Bayer Leverkusen vs Freiburg Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga

Germany - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
18/10/2026 09:30
Freiburg

Prediction :

 

Draw or Freiburg

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions

Matchday six’s biggest game features top four contenders Bayer Leverkusen and Freiburg on Sunday at BayArena in the Bundesliga campaign. This match between the fourth-placed ‘Black and Reds’ and the pre-round leaders ‘Breisgau Brazilians’ could turn out to be a surprise result with our match prediction backing the visitors on a double chance.

With ten points (W3, D1, L1), Leverkusen started this round four points behind pre-round leaders Freiburg and one point above Leipzig. Freiburg are unbeaten (W4, D1), although only above Borussia Dortmund on goal difference.

Leverkusen thrashed Lech Poznan 4-0 away from home in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday to make it five wins from their last six (D1), including four in a row. That draw came in the league, where Leverkusen have three wins from their last four. Two of those victories have come at home, both with a clean sheet, and they also boast a home win in the Europa League.

Freiburg won 3-2 at home against Jablonec in the Conference League on Thursday to extend their unbeaten run in the season, winning eight of nine (D1). That lone draw came in the league, although four victories make them dangerous. Freiburg drew 2-2 at Eintracht Frankfurt in their last away match, but three wins in a row before that is an indicator of their strengths.

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Bayer Leverkusen v Freiburg Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.68 4.30 4.40
1xbet
1.75 4.42 4.62
Melbet
1.69 4.26 4.44
Betwinner
1.69 4.26 4.44
22bet
1.69 4.26 4.44
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bayer Leverkusen and Freiburg?

Our prediction for the Bayer Leverkusen vs Freiburg match is: draw or Freiburg.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/10/2026 between Bayer Leverkusen and Freiburg in Bundesliga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 55.65% for a win of Bayer Leverkusen against Freiburg with odds of 1.75 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bayer Leverkusen vs Freiburg is 15.06% with odds of 4.42 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 29.29% chance ⭐ for a win of Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen with odds of 4.62 at 1xbet.

Bayer Leverkusen vs Freiburg Form

Bayer Leverkusen and Freiburg's standings in the Bundesliga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Freiburg
13 5 4 1 0 +10
4 Bayer Leverkusen
10 5 3 1 1 +6

Bayer Leverkusen and Freiburg Last Matches

Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen Last matches
W D W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
3 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

15 Oct 2026 - Europa League

KKS Lech Poznan
0 :  4
Bayer Leverkusen

10 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
3 :  4
Bayer Leverkusen

20 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  0
Leipzig

16 Sept 2026 - Europa League

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  0
NK Celje

12 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
2 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen

5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
4 :  0
Union Berlin
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

20 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  0
Leipzig

16 Sept 2026 - Europa League

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  0
NK Celje

5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
4 :  0
Union Berlin

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  1
Sevilla

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Bayer Leverkusen
3 :  0
Rot-Weiss Essen

29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Bayer Leverkusen
4 :  0
Genk
W W L D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

15 Oct 2026 - Europa League

KKS Lech Poznan
0 :  4
Bayer Leverkusen

10 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
3 :  4
Bayer Leverkusen

12 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
2 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen

29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga

Spvgg Elversberg
3 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen

22 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal

Wehen Wiesbaden
0 :  4
Bayer Leverkusen

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Newcastle
1 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen
Freiburg
Freiburg Last matches
W W W D W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

15 Oct 2026 - Conference League

Freiburg
3 :  2
FK Jablonec

11 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  1
Schalke 04

19 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt
2 :  2
Freiburg

12 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
5 :  0
Mönchengladbach

5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Paderborn
0 :  1
Freiburg

30 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
4 :  1
Werder Bremen
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

15 Oct 2026 - Conference League

Freiburg
3 :  2
FK Jablonec

11 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  1
Schalke 04

12 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
5 :  0
Mönchengladbach

30 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
4 :  1
Werder Bremen

27 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Freiburg
4 :  1
Motherwell

