Girona vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Girona
21/12/2025 08:00
Atletico Madrid

Prediction :

 

Atletico Madrid to win and over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions

The fight for La Liga survival continues at Girona as they host title-chasing Atletico Madrid this Sunday. Despite winning last time out, Girona are still stuck in the bottom three, while Atletico Madrid remain fourth after bouncing back from two straight league defeats. Read on for our prediction of the match.

Girona will be targeting back-to-back La Liga wins for the first time since January. They claimed a 2-1 victory at Real Sociedad last time out and are only kept in the bottom three by goal difference.

After a tough season so far, the Catalans can now target leaving the relegation region this weekend. With two goal contributions in his last two league games, Azzedine Ounahi will be missed, as he has left for the AFCON. 

Atletico Madrid will head into this game off the back of three straight wins. Their most recent outing was a Copa del Rey encounter with Baleares, which they won 3-2.

Earlier La Liga losses to Barcelona and Athletic Bilbao slowed down their push in the title challenge. Here they will be looking to avoid a third straight defeat away in La Liga.

Atletico claimed a 4-0 win the last time they visited Girona, and it was the third straight time they scored three in this matchup. In their earlier three matches against teams in the bottom four, Atletico posted wins.

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Girona v Atletico Madrid Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
4.9 3.95 1.75
Melbet
5.25 3.78 1.67
Betwinner
4.9 4.06 1.66
Bet365
5 3.8 1.7
Roobet
4.7 3.7 1.72
Check all Girona vs Atletico Madrid odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Girona and Atletico Madrid?

Our prediction for the Girona vs Atletico Madrid match is: Atletico Madrid to win and over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/12/2025 between Girona and Atletico Madrid in LaLiga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 27.48% for a win of Girona against Atletico Madrid with odds of 5.25 at Melbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Girona vs Atletico Madrid is 19.74% with odds of 4.22 at 888Starz.
  • Our prediction model gives a 52.77% chance ⭐ for a win of Atletico Madrid vs Girona with odds of 1.75 at Stake.

Girona - Atletico Madrid Prediction and Best Odds:

Girona Atletico Madrid Prediction Probability Odds
Atletico Madrid wins 52.77% 1.75 at Stake
Over 2.5 goals 56.66% 1.85 at Bet365
Both Team To Score 50.83%
Half-time / Full-time: Atletico Madrid/Atletico Madrid 21.49% 2.63 at Bet365

Girona vs Atletico Madrid Form

Girona and Atletico Madrid's standings in the LaLiga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4 Atletico Madrid
69 38 21 6 11 +18
19 Girona
41 38 9 14 15 -16

Girona and Atletico Madrid Last Matches

Girona
Girona Last matches
W D D L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

12 Dec 2025 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
1 :  2
Girona

7 Dec 2025 - LaLiga

Elche
3 :  0
Girona

3 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey

Ourense CF
2 :  1
Girona

30 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Girona
1 :  1
Real Madrid

23 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Betis
1 :  1
Girona

8 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Girona
1 :  0
Alavés
L D W D W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

30 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Girona
1 :  1
Real Madrid

8 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Girona
1 :  0
Alavés

25 Oct 2025 - LaLiga

Girona
3 :  3
Real Oviedo

4 Oct 2025 - LaLiga

Girona
2 :  1
Valencia

26 Sept 2025 - LaLiga

Girona
0 :  0
Espanyol

20 Sept 2025 - LaLiga

Girona
0 :  4
Levante
W L D L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

12 Dec 2025 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
1 :  2
Girona

7 Dec 2025 - LaLiga

Elche
3 :  0
Girona

3 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey

Ourense CF
2 :  1
Girona

23 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Betis
1 :  1
Girona

31 Oct 2025 - LaLiga

Getafe
2 :  1
Girona

28 Oct 2025 - Copa del Rey

CD Constancia
2 :  3
Girona
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid Last matches
W L L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

17 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey

Atlético Baleares
2 :  3
Atletico Madrid

13 Dec 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Valencia

9 Dec 2025 - Champions League

PSV Eindhoven
2 :  3
Atletico Madrid

6 Dec 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
1 :  0
Atletico Madrid

2 Dec 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
3 :  1
Atletico Madrid

29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  0
Real Oviedo
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

13 Dec 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Valencia

29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  0
Real Oviedo

26 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Inter Milan

8 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  1
Levante

4 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
3 :  1
Union Saint-Gilloise

