Europe - Conference League
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by Ian John in Conference League Predictions
AEK Larnaca face their opening Europa Conference League stage match after dropping into this tournament from the Europa League playoffs. They face Dutch side AZ Alkmaar at home, who have already played six games to reach this phase of the tournament, scoring an impressive 18 goals in doing so. Will our match prediction back the Larnaca Guardians or The Cheese Farmers here?
Five games into the Cypriot League season AEK Larnaca are fifth in the table with 10 points. They dropped into this tournament after losing 6-1 on aggregate to SK Brann in the Europa League playoffs. AZ have beaten Ilves (8-4 on aggregate), Vaduz (4-0 on agg) and Levski Sofia (6-1 on agg) to reach this stage. After seven games, they also lie fifth in the Eredivisie League table.
After losing to Brann, AEK Larnaca won three of their next five games. Their one defeat came away to Omonoia by a 1-0 scoreline but they followed that with an impressive 3-2 home win over Aris Limasol and then last weekend thrashed Digenis Ipsona 4-0 away from home.
AZ Alkmaar are without a win in their last three games. They travelled to PEC Zwolle and came away with a 2-2 draw just a few days after a 3-3 home draw with Feyenoord. Last weekend though, they slipped up when losing 2-1 away to NEC Nijmengen.
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The Best Betting Odds for AEK Larnaca v AZ Alkmaar Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.25 | 3.4 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.4 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.3 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.25 | 3.25 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.25 | 3.35 | 2.18 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between AEK Larnaca and AZ Alkmaar?
Our prediction for the AEK Larnaca vs AZ Alkmaar match is: AZ Alkmaar wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/10/2025 between AEK Larnaca and AZ Alkmaar in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.48% for a win of AEK Larnaca against AZ Alkmaar with odds of 3.4 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AEK Larnaca vs AZ Alkmaar is 17.26% with odds of 3.53 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.26% chance ⭐ for a win of AZ Alkmaar vs AEK Larnaca with odds of 2.21 at Stake.
AEK Larnaca vs AZ Alkmaar Form
AEK Larnaca and AZ Alkmaar Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sep 2025 - Cyta Championship
22 Sep 2025 - Cyta Championship
17 Sep 2025 - Cyta Championship
13 Sep 2025 - Cyta Championship
31 Aug 2025 - Cyta Championship
27 Aug 2025 - Europa League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Sep 2025 - Cyta Championship
31 Aug 2025 - Cyta Championship
27 Aug 2025 - Europa League
7 Aug 2025 - Europa League
31 Jul 2025 - Europa League
10 Jul 2025 - Europa League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sep 2025 - Cyta Championship
17 Sep 2025 - Cyta Championship
13 Sep 2025 - Cyta Championship
21 Aug 2025 - Europa League
14 Aug 2025 - Europa League
24 Jul 2025 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sep 2025 - Eredivisie
24 Sep 2025 - Eredivisie
21 Sep 2025 - Eredivisie
14 Sep 2025 - Eredivisie
31 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
28 Aug 2025 - Conference League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sep 2025 - Eredivisie
21 Sep 2025 - Eredivisie
28 Aug 2025 - Conference League
10 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
7 Aug 2025 - Conference League
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sep 2025 - Eredivisie
14 Sep 2025 - Eredivisie
31 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
21 Aug 2025 - Conference League
17 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
14 Aug 2025 - Conference League
Most goals and assists
AEK Larnaca
AZ Alkmaar
H. Milicevic
(3 Goals)
T. Parrott
(3 Goals)
S. Mijnans
(4 Assists)
AEK Larnaca - AZ Alkmaar Key Points
- AEK Larnaca were well-beaten by SK Brann in the Europa League playoff, dropping them into this tournament.
- AZ have lost just two of the 13 competitive games they have played this season.
- AEK Larnaca have won just two of ten Europa Conference League games they have played (losing five).
- No team has scored more goals than AZ in the Europa Conference League so far this season (18) with just five conceded.
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Our AEK Larnaca vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction
Our prediction for the AEK Larnaca vs. AZ Alkmaar Europa Conference League match is: AZ Alkmaar wins the match.
Raw data for this game suggests a close encounter with both teams in similar form. However, when viewed in context of the quality of opponent, it is clear that AZ are the stronger of the two teams. This is further evidenced by their excellent qualifying record in this competition to reach the league stage. As such, the smart money is on AZ to win this encounter.
Use £/€50 free bets for the AEK Larnaca vs. AZ Alkmaar game!
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Try your luck on this year's Conference League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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