Alejandro Tabilo vs Ignacio Buse Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Rio Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Two unseeded players face each other in the last four of the Rio Open. Alejandro Tabilo is up against Ignacio Buse for a place in the final of this outdoor clay court tournament. Read our match prediction below.
The winner will take on either eighth seed Tomas Martin Etcheverry or unseeded Vit Kopriva in Sunday's final.
Alejandro Tabilo is the more experienced of these two semi-finalists. The 28-year-old has previously reached two ATP Tour finals on this surface (losing both), his last being in Chile two years ago. He's been as high as 19th in the rankings.
Tabilo is up to 52nd after beating Emilio Nava, Francesco Passaro and Thiago Agustin Tirante this week, needing three sets in the last two. He leads Buse 2-0 in previous meetings but this is their first match on clay.
Ignacio Buse has made it to the semi-finals on his debut in Rio. The first two rounds saw him play Igor Marcondes and third-seeded Joao Fonseca. Both matches were won after the 21-year-old lost the opening set.
In his quarter-final, Buse again needed three sets to beat Matteo Berrettini, though this time he won the opening set. Buse is a career-high 66th iin the live rankings. We tip Tabilo to reach the final.
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Alejandro Tabilo v Ignacio Buse Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.67 | 2.21 |
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1.67 | 2.21 |
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|
1.62 | 2.2 |
|
|
1.63 | 2.18 |
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|
1.63 | 2.18 |
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Who will win the Alejandro Tabilo vs Ignacio Buse Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Alejandro Tabilo vs Ignacio Buse match is: Alejandro Tabilo wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alejandro Tabilo vs Ignacio Buse game on 22/02/2026 of the current ATP Rio Open season:
- Alejandro Tabilo has a 53.57% chance to win against Ignacio Buse according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.67.
- Ignacio Buse has a 46.43% probability of winning facing Alejandro Tabilo ⭐ with odds of 2.22 at Shangrila.
Alejandro Tabilo vs Ignacio Buse Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alejandro Tabilo has a 53.57 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Alejandro Tabilo | 53.57 % |
| Ignacio Buse | 46.43 % |
Alejandro Tabilo vs Ignacio Buse Form
Alejandro Tabilo and Ignacio Buse Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
20 Feb 2026 - ATP Rio Open
18 Feb 2026 - ATP Rio Open
16 Feb 2026 - ATP Rio Open
13 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
11 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
10 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
20 Feb 2026 - ATP Rio Open
19 Feb 2026 - ATP Rio Open
16 Feb 2026 - ATP Rio Open
12 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
10 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
11 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open
Alejandro Tabilo - Ignacio Buse Key Points
- Tabilo is 47 places ahead of Buse in the live rankings.
- Buse has lost both of his previous matches against Tabilo.
- Buse has lost three sets on his way to this semi-fiinal.
- Tabilo has won ten of his 12 clay court matches played in 2026.
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Our Alejandro Tabilo vs Ignacio Buse Prediction
Alejandro Tabilo has made a strong start to his 2026 clay court season. The Chilean has reached one Challenger Tour final and was a quarter-finalist in Buenos Aires last week. He's again been going well in Rio and has only lost two of his 12 matches played on clay this year.
Ignacio Buse reached one ATP Tour clay court semi-final last year. His only other clay court tournament played this year saw him lose in round two in Buenos Aires. It's taken nine sets to reach the last four. Our Alejandro Tabilo v Ignacio Buse prediction is Alejandro Tabilo wins.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
