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17 September 2024 - 15:00 

- Day 1

Europe - Champions League

AC Milan
VS
Liverpool

Prediction :

Both teams to score

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AC Milan vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League

 by Steve Ashfield in Champions League Predictions

The new-look Champions League gets underway with Milan hosting Liverpool. Rather than the usual group stage, we now have a 36-team league phase with each club playing eight matches.

Liverpool's season had been going well until the weekend. Their unbeaten record disappeared when being surprisingly beaten 1-0 at home by Nottingham Forest. That has left them second in the table after Saturday's matches.

The Reds are back in the Champions League after failing to qualify last season. Instead, they played in the Europa League and were beaten in the quarter-finals. Liverpool last won this competition five years ago.

Milan also lost in the Europa League quarter-finals last season. The Red and Blacks ended up in that competition after only finishing third in their Champions League group. They have only won one of their four league games played this season.

This should be a fascinating match between these two giants of European football. Here's our Milan v Liverpool match prediction.

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The Best Betting Odds for AC Milan v Liverpool Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
3.6 3.75 1.95
Ladbrokes
3.6 2.62 2.2
1xbet
3.99 4.05 1.93
22bet
3.99 4.05 1.93
Betobet
3.7 3.8 1.9
Betwinner
3.68 3.82 1.93
Stake
3.7 3.85 1.96
Melbet
3.82 3.96 1.86
Tonybet
3.75 3.9 1.93
Check all AC Milan vs Liverpool odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between AC Milan and Liverpool?

Our prediction for the AC Milan vs Liverpool match is: Both teams to score.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/09/2024 between AC Milan and Liverpool in Champions League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.94% for a win of AC Milan against Liverpool with odds of 3.99 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AC Milan vs Liverpool is 30.19% with odds of 4.05 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 37.88% chance ⭐ for a win of Liverpool vs AC Milan with odds of 2.2 at Ladbrokes.

AC Milan - Liverpool Prediction and Best Odds:

AC Milan Liverpool Prediction Probability Odds
Liverpool wins 37.88% 2.2 at Ladbrokes
Over 2.5 goals 73.51% 1.65 at 1xbet
Both Team To Score 56.25% 1.53 at Ladbrokes
Half-time : AC Milan / Full-time : Liverpool 14.2% 21 at Bet365

AC Milan vs Liverpool Form

AC Milan and Liverpool's standings in the Champions League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5
Liverpool
Liverpool
6 2 2 0 0 4
32
AC Milan
AC Milan
0 2 0 0 2 -3

AC Milan and Liverpool Last Matches

AC Milan
AC Milan Last matches
D W D L D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.83
BTTS
83%
Goals scored
2.33
Goals conceded
1.5
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5
0%

14 Sep 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
4 :  0
Venezia

31 Aug 2024 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  2
AC Milan

24 Aug 2024 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  1
AC Milan

17 Aug 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Turin

13 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

AC Milan
3 :  1
Monza

6 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Barcelona
2 :  2
AC Milan
Liverpool
Liverpool Last matches
W D W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.17
BTTS
17%
Goals scored
1.83
Goals conceded
0.33
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

14 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
0 :  1
Nottingham Forest

1 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  3
Liverpool

25 Aug 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  0
Brentford

17 Aug 2024 - Premier League

Ipswich Town
0 :  2
Liverpool

11 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
0 :  0
Las Palmas

11 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
4 :  1
Sevilla

AC Milan against Liverpool : Head to Head (H2H)

AC Milan

0 %

Draw

0 %

Liverpool

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
4.33
BTTS
100%
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.33
Goals scored (Team 2)
3
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5
0%

16 Dec 2022 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
4 :  1
AC Milan

7 Dec 2021 - Champions League

AC Milan
1 :  2
Liverpool

15 Sep 2021 - Champions League

Liverpool
3 :  2
AC Milan
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

AC Milan - Liverpool: Form Analysis

Milan finally got their first league win of the new season at the weekend. They beat bottom-of-the-table Venezia 4-0 with all their goals being scored in the first 29 minutes ot the match. 

