West Ham vs Derby County Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Thobelani Moyo | in Championship Predictions
West Ham United are out to make it two wins on the bounce in the Championship when they welcome Derby County to the London Stadium on matchday five. The home team have failed to keep clean sheets in their last four league games, and with Derby finding the net in each of their last four Championship matches in this fixture, our prediction is for both teams to score.
Head coach Nuno Espirito Santo, whose job appeared to be hanging by a thread, has suddenly breathed a sigh of relief after his side's convincing performance last time out against Wolves on Tuesday.
A brace from Divine Mukasa and goals from Jarrod Bowen and Konstantinos Mavropanos saw the team secure a 4-2 victory at the London Stadium. This has placed them in 12th place in the league standings on five points.
Before this, the Hammers had failed to win any of their opening three games.
Derby County are sitting in 16th place on four points and are one point ahead of the relegation zone.
Following a sloppy display in which John Eustace's men found themselves navigating three games without a win (D1, L2), they managed to arrest that slide on Tuesday.
Portsmouth were the unfortunate team to find themselves on the receiving end of the Rams' response. Goals from Sammie Szmodics and Lars-Jorgen Salvesen saw them grind out a 2-0 victory at Fratton Park.
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West Ham v Derby County Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.35 | 5.20 | 7.60 |
|
|
1.37 | 5.80 | 7.90 |
|
|
1.34 | 5.65 | 7.70 |
|
|
1.34 | 5.65 | 7.70 |
|
|
1.39 | 4.70 | 7.38 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between West Ham and Derby County?
Our prediction for the West Ham vs Derby County match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/09/2026 between West Ham and Derby County in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 58.96% for a win of West Ham against Derby County with odds of 1.39 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between West Ham vs Derby County is 13.83% with odds of 5.8 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 27.21% chance ⭐ for a win of Derby County vs West Ham with odds of 8.72 at Betsson.
West Ham - Derby County Prediction and Best Odds:
| West Ham Derby County Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| West Ham wins | 58.96% | 1.39 at 22bet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.41% | 1.69 at 22bet |
| Both Team To Score | 54.17% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : West Ham/West Ham | 24.68% | 2.05 at Betsson |
West Ham vs Derby County Form
West Ham and Derby County's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +17 |
|
23
|
7 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -11 |
West Ham and Derby County Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Sept 2026 - Championship
29 Aug 2026 - Championship
25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
22 Aug 2026 - Championship
16 Aug 2026 - Championship
8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Sept 2026 - Championship
22 Aug 2026 - Championship
8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
24 May 2026 - Premier League
10 May 2026 - Premier League
25 Apr 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2026 - Championship
25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
16 Aug 2026 - Championship
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
22 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Sept 2026 - Championship
29 Aug 2026 - Championship
22 Aug 2026 - Championship
15 Aug 2026 - Championship
8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2026 - Championship
22 Aug 2026 - Championship
8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
28 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2 May 2026 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Sept 2026 - Championship
15 Aug 2026 - Championship
4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
West Ham vs Derby County Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Jan 2023 - FA Cup
West Ham against Derby County Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
F. Herrick
DefenderA. Golambeckis
Morato
K. Walker-Peters
A. Boiro
L. Orford
K. Lamadrid
M. Kante
A. Austbo
J. Vickers
DefenderM. Johnston
R. Offor
MidfielderD. Ozoh
J. Ward
B. Clark
M. Fuseini
C. Blackett-Taylor
L. Salvesen
Missing players
T. Soucek
C. Forsyth
M. Clarke
D. Murkin
ForwardP. Agyemang
Most goals and assists
West Ham
Derby County
J. Bowen
(6 Goals)
S. Szmodics
(3 Goals)
,
B. Clark
(3 Goals)
J. Bowen
(5 Assists)
B. Clark
(2 Assists)
West Ham - Derby County Key Points
- West Ham United have seen both teams score in each of their four Championship games.
- Derby County have scored in three of their last four Championship games.
- West Ham United's last two home league games have seen both teams score.
- Three of Derby County's last four away league meetings against West Ham United have seen both teams score.
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Our West Ham vs Derby County Prediction
West Ham United are high in spirits and are out to make it two straight wins in the second tier for the first time in 14 years. However, they should be wary of the threat posed by their opponents, having won just one of their last five meetings. Both teams scored in four of those outings.
Derby County, meanwhile, have scored in three of their last four games and, with West Ham's defensive frailties, conceding in each of their last four matches, they should fancy their chances of getting on the scoreboard. Our West Ham United vs Derby County prediction: BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis West Ham Derby County
| West Ham vs Derby County | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham wins | 1.29 | 1.39 | +7.8% |
| Draw | 5.05 | 5.80 | +14.9% |
| Derby County wins | 11.68 | 8.72 | -25.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- West Ham is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 7.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 77.5% and is now 71.9% (-5.6%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the West Ham vs. Derby County game
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
