Spain - LaLiga
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by Kennedy Kechula | in LaLiga Predictions
At this point in the season, Valencia should be satisfied with their position, but they can actually push for European football. Sitting 10th after 35 rounds, they travel to 17th-placed Alaves, who are battling relegation. Read on for our prediction of this match.
Hosts Alaves are above the bottom three by just one point. It means they can’t afford to drop more points, as they did in the last game, a 1-0 defeat at Athletic Bilbao.
Goals are also drying up at Alaves at a very crucial juncture of their season. Los Babazorros have failed to score four times in their last five outings. Meanwhile, they’ve managed just one goal in their last four home league matches.
Valencia had a troubled start to the season and have struggled for the better part of their La Liga campaign. Towards the end of the season, though, they’ve turned on the style and are one of the in-form sides heading into matchday 36.
Los Che have, in the last nine league matches, won more matches (six) than they did in their opening 26. To this game, they carry a 10-match undefeated run.
Beating Getafe 3-0 last time out lifted the team to 10th, and they are just two points below the European football slots. That win marked the second straight outing in which they scored three times.
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The Best Betting Odds for Alavés v Valencia Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.25 | 2.88 | 3.8 |
|
|
2.25 | 2.88 | 3.75 |
|
|
2.25 | 2.8 | 3.75 |
|
|
2.3 | 2.88 | 3.6 |
|
|
2.45 | 2.2 | 3.9 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Alavés and Valencia?
Our prediction for the Alavés vs Valencia match is: Valencia to win with a clean sheet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/05/2025 between Alavés and Valencia in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 28.03% for a win of Alavés against Valencia with odds of 2.45 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Alavés vs Valencia is 36.84% with odds of 3.15 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.12% chance ⭐ for a win of Valencia vs Alavés with odds of 3.9 at Ladbrokes.
Alavés - Valencia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Alavés Valencia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 36.84% | 3.15 at Stake |
| Under 2.5 | 71.07% | 1.86 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 46.67% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 16.09% | 4 at Bet365 |
Alavés vs Valencia Form
Alavés and Valencia's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
46 | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | -10 |
|
15
|
42 | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | -10 |
Alavés and Valencia Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 May 2025 - LaLiga
3 May 2025 - LaLiga
23 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
20 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
13 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
5 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2025 - LaLiga
23 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
13 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
8 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 May 2025 - LaLiga
20 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
5 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
14 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
2 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2025 - LaLiga
3 May 2025 - LaLiga
22 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
19 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
11 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
5 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2025 - LaLiga
22 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
11 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
30 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
8 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2025 - LaLiga
19 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
5 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
15 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
2 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
Alavés vs Valencia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
5 May 2024 - LaLiga
2 Sep 2023 - LaLiga
13 Feb 2022 - LaLiga
27 Aug 2021 - LaLiga
Alavés against Valencia Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
A. Abqar
T. Correia
MidfielderA. Almeida
Most goals and assists
Alavés
Valencia
K. Garcia
(13 Goals)
H. Duro
(11 Goals)
C. Vicente
(5 Assists)
D. Lopez
(4 Assists)
,
L. Rioja
(4 Assists)
, 
A. Almeida
(4 Assists)
Alavés - Valencia Key Points
- Alaves scored once in their last four league matches at home.
- In five of their last nine home league games, Alaves lost to nil.
- In their last 15 La Liga outings, Alaves managed only three wins.
- Valencia are undefeated in their last 10 league fixtures, winning six.
- Valencia are unbeaten in their last four matches against the bottom four sides.
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Our Alavés vs Valencia Prediction
The last time Valencia tasted defeat was in February, at home to Atletico Madrid. Since then, it has been 10 matches, a run in which they have secured six wins. The visitors will, therefore, head into this one as clear favorites, and they are unbeaten against the current bottom four sides.
It makes their work easier as well, that they face a struggling side, which has also had a poor run in attack. Our prediction for Alaves v Valencia is for Valencia to win with a clean sheet.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Alavés Valencia
| Alavés vs Valencia | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alavés wins | 2.05 | 2.25 | +9.8% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 2.88 | -11.4% |
| Valencia wins | 3.8 | 3.8 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 11.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 30.8% and is now 34.7% (4.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Alavés vs. Valencia game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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