Alavés vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Alavés have put up a late show in their survival push and will hope to keep it going when they host Athletic Bilbao. The hosts have risen to 16th, two points above the bottom three, and face 10th-placed Athletic, whose hopes for Europe have significantly weakened. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Alaves got a shot in the arm in their 2-1 win at Mallorca. With that, they didn’t just recover from the loss to Real Madrid but also took firm control of their La Liga destiny.
Babazorros have collected points against Villarreal, Celta Vigo, and Real Sociedad across their last six matches. Having also beaten Athletic Bilbao in the reverse match, they’ll be positive going into this game.
Athletic’s hopes for Europe keep dwindling, and in their last match, they took yet another hit. Los Leones suffered a 3-2 defeat at the hands of Atletico Madrid last time out.
That was their sixth loss in eight matches, and in each of the last four defeats they conceded two or more goals. Among the teams currently above the relegation zone, none has lost more than Athletic Bilbao’s 16.
Their away form has also been a highlight, the team managing just three wins in 16. They carry here three straight defeats in La Liga matches on the road.
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Alavés v Athletic Bilbao Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.85 | 3.35 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.84 | 3.26 | 2.53 |
|
|
2.84 | 3.26 | 2.53 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.4 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.74 | 3.3 | 2.54 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Alavés and Athletic Bilbao?
Our prediction for the Alavés vs Athletic Bilbao match is: Alaves wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/05/2026 between Alavés and Athletic Bilbao in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.04% for a win of Alavés against Athletic Bilbao with odds of 2.95 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Alavés vs Athletic Bilbao is 29.4% with odds of 3.45 at Shangrila.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.55% chance ⭐ for a win of Athletic Bilbao vs Alavés with odds of 2.62 at 888Starz.
Alavés - Athletic Bilbao Prediction and Best Odds:
| Alavés Athletic Bilbao Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Alavés wins | 39.04% | 2.95 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.75% | 2.03 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 62.92% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Alavés/Alavés | 14.47% | 4.5 at Bet365 |
Alavés vs Athletic Bilbao Form
Alavés and Athletic Bilbao's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
45 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | -15 |
|
14
|
43 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | -12 |
Alavés and Athletic Bilbao Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
21 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
11 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
5 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
13 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
5 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
13 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
23 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
4 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
11 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
8 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
27 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
21 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
12 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
5 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
14 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
12 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
7 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
20 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
11 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
5 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
14 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
4 Mar 2026 - Copa del Rey
28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
15 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
Alavés vs Athletic Bilbao Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
22 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2025 - LaLiga
15 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
16 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
16 Jan 2024 - Copa del Rey
Alavés against Athletic Bilbao Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
G. Swiderski
R. Fernandez
DefenderJ. Pacheco
V. Koski
Y. Enriquez
E. Munoz
MidfielderA. Guevara
Calebe
J. Guridi
C. Alena
A. Manas
M. Diaz
A. Padilla
DefenderJ. Areso
D. Vivian
A. Paredes
A. Boiro
O. Sancet
M. Vesga
I. Ruiz De Galarreta
R. Navarro
N. Serrano
U. Izeta
A. Berenguer
Missing players
C. Benavidez
ForwardL. Boye
Most goals and assists
Alavés
Athletic Bilbao
T. Martinez
(14 Goals)
G. Guruzeta
(10 Goals)
C. Alena
(4 Assists)
, 
A. Rebbach
(4 Assists)
,
A. Hidalgo
(4 Assists)
Y. Berchiche
(6 Assists)
, 
I. Williams
(6 Assists)
Alavés - Athletic Bilbao Key Points
- Alaves won in their last meeting with Athletic Bilbao.
- Alaves are unbeaten in four home matches, three ending in draws.
- Athletic are winless in four away matches, the last three ending in defeat.
- Across their 16 away league games, Athletic have only won three times.
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Our Alavés vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction
Alaves will fancy their chances at sealing a league double over Athletic Bilbao. They are on a good run, having only lost to Real Madrid across their last six matches. A 2-1 win over Mallorca in the last round was a massive post and Alaves will hope to pile on Athletic’s woes.
The visitors’ recent away form has left a lot to be desired; they are winless in the last five outings on the road across all competitions. Each of the last four ended in defeat. Our prediction for Alaves v Athletic Bilbao is that Alaves wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Alavés Athletic Bilbao
| Alavés vs Athletic Bilbao | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alavés wins | 2.74 | 2.95 | +7.7% |
| Draw | 3.51 | 3.45 | -1.7% |
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 2.74 | 2.62 | -4.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Alavés is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 7.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 36.5% and is now 33.9% (-2.6%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