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Freiburg
3 :  0
Crystal Palace
W L W W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

19 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt
2 :  2
Freiburg

5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Paderborn
0 :  1
Freiburg

23 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal

Fortuna Dusseldorf
1 :  5
Freiburg

20 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Motherwell
1 :  3
Freiburg

31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Greuther Furth
3 :  0
Freiburg

24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Derby County
1 :  3
Freiburg

Bayer Leverkusen vs Freiburg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Bayer Leverkusen

67 %

Draw

33 %

Freiburg

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4.33
Total goals
83.33%
BTTS
2.83
Goals scored
1.5
Goals conceded
83.33%
Over 2.5
16.67%
Under 2.5

7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
3 :  3
Bayer Leverkusen

26 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  0
Freiburg

4 May 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen

21 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
5 :  1
Freiburg

17 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  3
Bayer Leverkusen

29 Oct 2023 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  1
Freiburg
Bayer Leverkusen vs Freiburg Prediction

Bayer Leverkusen vs Freiburg last Lineups

Bayer Leverkusen

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

1
M. Flekken
17
L. Vazquez
5
L. Bade
12
E. Tapsoba
3
M. Gutierrez
10
M. Tillman
24
A. Garcia
6
E. Fernandez
23
N. Tella
11
M. Terrier
30
I. Maza
9
L. Holer
32
V. Grifo
14
Y. Suzuki
22
C. Irie
6
P. Osterhage
8
M. Eggestein
30
C. Gunter
37
M. Rosenfelder
28
M. Ginter
17
L. Kubler
1
M. Backhaus

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Freiburg

Substitutes

Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Goalkeeper

N. Lomb

J. Blaswich

Defender

J. Quansah

F. Medina

Midfielder

R. Andrich

Forward

A. Moreira

M. Diaby

P. Schick

Freiburg
Freiburg
Goalkeeper

J. Huth

F. Muller

Defender

A. Jung

J. Makengo

P. Lienhart

P. Treu

Midfielder

Y. Engelhardt

R. Yamamoto

Forward

M. Zelic

I. Matanovic

K. Goto

Missing players

Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Defender

G. Doue

Midfielder

K. Eichhorn

Forward

M. Culbreath

C. Kofane

Freiburg
Freiburg

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Bayer Leverkusen
CD Huachipato Freiburg
Top Goalscorer
Czech Republic P. Schick (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Japan Y. Suzuki (4 Goals)
Best assists
Spain M. Gutierrez (3 Assists)
Best assists
Germany M. Ginter (3 Assists) , 
Germany D. Scherhant (3 Assists)

Bayer Leverkusen and Freiburg Stats in Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Freiburg
Freiburg
60%
Wins
80%
20%
Losses
0%
20%
Draws
20%
4.4
Average goals per match
3.6
2.8
Goals scored per match
2.8
1.6
Goals conceded per match
0.8
20%
Under 2.5 goals
20%
80%
Over 2.5 goals
80%
40%
No goals conceded
40%
60%
BTTS
60%

Bayer Leverkusen - Freiburg Key Points

  1. Leverkusen have failed to win four of their last seven Bundesliga matches.
  2. Leverkusen won only five of their last 12 home matches in all competitions.
  3. Freiburg won eight and drew one of their nine competitive matches this season.
  4. Freiburg are undefeated in their last four away competitive matches (W3, D1).
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Our Bayer Leverkusen vs Freiburg Prediction

With only three points separating the top four teams, this match could prove crucial in the short term in deciding the positions. Freiburg will face a test of their title credentials here, as they have lost their last three away league games against Leverkusen. That won’t make it any easier for Leverkusen, although they have been impregnable at home this season.

Two of the last three league head-to-heads ended in a draw, and going by the recent form, both teams could treat this as a ‘can’t lose’ fixture. Our Bayer Leverkusen vs Freiburg prediction is draw or Freiburg.

Prediction :

 

Draw or Freiburg

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.