex De Minaur
03/01/2026 04:45
ATP 12 Norway
Casper Ruud

Prediction :

 

More than 21.5 games

1.55
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 by Steve Ashfield | in United Cup Predictions

Host nations Australia begin their outdoor hard court United Cup group campaign with a tie against Norway. Alex de Minaur faces Casper Ruud in the men's singles and both players have an excellent record in this competition. Find out more in our match prediction.

Also in this United Cup Group D are the Czech Republic. 

Alex de Minaur is the world number six and last year made it to at least the quarter-finals in 13 tournaments, winning the title in Washington. In the United Cup, he's played eight singles matches, winning six of them, including the last five.

Against Casper Ruud, the Australian has won two of their three matches. Both of the last two meetings have been won by de Minaur. The only win for Ruud came on a clay court back in 2018.

Casper Ruud has won six of his seven singles matches in this tournament, only losing to Matteo Berrettini. He's also won his last five singles, helping Norway to reach the quarter-finals for the past two years.

The world number 12 won two tournaments last year, one on an indoor hard court surface. This looks like being a close match between these two players. Our prediction is for more than 21.5 games to be played.

The Best Betting Odds for Alex De Minaur v Casper Ruud Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.33 3.4
Melbet
1.29 3.6
BC Game
1.29 3.45
Tonybet
1.3 3.35
888Starz
1.29 3.58
Check all Alex De Minaur vs Casper Ruud odds

Who will win the Alex De Minaur vs Casper Ruud Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Alex De Minaur vs Casper Ruud match is: more than 21.5 games.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alex De Minaur vs Casper Ruud game on 03/01/2026 of the current United Cup season:

  • Alex De Minaur has a 58.96% chance to win against Casper Ruud according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.33.
  • Casper Ruud has a 41.04% probability of winning facing Alex De Minaur ⭐ with odds of 3.6 at Melbet.

Alex De Minaur vs Casper Ruud Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alex De Minaur has a 58.96 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Alex De Minaur58.96 %
Casper Ruud41.04 %

Alex De Minaur vs Casper Ruud Form

Alex De Minaur and Casper Ruud Last Matches

Alex De Minaur Last matches
W L L L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

15 Nov 2025 - ATP London - Queen's

Jannik Sinner
2 :  0
Alex De Minaur

13 Nov 2025 - ATP Finals

Taylor Fritz
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur

11 Nov 2025 - ATP Finals

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  1
Alex De Minaur

9 Nov 2025 - ATP Finals

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Alex De Minaur

31 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Alexander Bublik
2 :  1
Alex De Minaur

30 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Karen Khachanov
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur
Casper Ruud Last matches
W W W W W L
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

29 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Daniel Altmaier
2 :  0
Casper Ruud

23 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel

Casper Ruud
2 :  0
Stan Wawrinka

22 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel

Casper Ruud
2 :  0
Quentin Halys

19 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open

Ugo Humbert
0 :  2
Casper Ruud

18 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open

Denis Shapovalov
0 :  2
Casper Ruud

17 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open

Sebastian Korda
1 :  2
Casper Ruud

Alex De Minaur vs Casper Ruud Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Alex De Minaur

100 %

Casper Ruud

0 %

2 Mar 2024 - ATP Acapulco Open

Alex De Minaur
2 :  0
Casper Ruud

Alex De Minaur - Casper Ruud Key Points

  1. Four of de Minaur's last seven matches have had more than 21.5 games played in them.
  2. A 7-5 or 7-6 set would help our prediction. De Minaur has played seven in his last five matches.
  3. Both players have excellent records in this tournament and a lengthy match looks likely.
  4. Ruud has played a 7-5 or 7-6 set in each of his last four matches.

Our Alex De Minaur vs Casper Ruud Prediction

This is the second match in this group game between Australia and Norway. The pressure is likely to be on Ruud as the Norwegians are expected to win the opening women's singles match. If that's so, Ruud must beat de Minaur to keep Norway alive.

Both players have strong winning records in this team tournament. Alex de Minaur was so consistent last year and has won two of his three previous matches against Ruud. Our Alex de Minaur v Casper Ruud prediction is more than 21.5 games.

Prediction :

 

More than 21.5 games

1.55
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Alex De Minaur vs Casper Ruud Prediction