1 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  0
Sevilla
W W L L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

17 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey

Atlético Baleares
2 :  3
Atletico Madrid

9 Dec 2025 - Champions League

PSV Eindhoven
2 :  3
Atletico Madrid

6 Dec 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
1 :  0
Atletico Madrid

2 Dec 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
3 :  1
Atletico Madrid

23 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Getafe
0 :  1
Atletico Madrid

27 Oct 2025 - LaLiga

Betis
0 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Girona vs Atletico Madrid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Girona

17 %

Draw

0 %

Atletico Madrid

83 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.67
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
2.67
Goals conceded
83.33%
Over 2.5
16.67%
Under 2.5

25 May 2025 - LaLiga

Girona
0 :  4
Atletico Madrid

25 Aug 2024 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  0
Girona

13 Apr 2024 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  1
Girona

3 Jan 2024 - LaLiga

Girona
4 :  3
Atletico Madrid

13 Mar 2023 - LaLiga

Girona
0 :  1
Atletico Madrid

8 Oct 2022 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Girona
Girona vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

Girona against Atletico Madrid Lineups: Starting 11

Girona

Formation : 4 - 5 - 1

13
P. Gazzaniga
16
A. Frances
12
V. Reis
17
D. Blind
24
A. Moreno
15
V. Tsygankov
4
M. Arnau
20
A. Witsel
23
I. Martin
3
J. Roca
19
V. Vanat
19
J. Alvarez
9
A. Sorloth
23
N. Gonzalez
8
B. Pablo
6
Koke
20
G. Simeone
3
M. Ruggeri
17
D. Hancko
18
M. Pubill
14
M. Llorente
13
J. Oblak

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Atletico Madrid

Substitutes

Girona
Girona
Goalkeeper

A. Andreev

D. Livakovic

Defender

H. Rincon

A. Frances 61'

G. Camara

Midfielder

Bryan Gil

M. Arnau 61'

J. Solis

V. Tsygankov 71'

T. Lemar

I. Martin 71'

Forward

Y. Asprilla

J. Roca 46'

P. Ba

J. Arango

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Goalkeeper

S. Esquivel

J. Musso

Defender

R. Le Normand

C. Gallagher 77'

N. Molina

A. Puric

Midfielder

J. Cardoso

J. Galan

C. Gallagher

N. Gonzalez 28'

A. Griezmann

M. Llorente 77'

Forward

C. Martin

T. Almada

J. Alvarez 77'

G. Raspadori

A. Sorloth 82'

Missing players

Girona
Girona
Goalkeeper

V. Krapyvtsov

Midfielder

D. van de Beek

A. Ounahi

R. Artero Ruiz

Forward

Portu

A. Ruiz

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Defender

C. Lenglet

J. Gimenez

Midfielder

A. Baena

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Girona
CD Huachipato Atletico Madrid
Top Goalscorer
Ukraine V. Vanat (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Norway A. Sorloth (13 Goals)
Best assists
Ukraine V. Tsygankov (5 Assists)
Best assists
Argentina G. Simeone (6 Assists)

Girona - Atletico Madrid Key Points

  1. Atletico Madrid have beaten three of the bottom four teams this season.
  2. On average, 2.8 goals were scored in Girona’s league matches this season.
  3. Atletico Madrid scored 3+ goals in their last three meetings with Girona.
  4. Girona are winless in 13 of their 16 league matches, losing seven times.
  5. In their last 10 matches across all competitions, Atletico Madrid won eight.
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Our Girona vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

Atletico Madrid have done well against bottom teams this season, beating three sides inside the current bottom four. Their form against Girona suggests this run might continue here. Atletico have not only dominated Girona but have been doing it comfortably.

In their last three meetings with the Catalans, Atletico scored 10 times while conceding once. At one point on their visit to Girona, Atletico conceded four goals. That goes in line with our prediction of a high-scoring match. Our prediction for Girona v Atletico Madrid is for Atletico Madrid to win and over 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Atletico Madrid to win and over 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Girona Atletico Madrid

Girona vs Atletico Madrid Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Girona wins 4.92 5.25 +6.7%
Draw 3.92 4.22 +7.7%
Atletico Madrid wins 1.68 1.75 +4.2%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Atletico Madrid is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 4.2% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 59.5% and is now 57.1% (-2.4%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.