1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Rosenborg Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League
Europe - Conference League
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by Thobelani Moyo | in Conference League Predictions
Mainz is out to avoid the worst scenario in the second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League play-offs. They play host to Rosenborg at Mewa Arena to overturn a one-goal deficit. Here's our match prediction.
Mainz did not have the best of starts in the 2025-26 Bundesliga season. In the opening match, they suffered a narrow 1-0 home defeat against the newly-promoted outfit Cologne.
On the other hand, the 05ers are one match away from being eliminated from the UEFA Europa Conference League completely as their dreams of reaching the league phase hang in the balance.
Drawn against Rosenborg in the first leg of the play-offs, expectations were leaning towards a hard-fought triumph. That didn't turn out to be the case as they fell to a 2-1 defeat at Lerkendal Stadion.
The Norwegian side Rosenborg had no league duties over the weekend, which means they head into this match in full strength and prepared. They were scheduled to play Sandefjord, but that match was postponed.
En route to the UEFA Europa Conference League play-offs, Troillongan dismantled the threats of Banga and Hammarby, securing 7-0 and 1-0 aggregate wins, respectively.
In the first leg of the play-off round, it seemed as if they were the ones going to be on the wrong end of the scoreline. However, they came from a goal down to secure a 2-1 home win against Mainz.
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1 Fsv Mainz 05 v Rosenborg Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.3 | 5.6 | 8.8 |
|
|
1.28 | 6.14 | 9.49 |
|
|
1.32 | 5.7 | 8.4 |
|
|
1.28 | 6.1 | 9.4 |
|
|
1.25 | 5.5 | 8.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Rosenborg?
Our prediction for the 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Rosenborg match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/08/2025 between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Rosenborg in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.91% for a win of 1 Fsv Mainz 05 against Rosenborg with odds of 1.33 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Rosenborg is 24.95% with odds of 6.14 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.14% chance ⭐ for a win of Rosenborg vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 with odds of 9.5 at Betobet.
1 Fsv Mainz 05 - Rosenborg Prediction and Best Odds:
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Rosenborg Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 wins | 42.91% | 1.33 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.82% | 1.53 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score | 58.33% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: 1 Fsv Mainz 05 | 20.07% | 4.2 at LSbet |
1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Rosenborg Form
1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Rosenborg Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Aug 2025 - Conference League
18 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Bundesliga
4 May 2025 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Aug 2025 - Conference League
18 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Aug 2025 - Conference League
14 Aug 2025 - Conference League
7 Aug 2025 - Conference League
3 Aug 2025 - Eliteserien
31 Jul 2025 - Conference League
27 Jul 2025 - Eliteserien
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Aug 2025 - Conference League
7 Aug 2025 - Conference League
27 Jul 2025 - Eliteserien
24 Jul 2025 - Conference League
13 Jul 2025 - Eliteserien
28 Jun 2025 - Eliteserien
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Aug 2025 - Conference League
3 Aug 2025 - Eliteserien
31 Jul 2025 - Conference League
18 Jul 2025 - Eliteserien
6 Jul 2025 - Eliteserien
22 Jun 2025 - Eliteserien
1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Rosenborg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Aug 2025 - Conference League
1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Rosenborg last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 3 - 2 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
R. Zentner
DefenderA. Caci
D. da Costa
MidfielderN. Veratschnig
S. Kawasaki
L. Maloney
L. Jae-sung
ForwardN. Weiper
A. Sieb
R. Sandberg
DefenderH. Rosten
M. Ceide
MidfielderT. Dahl
I. Fossum
S. Nordli
J. Reitan Sunde
J. Bakke
ForwardN. Sahsah
Missing players
M. Dal
1 Fsv Mainz 05 - Rosenborg Key Points
- Mainz have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last two matches across all competitions.
- Rosenborg have scored in four of their last five UEFA Europa Conference League qualifying games.
- Rosenborg have seen two of their last four matches across all competitions end with both teams scoring.
- Rosenborg have seen both teams find the net in three of their last six away matches across all competitions.
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Our 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Rosenborg Prediction
Mainz needs to get their act together if it intends to see itself in the league phase of the UEFA Europa Conference League this season. Their job heading into the second leg of the qualifying round is simple, and that's to overturn a one-goal deficit.
Rosenborg is aware that a one-goal lead is not enough assurance to see them come out on top here. Defense won't be a priority, but offense will be. In the first leg, they showed attacking intent, and the same display is expected here. Our Mainz vs Rosenborg prediction: both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Rosenborg
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Rosenborg | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 wins | 1.42 | 1.33 | -6.3% |
| Draw | 4.85 | 6.14 | +26.6% |
| Rosenborg wins | 7.1 | 9.5 | +33.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- 1 Fsv Mainz 05 is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 70.4% and is now 75.2% (4.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
