West Ham vs Derby County Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

West Ham
05/09/2026 10:00
Derby County

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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 by Thobelani Moyo | in Championship Predictions

West Ham United are out to make it two wins on the bounce in the Championship when they welcome Derby County to the London Stadium on matchday five. The home team have failed to keep clean sheets in their last four league games, and with Derby finding the net in each of their last four Championship matches in this fixture, our prediction is for both teams to score.

Head coach Nuno Espirito Santo, whose job appeared to be hanging by a thread, has suddenly breathed a sigh of relief after his side's convincing performance last time out against Wolves on Tuesday.

A brace from Divine Mukasa and goals from Jarrod Bowen and Konstantinos Mavropanos saw the team secure a 4-2 victory at the London Stadium. This has placed them in 12th place in the league standings on five points.

Before this, the Hammers had failed to win any of their opening three games.

Derby County are sitting in 16th place on four points and are one point ahead of the relegation zone.

Following a sloppy display in which John Eustace's men found themselves navigating three games without a win (D1, L2), they managed to arrest that slide on Tuesday.

Portsmouth were the unfortunate team to find themselves on the receiving end of the Rams' response. Goals from Sammie Szmodics and Lars-Jorgen Salvesen saw them grind out a  2-0 victory at Fratton Park.

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West Ham v Derby County Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
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1.35 4.9 7.6
1xbet
1.35 4.9 8.15
Melbet
1.35 4.9 8.15
Betwinner
1.37 4.7 8.05
22bet
1.35 4.9 8.15
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What is the prediction for the football match between West Ham and Derby County?

Our prediction for the West Ham vs Derby County match is: BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/09/2026 between West Ham and Derby County in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 58.99% for a win of West Ham against Derby County with odds of 1.39 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between West Ham vs Derby County is 13.86% with odds of 5 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 27.15% chance ⭐ for a win of Derby County vs West Ham with odds of 8.72 at Betsson.

West Ham vs Derby County Form

West Ham and Derby County's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
12 West Ham
5 4 1 2 1 +1
16 Derby County
4 4 1 1 2 -2

West Ham and Derby County Last Matches

West Ham
West Ham Last matches
W D L W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

1 Sept 2026 - Championship

West Ham
4 :  2
Wolves

29 Aug 2026 - Championship

Watford
1 :  1
West Ham

25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Southampton
1 :  4
West Ham

22 Aug 2026 - Championship

West Ham
1 :  2
Charlton Athletic

16 Aug 2026 - Championship

Burnley
2 :  2
West Ham

8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

West Ham
3 :  1
Portsmouth
W L W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

1 Sept 2026 - Championship

West Ham
4 :  2
Wolves

22 Aug 2026 - Championship

West Ham
1 :  2
Charlton Athletic

8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

West Ham
3 :  1
Portsmouth

24 May 2026 - Premier League

West Ham
3 :  0
Leeds

10 May 2026 - Premier League

West Ham
0 :  1
Arsenal

25 Apr 2026 - Premier League

West Ham
2 :  1
Everton
W D D D W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Aug 2026 - Championship

Watford
1 :  1
West Ham

25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Southampton
1 :  4
West Ham

16 Aug 2026 - Championship

Burnley
2 :  2
West Ham

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Magdeburg
1 :  1
West Ham

26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Rangers
0 :  0
West Ham

22 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Stevenage
0 :  5
West Ham
Derby County
Derby County Last matches
D L L D L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

1 Sept 2026 - Championship

Portsmouth
0 :  2
Derby County

29 Aug 2026 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  3
Swansea

22 Aug 2026 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  2
Cardiff

15 Aug 2026 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
2 :  1
Derby County

8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Derby County
1 :  2
Lincoln City

4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Rotherham
1 :  1
Derby County
L L L L D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

29 Aug 2026 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  3
Swansea

22 Aug 2026 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  2
Cardiff

8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Derby County
1 :  2
Lincoln City

28 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Derby County
1 :  2
Valencia

24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Derby County
1 :  3
Freiburg

2 May 2026 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  2
Sheffield United
W W L D L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

1 Sept 2026 - Championship

Portsmouth
0 :  2
Derby County

15 Aug 2026 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
2 :  1
Derby County

4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Rotherham
1 :  1
Derby County

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Burton Albion
1 :  0
Derby County

31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Mansfield Town
1 :  3
Derby County

17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Alfreton
0 :  2
Derby County

West Ham vs Derby County Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

West Ham

100 %

Draw

0 %

Derby County

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
0%
BTTS
2
Goals scored
0
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

30 Jan 2023 - FA Cup

Derby County
0 :  2
West Ham
West Ham vs Derby County Prediction

West Ham vs Derby County last Lineups

West Ham

Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1

1
M. Hermansen
2
K. Walker-Peters
15
K. Mavropanos
3
M. Kilman
30
O. Scarles
20
J. Bowen
7
A. Engels
14
D. Mukasa
10
M. Solomon
9
J. Piroe
19
Pablo
11
S. Szmodics
10
R. Brewster
8
B. Clark
26
R. Hedges
20
A. Mowatt
29
O. Fraulo
18
C. Taylor
3
C. Forsyth
28
D. Sanderson
6
S. Langas
1
J. Widell Zetterstrom

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Derby County

Substitutes

West Ham
West Ham
Goalkeeper

F. Herrick

Defender

J. Veltman

E. Mayers

A. Golambeckis

Midfielder

K. Lamadrid

M. Kante

Forward

J. Ajala

T. Castellanos

A. Austbo

Derby County
Derby County
Goalkeeper

J. Vickers

Defender

M. Johnston

R. Nyambe

Midfielder

O. Eames

F. Bilbija

J. Ward

Forward

H. Meister

L. Salvesen

C. Blackett-Taylor

Missing players

West Ham
West Ham
Midfielder

T. Soucek

Derby County
Derby County
Defender

M. Clarke

D. Murkin

Forward

P. Agyemang

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato West Ham
CD Huachipato Derby County
Top Goalscorer
England D. Mukasa (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Rep. of Ireland S. Szmodics (2 Goals)
Best assists
England J. Bowen (2 Assists)
Best assists
England B. Clark (2 Assists)

West Ham and Derby County Stats in Championship

West Ham
West Ham
Derby County
Derby County
25%
Wins
25%
25%
Losses
50%
50%
Draws
25%
3.75
Average goals per match
3
2
Goals scored per match
1.25
1.75
Goals conceded per match
1.75
25%
Under 2.5 goals
25%
75%
Over 2.5 goals
75%
0%
No goals conceded
25%
100%
BTTS
50%

West Ham - Derby County Key Points

  1. West Ham United have seen both teams score in each of their four Championship games.
  2. Derby County have scored in three of their last four Championship games.
  3. West Ham United's last two home league games have seen both teams score.
  4. Three of Derby County's last four away league meetings against West Ham United have seen both teams score.
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Our West Ham vs Derby County Prediction

West Ham United are high in spirits and are out to make it two straight wins in the second tier for the first time in 14 years. However, they should be wary of the threat posed by their opponents, having won just one of their last five meetings. Both teams scored in four of those outings.

Derby County, meanwhile, have scored in three of their last four games and, with West Ham's defensive frailties, conceding in each of their last four matches, they should fancy their chances of getting on the scoreboard. Our West Ham United vs Derby County prediction: BTTS.

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.