Before that. they had drew two and lost one of their first three Serie A games. Their opening league game saw them draw 2-2 at home with Torino after trailing 2-0 going into the 89th minute and leveling in the 95th.

A 2-1 loss at Parma was followed by a 2-2 draw at Lazio in which they both led and trailed at one stage. This is their fifth game against Liverpool with only one being won. All four previous games have seen both teams score.

Liverpool need to bounce back from Saturday's loss.

Liverpool have made a better start to the season with wins at Ipswich Town and home to Brentford. A 3-0 win at Manchester United followed before Saturday's surprise defeat at home to Nottingham Forest.

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AC Milan against Liverpool Lineups: Starting 11

AC Milan

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

16
M. Maignan
2
D. Calabria
31
S. Pavlovic
23
F. Tomori
19
T. Hernandez
29
Y. Fofana
8
R. Loftus-Cheek
11
C. Pulisic
14
T. Reijnders
10
R. Leao
7
A. Morata
20
D. Jota
18
C. Gakpo
8
D. Szoboszlai
11
M. Salah
10
A. Mac Allister
38
R. Gravenberch
21
K. Tsimikas
5
I. Konate
4
V. Van Dijk
66
T. Alexander-Arnold
1
Alisson

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Liverpool

Missing players

AC Milan
AC Milan
Goalkeeper

M. Sportiello

Defender

A. Florenzi

Midfielder

I. Bennacer

A. Saelemaekers

Liverpool
Liverpool
Midfielder

H. Elliott

AC Milan & Liverpool Squad Analysis

New signing Federico Chiesa is being given a slow introduction to life at Anfield. He wasn't in the squad for their latest Premier League game against Nottingham Forest. He could possibly feature in this Champions League match.

Definitely out for Liverpool is Harvey Elliott who has a foot fracture and will be out for a few weeks. Liverpool failed to score for the first time in a game this season on Saturday. Cody Gakpo and Darwin Nunez might be left out of the starting line-up.

Several injury problems for Milan.

There are also selection problems for the home side in this match. Milan will be without Marco Sportiello (ligament injury), Alessandro Florenzi (ACL) and Ismael Bennacer who has an ankle problem.

Also unlikely to play is their defender Malick Thiaw who has an ankle sprain. There are doubts over the fitness of Davide Calabria who didn't play against Venezia at the weekend.  Mike Maignan will be between the sticks for Milan.

AC Milan - Liverpool Key Points

  1. All four Milan league games this season have seen both teams score.
  2. Each of the previous four games played between Milan and Liverpool have seen both teams score a goal.
  3. Both teams have scored in the last two Milan home Champions League matches.
  4. Four of the last seven Liverpool away Champions League games have seen both teams get on the scoresheet.
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Our AC Milan vs Liverpool Prediction

These two sides have had contrasting starts to the new season, especially at the weekend. Liverpool got off to a great start under Arne Slot but then lost at home to Nottingham Forest 1-0 on Saturday.

Milan had been struggling in Serie A this season before the weekend when finally getting their first league win of the season. This should be a fascinating match and our Milan v Liverpool prediction is both teams to score.

Prediction :

Both teams to score

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AC Milan vs Liverpool - Other Interesting Predictions

Over 2.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals have been scored in all four of the previous matches played between these two clubs. Milan have played four games in Serie A this season and each has seen at least three goals scored.

Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis AC Milan Liverpool

AC Milan vs Liverpool Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
AC Milan wins 3.1 3.6 +16.1%
Draw 3.5 3.75 +7.1%
Liverpool wins 2.2 1.95 -11.4%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Liverpool is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 11.4% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 45.5% and is now 51.3% (5.8%)

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AC Milan vs Liverpool match : Frequently asked questions

This Champions League game between Milan and Liverpool is being played on Tuesday September 17. It has a scheduled start of 20:00 UK time.

Milan begin their 2024-25 Champions League campaign with a home game against Liverpool. That means this match is being played at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Milan. 

This match is being shown live on Amazon Prime and a subscription is required. Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our Champions League livescore with updated stats and live text commentary.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

AC Milan vs Liverpool Prediction
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