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14 March 2021 - 15:45 

- Day 27

Italy - Serie A

AC Milan
VS
Napoli

Prediction :

Over 2.5

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AC Milan vs Napoli Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

 by Daniel Ngulu | in Serie A Prediction

Right after their 1-1 draw with Manchester United in the Europa League AC Milan will return home to a home game against Napoli at the Giuseppe Meazza Stadium in Milan. These two sides’ ambitions are not very wide apart. Hosts Milan are second in the standings and need three additional points on the 56 they have to close in on leaders Inter who are six ahead. Napoli hope to secure a Champions League slot. At the moment they are placed sixth with 47 points, three below the last Champions League slot. Milan are unbeaten in their last five matches ahead of this clash and one area they will need to improve on is in defence, having managed two clean sheets only in their last 12 matches. They lost leadership of the league to rivals Inter after a small slump but seem to be back on track, unbeaten in their last three league matches. The Rossoneri will go to this game with divided attention as they are in the middle of a Europa League tie but will hope they don’t get distracted. They won’t have top forward Zlatan Ibrahimovic as he is still injured but after conceding thrice at home to Inter, Atalanta and Juventus earlier, they’ll hope it doesn’t happen again here. A great home run is one of the major advantages Milan will have; they’ve lost just once in 13 home matches.

Napoli, on the other hand, are on a four match unbeaten run, having won three and drawn one. This season, they’ve lost to all top five sides except AS Roma. In November, they lost 3-1 to Milan and going to this game four of their last five matches have produced over 2.5 goals. They’ve scored at least two goals in their last five matches, totaling 12 but they’ve kept just one clean sheet in that period, conceding nine times. The team is now out of Europa League and can put all focus on Serie A and one area Gennaro Gatusso will want to focus on is in defence. Away from home, Napoli haven’t been at their best, being on a run of seven winless matches. After six losses on the road, they will be looking to build on the crazy 3-3 draw with Sassuolo in their last away match, which had an own goal and three penalties awarded, two in the final minute on either side.

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AC Milan vs Napoli Form

AC Milan and Napoli's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
AC Milan
AC Milan
79 38 24 7 7 33
5
Napoli
Napoli
77 38 24 5 9 45

AC Milan and Napoli Last Matches

AC Milan
AC Milan Last matches
L D W D W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.33
BTTS
67%
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
1.17
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

11 Mar 2021 - Europa League

Manchester United
1 :  1
AC Milan

7 Mar 2021 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
0 :  2
AC Milan

3 Mar 2021 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  1
Udinese

28 Feb 2021 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  2
AC Milan

25 Feb 2021 - Europa League

AC Milan
1 :  1
Red Star Belgrade

21 Feb 2021 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  3
Inter Milan
Napoli
Napoli Last matches
L L W W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.83
BTTS
67%
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
1.83
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

7 Mar 2021 - Serie A

Napoli
3 :  1
Bologna

3 Mar 2021 - Serie A

Sassuolo
3 :  3
Napoli

28 Feb 2021 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  0
Benevento Calcio

25 Feb 2021 - Europa League

Napoli
2 :  1
Granada

21 Feb 2021 - Serie A

Atalanta
4 :  2
Napoli

18 Feb 2021 - Europa League

Granada
2 :  0
Napoli

AC Milan against Napoli : Head to Head (H2H)

AC Milan

33 %

Draw

50 %

Napoli

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
2.83
BTTS
67%
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.67
Goals scored (Team 2)
1.17
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

22 Nov 2020 - Serie A

Napoli
1 :  3
AC Milan

12 Jul 2020 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  2
AC Milan

23 Nov 2019 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  1
Napoli

29 Jan 2019 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
2 :  0
Napoli

26 Jan 2019 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  0
Napoli

25 Aug 2018 - Serie A

Napoli
3 :  2
AC Milan
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AC Milan against Napoli Lineups: Starting 11

AC Milan

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

99
G. Donnarumma
5
D. Dalot
46
M. Gabbia
23
F. Tomori
19
T. Hernandez
8
S. Tonali
79
F. Kessie
7
S. Castillejo
10
H. Calhanoglu
33
R. Krunic
17
R. Leao
24
L. Insigne
14
D. Mertens
20
P. Zielinski
21
M. Politano
4
D. Demme
8
F. Ruiz
23
E. Hysaj
26
K. Koulibaly
19
N. Maksimovic
22
G. Di Lorenzo
25
D. Ospina

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Napoli

AC Milan - Napoli Key Points

  1. Napoli are winless in seven away matches.
  2. Milan have two clean sheets in the last 12 matches.
  3. Napoli have one clean sheet in the last six matches.
  4. Napoli’s last five matches have produced over 2.5 goals in four.
  5. Milan have scored two or more goals in 10 of their last 15 league matches.
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Our AC Milan vs Napoli Prediction

Both Milan and Napoli have had issues defensively going to this game. However, they all have unbeaten runs going to this game that they’ll want to protect. Napoli have scored at least two goals in their last five matches and Milan have scored at least two in 10 of their last 15 league matches. With both sides struggling defensively, over 2.5 goals looks like a good pick.

Prediction :

Over 2.5

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AC Milan vs Napoli Prediction

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