Ajax vs Utrecht Prediction & Betting Tips - Eredivisie
Netherlands - Eredivisie
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by Thobelani Moyo | in Eredivisie Predictions
One last hurrah on home soil sees Ajax host FC Utrecht at Johan Cruijff Arena on matchday 33 of the Eredivisie. This match between the fourth-placed Amsterdammers and eighth-placed Utreg comes with a hard-fought win for the home team.
Ajax still has the opportunity to secure a top-three finish with two games left to spare. That will depend heavily on results elsewhere, meaning they'll need NEC Nijmegen, who are one point ahead in third place, to stumble in their respective matches.
Last time out, the Sons of the Gods managed to salvage a point in a nail-biting 2-2 home draw against the freshly crowned champions PSV Eindhoven. In light of that result, they are unbeaten in their last three games (W2).
Apart from failing to win their last two league games at Johan Cruijff Arena, their overall performance this season at this venue has been convincing, with nine wins in 16 games. Currently, they boast the third-best home record with 31 points.
FC Utrecht's league form heading into this clash has been nothing short of encouraging. They've lost just two of their last 11 matches, recording seven wins and two draws along the way.
In their recent match, Ron Jans' charges neutralised NAC Breda's threat by securing a comfortable 2-0 home victory. This was consolation for their embarrassing 5-0 defeat against Excelsior Rotterdam, who had been struggling near the relegation zone.
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Ajax v Utrecht Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.59 | 4.4 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.6 | 4.32 | 5.05 |
|
|
1.59 | 4.36 | 5.1 |
|
|
1.53 | 3.9 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.56 | 4.1 | 4.9 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Ajax and Utrecht?
Our prediction for the Ajax vs Utrecht match is: Ajax wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/05/2026 between Ajax and Utrecht in Eredivisie :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.45% for a win of Ajax against Utrecht with odds of 1.62 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ajax vs Utrecht is 22.82% with odds of 4.6 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.73% chance ⭐ for a win of Utrecht vs Ajax with odds of 5.2 at Tonybet.
Ajax - Utrecht Prediction and Best Odds:
| Ajax Utrecht Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Utrecht wins | 39.73% | 5.2 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.93% | |
| Both Team To Score | 61.67% | |
| Half-time : Ajax / Full-time : Utrecht | 14.5% | 40 at LSbet |
Ajax vs Utrecht Form
Ajax and Utrecht's standings in the Eredivisie
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
56 | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | +21 |
|
6
|
53 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | +13 |
Ajax and Utrecht Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Eredivisie
25 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
11 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
4 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
22 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
14 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Eredivisie
4 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
14 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
21 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
14 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
11 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
22 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
7 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
1 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
8 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Eredivisie
26 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
11 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
4 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
22 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
15 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Eredivisie
11 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
22 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
1 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
22 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
8 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
4 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
15 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
6 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
14 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
11 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
Ajax vs Utrecht Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
20 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie
4 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie
3 Mar 2024 - Eredivisie
22 Oct 2023 - Eredivisie
21 May 2023 - Eredivisie
Ajax against Utrecht Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
P. Reverson
DefenderA. Bouwman
R. van de Pavert
T. Tomiyasu
K. Itakura
MidfielderS. Steur
R. Bounida
D. Klaassen
M. Carrizo
D. Konadu
O. Edvardsen
W. Weghorst
K. Gadellaa
M. Eppink
DefenderE. Adiele
N. Viereck
P. Kloosterboer
N. Viergever
S. Horemans
R. El Arguioui
ForwardD. Min
A. Blake
Missing players
V. Jaros
J. Heerkens
DefenderO. Zinchenko
O. Wijndal
MidfielderK. Fitz-Jim
M. Brouwer
MidfielderV. Jensen
M. Didden
O. Agougil
J. van Ommeren
ForwardM. Rodriguez
E. Demircan
Most goals and assists
Ajax
Utrecht
M. Godts
(17 Goals)
G. Zechiel
(9 Goals)
M. Godts
(12 Assists)
S. El Karouani
(12 Assists)
Ajax - Utrecht Key Points
- Ajax are unbeaten in their last three league games, including two wins.
- FC Utrecht have lost their last two away games in the Eredivisie.
- Ajax have won two of their last three home league games.
- FC Utrecht have a 25% win rate away from home in the Eredivisie.
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Our Ajax vs Utrecht Prediction
This fixture has caused significant problems for Ajax lately as they have gone three encounters without a win, including losing their last two. However, one can not ignore that they are a superior side to their opponents in this clash and should be able to win.
Utrecht are seeking to complete a league double over Ajax for the first time since February 2012. It won't be an easy feat, considering their poor away performances in the Eredivisie this season. Notably, they've lost two of their last three away meetings in this fixture. Our Ajax vs FC Utrecht prediction: Ajax wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Ajax Utrecht
| Ajax vs Utrecht | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax wins | 1.72 | 1.62 | -5.8% |
| Draw | 4.25 | 4.6 | +8.2% |
| Utrecht wins | 4.3 | 5.2 | +20.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Utrecht is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 20.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 23.3% and is now 19.2% (-4.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
