Al Nasr vs Al Ahli Prediction & Betting Tips - Saudi Pro League
Saudi Arabia - Saudi Pro League
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by Nella Wagah | in Saudi Pro League Predictions
Al Nassr are facing a stern test in their push for a first Saudi Pro League title since 2019. The league leaders will be at home against third-placed Al Ahli. This match brings the two best defensive sides face-to-face, and below we have a prediction.
Al Nassr have suffered three league defeats all season, and their first was against Al Ahli. That ended 3-2, and revenge will be on the league leaders’ minds.
Coming off 19 straight wins in all competitions, the league leaders look primed to widen the buffer at the top. They are currently eight points ahead of Al Hilal, though they have played a game more.
Al Nassr arrive for this game having beaten Al Ahli Doha 5-1 in the AFC Cup semis.
Al Ahli, at 66 points, trail Al Nassr by 10 points but have a game in hand. They may be operating from the shadows in the title chase but come here on a high.
They’ve just claimed the second AFC Champions League title for the second straight season. The visitors had to go all the way to extra time to beat Machida 1-0 and will hope fatigue doesn’t slow them.
Al Ahli have lost just two of their 28 league matches and have the meanest defense, having conceded 20 goals. They are winless in the last two away league matches, though.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Al Nasr v Al Ahli Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.68 | 4.2 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.62 | 4.3 | 4.56 |
|
|
1.65 | 4.26 | 4.36 |
|
|
1.55 | 4 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.66 | 4.2 | 4.4 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Al Nasr and Al Ahli?
Our prediction for the Al Nasr vs Al Ahli match is: BTTS + Over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/04/2026 between Al Nasr and Al Ahli in Saudi Pro League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.83% for a win of Al Nasr against Al Ahli with odds of 1.68 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Al Nasr vs Al Ahli is 13.92% with odds of 4.4 at Shangrila.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.25% chance ⭐ for a win of Al Ahli vs Al Nasr with odds of 4.65 at Shangrila.
Al Nasr - Al Ahli Prediction and Best Odds:
| Al Nasr Al Ahli Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Al Nasr wins | 54.83% | 1.68 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.53% | |
| Both Team To Score: No | 50.42% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Al Nasr/Al Nasr | 25.06% | 2.5 at LSbet |
Al Nasr vs Al Ahli Form
Al Nasr and Al Ahli's standings in the Saudi Pro League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
86 | 34 | 28 | 2 | 4 | +63 |
|
3
|
81 | 34 | 25 | 6 | 3 | +46 |
Al Nasr and Al Ahli Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Apr 2026 - AFC Cup, Group A
19 Apr 2026 - AFC Cup, Group A
15 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League
11 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League
3 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League
14 Mar 2026 - Saudi Pro League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Apr 2026 - AFC Cup, Group A
15 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League
3 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League
7 Mar 2026 - Saudi Pro League
21 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League
18 Feb 2026 - AFC Cup, Group A
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - AFC Cup, Group A
11 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League
14 Mar 2026 - Saudi Pro League
28 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League
25 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League
14 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - AFC Champions League
20 Apr 2026 - AFC Champions League
17 Apr 2026 - AFC Champions League
13 Apr 2026 - AFC Champions League
8 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League
4 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - AFC Champions League
17 Apr 2026 - AFC Champions League
13 Apr 2026 - AFC Champions League
4 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League
18 Mar 2026 - Kings Cup
6 Mar 2026 - Saudi Pro League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Apr 2026 - AFC Champions League
8 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League
13 Mar 2026 - Saudi Pro League
26 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League
23 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League
13 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League
Al Nasr vs Al Ahli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League
23 Aug 2025 - Super Cup
13 Feb 2025 - Saudi Pro League
13 Sept 2024 - Saudi Pro League
15 Mar 2024 - Saudi Pro League
22 Sept 2023 - Saudi Pro League
Al Nasr against Al Ahli Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
A. Al-Otaibi
DefenderS. Alganham
N. Al-Sharari
S. Alnajdi
MidfielderA. Al-Hassan
S. Al Nasser
A. Yahya
A. Alhamddan
A. Ghareeb
A. Al-Sanbi
DefenderM. Sulaiman
R. Hamed
M. Yousef
Y. Madani
MidfielderE. Al-Muwallad
ForwardS. Abu Al-Shamat
S. Abdullah
F. Albrikan
Most goals and assists
Al Nasr
Al Ahli
Cristiano Ronaldo
(28 Goals)
I. Toney
(32 Goals)
Joao Felix
(13 Assists)
R. Mahrez
(8 Assists)
Al Nasr - Al Ahli Key Points
- Seven of Al Nassr’s last 10 matches saw 3+ goals scored.
- Four of Al Ahli’s last six away matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Only one clean sheet was recorded in these sides’ last 10 meetings.
- These teams’ last three matches saw over 2.5 goals scored.
- Both teams scored in six of Al Ahli’s last 10 matches.
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Our Al Nasr vs Al Ahli Prediction
The two best defensive sides face off here, Al Ahli having conceded 20 goals and Al Nassr 21. They both average under a goal conceded per game in the league, but not when going head to head. Their matches have been high-scoring and clean sheets really rare.
The reverse match came with the same as Al Nassr suffered one of their three defeats in the season. They look set for revenge, having scored an average 2.72 goals per game. Our prediction for Al Nassr v Al Ahli is BTTS + Over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Al Nasr Al Ahli
| Al Nasr vs Al Ahli | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Nasr wins | 1.94 | 1.68 | -13.4% |
| Draw | 3.9 | 4.4 | +12.8% |
| Al Ahli wins | 3.5 | 4.65 | +32.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Al Nasr is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 13.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 51.5% and is now 59.5% (8.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
