Wolfsburg vs Paderborn Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Wolfsburg will be desperate to stay in the Bundesliga competition as they come up against Paderborn, who are looking to end their six-year absence from the top flight. The first leg of this relegation/promotion play-off on Thursday features the Wolves and the SCP, both of whom have troubles with their defensive units, and so our prediction is for both teams to score.
The Wolves finished 16th in the 2025-26 Bundesliga campaign and finished three points above the relegated sides. Paderborn were third in the Bundesliga 2 campaign, with only goal difference separating them from an automatic qualification spot.
Wolfsburg won 3-1 away at St Pauli on the final matchday of the Bundesliga campaign to finish in the playoff spot. It was just their first win in four league games (D2, L1) and they had won just two of their last 17 league games (D5, L10).
Even their home form has been poor, with six defeats in their last eight home league outings (D2).
Paderborn won 2-0 away at Darmstadt on the final matchday, but a four-game winless run (D2, L2) before that result meant they had to contend with third spot on goal difference.
They have been a tough cookie on the road, as they lost just one of their last seven away league outings (W3, D3, L1).
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Wolfsburg v Paderborn Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.74 | 3.95 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.68 | 4.04 | 4.74 |
|
|
1.7 | 4 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.67 | 4 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.95 | 4.9 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Wolfsburg and Paderborn?
Our prediction for the Wolfsburg vs Paderborn match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/05/2026 between Wolfsburg and Paderborn in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.27% for a win of Wolfsburg against Paderborn with odds of 1.74 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Wolfsburg vs Paderborn is 23.17% with odds of 4.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 45.56% chance ⭐ for a win of Paderborn vs Wolfsburg with odds of 5.2 at Tonybet.
Wolfsburg - Paderborn Prediction and Best Odds:
| Wolfsburg Paderborn Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Paderborn wins | 45.56% | 5.2 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.63% | 1.93 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 68.75% | |
| Half-time : Wolfsburg / Full-time : Paderborn | 16.67% | 40 at LSbet |
Wolfsburg vs Paderborn Form
Wolfsburg and Paderborn Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 May 2026 - Bundesliga
9 May 2026 - Bundesliga
3 May 2026 - Bundesliga
25 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
18 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 May 2026 - Bundesliga
25 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 May 2026 - Bundesliga
3 May 2026 - Bundesliga
18 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2026 - 2. Bundesliga
8 May 2026 - 2. Bundesliga
3 May 2026 - 2. Bundesliga
26 Apr 2026 - 2. Bundesliga
18 Apr 2026 - 2. Bundesliga
12 Apr 2026 - 2. Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 May 2026 - 2. Bundesliga
26 Apr 2026 - 2. Bundesliga
12 Apr 2026 - 2. Bundesliga
21 Mar 2026 - 2. Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - 2. Bundesliga
22 Feb 2026 - 2. Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2026 - 2. Bundesliga
3 May 2026 - 2. Bundesliga
18 Apr 2026 - 2. Bundesliga
5 Apr 2026 - 2. Bundesliga
14 Mar 2026 - 2. Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - 2. Bundesliga
Wolfsburg vs Paderborn Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Feb 2020 - Bundesliga
Wolfsburg against Paderborn Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
P. Pervan
DefenderM. Jenz
A. Zehnter
J. Adjetey
MidfielderJ. Lindstrom
K. Paredes
L. Majer
M. Amoura
K. Shiogai
M. Schubert
DefenderM. Hoffmeier
MidfielderN. Mohr
N. Batzner
D. Kinsombi
F. Gotze
K. Okpala
S. Michel
S. Tigges
Missing players
Rogerio
K. Fischer
Cleiton
MidfielderV. Souza
B. Dardai
R. Obermair
MidfielderM. Baur
B. Broger
Most goals and assists
Wolfsburg
Paderborn
D. Pejcinovic
(9 Goals)
L. Curda
(1 Goals)
,
F. Bilbija
(1 Goals)
C. Eriksen
(8 Assists)
S. Michel
(1 Assists)
,
C. Brackelmann
(1 Assists)
Wolfsburg - Paderborn Key Points
- Wolfsburg kept just one clean sheet in their last 26 matches.
- Ten of Wolfsburg’s last 13 league games at home saw both teams score goals.
- Paderborn have scored in their last 12 matches in a row.
- Thirteen of Paderborn’s last 16 league matches have produced goals from both teams.
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Our Wolfsburg vs Paderborn Prediction
There’s very little margin for error for Wolfsburg as they look to preserve their Bundesliga status for a 30th season in a row. Any slip-up here could make things difficult in the reverse leg on the road, but the Wolves have been poor with their defensive returns. Paderborn have shown their ability to score consistently and will look to stay in the tie, at least by scoring.
The last four competitive matches between these sides, although the last one came in 2020, saw both teams score, and our Wolfsburg vs Paderborn prediction is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Wolfsburg Paderborn
| Wolfsburg vs Paderborn | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wolfsburg wins | 1.73 | 1.74 | +0.6% |
| Draw | 3.85 | 4.2 | +9.1% |
| Paderborn wins | 4.5 | 5.2 | +15.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Paderborn is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 15.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 22.2% and is now 19.2% (-3.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
