Scotland - Scottish Premiership
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by Geoffrey Ejiga in Scottish Premiership Predictions
Aberdeen will be looking to bounce back from the 1-0 Conference League loss to Strasbourg with a home win over Kilmarnock in the Scottish Premiership. We're confident the home side can win against the struggling away team, especially as a win for Aberdeen will help cement their spot in the Championship Round. Let's get into our match prediction.
Aberdeen are the rightful favourites considering the contrast between their form, overall season performance, and team quality. While Kilmarnock have lost seven of their last nine games with no wins, Aberdeen are undefeated in their last eight games before the latest loss to Strasbourg. That run saw Aberdeen win four games and draw four.
Even more interesting is the fact that Aberdeen’s eight-game unbeaten run began with a 1-0 away victory over Kilmarnock. That game also made it four wins for Aberdeen in their last five games against Kilmarnock. The trend is even stronger at home for Aberdeen, as they've now won seven of their last eight home games against Kilmarnock.
For the home side, their defence will be the main strength, as they've scored only 16 goals in the league, the joint fourth-lowest, but also conceded 16 goals (also the joint fourth-lowest). Therefore, an alternative bet could be under 2.5 total goals in this game.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Aberdeen v Kilmarnock Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.71 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
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1.8 | 3.6 | 4.5 |
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|
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1.75 | 3.5 | 4.4 |
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|
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1.8 | 3.6 | 4.2 |
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|
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1.66 | 3.75 | 4.75 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Aberdeen and Kilmarnock?
Our prediction for the Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock match is: Aberdeen wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/12/2025 between Aberdeen and Kilmarnock in Scottish Premiership :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.4% for a win of Aberdeen against Kilmarnock with odds of 1.82 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock is 33.5% with odds of 3.75 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.09% chance ⭐ for a win of Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen with odds of 4.75 at Unibet.
Aberdeen - Kilmarnock Prediction and Best Odds:
| Aberdeen Kilmarnock Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Aberdeen wins | 45.4% | 1.82 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.58% | 1.93 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score | 58.75% | 1.83 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time / Full-time : Aberdeen/Aberdeen | 17.8% | 2.75 at Bet365 |
Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock Form
Aberdeen and Kilmarnock's standings in the Scottish Premiership
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
|
11
|
12 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -14 |
Aberdeen and Kilmarnock Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
6 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
3 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
30 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership
27 Nov 2025 - Conference League
23 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
3 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
27 Nov 2025 - Conference League
23 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership
9 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership
26 Oct 2025 - Scottish Premiership
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
30 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership
6 Nov 2025 - Conference League
29 Oct 2025 - Scottish Premiership
23 Oct 2025 - Conference League
18 Oct 2025 - Scottish Premiership
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
3 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
29 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership
22 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership
9 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership
1 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
29 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership
22 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership
29 Oct 2025 - Scottish Premiership
18 Oct 2025 - Scottish Premiership
4 Oct 2025 - Scottish Premiership
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
9 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership
1 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership
26 Oct 2025 - Scottish Premiership
27 Sept 2025 - Scottish Premiership
30 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership
Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Oct 2025 - Scottish Premiership
22 Feb 2025 - Scottish Premiership
26 Dec 2024 - Scottish Premiership
25 Aug 2024 - Scottish Premiership
9 Mar 2024 - Scottish Cup
24 Feb 2024 - Scottish Premiership
Most goals and assists
Aberdeen - Kilmarnock Key Points
- Aberdeen were on an eight-game undefeated run with four wins before their Conference League loss.
- Kilmarnock are winless in their last nine games, with seven losses in that span.
- Aberdeen already beat Kilmarnock 1-0 away from home this season.
- Aberdeen have beaten Kilmarnock in four of their last five meetings in all competitions, and in seven of eight home league games.
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Our Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock Prediction
Although Kilmarnock are hungry for their first win in nine games, especially with seven defeats in that stretch, an in-form Aberdeen is poised to take the home win. They're still unbeaten in six league games, and have won x of their last x.
Among those wins was a first-leg 1-0 away victory over Kilmarnock. And that win also marks four victories in Aberdeen’s last five over Kilmarnock, and seven wins in their last eight home meetings in the league. Hence, our Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock prediction is that Aberdeen wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.