England - Carabao Cup
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by Devesh Jaganath in Carabao Cup Predictions
The first round of the EFL Cup will see West Bromwich Albion lock horns with Derby County at the Hawthorns on Tuesday. The Rams beat the Baggies home and away in the Championship last season. Let’s get into the match prediction.
West Bromwich Albion will be hoping to avoid a third-straight first-round elimination from this competition, having lost to Fleetwood and Stoke City in the last two editions of the EFL Cup.
The Baggies will be in a positive mindset after kicking off the league season with a 1-0 victory over Blackburn this past weekend, marking their third competitive game without defeat.
The hosts are also on a three-match winning streak at home across all competitions and have only failed to score in one of their last nine games at this venue.
Meanwhile, Derby County have only failed to get to the second round of this competition in one of their last nine EFL Cup campaigns (2023-24 against Blackpool).
However, reaching round two this year will require the Rams to produce a better performance than they did in their first game of this season, where they lost 3-1 to Stoke over the weekend.
The visitors ended last season unbeaten in their final three away games, which included a 3-1 win over their upcoming opponents.
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The Best Betting Odds for West Brom v Derby County Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.95 | 3.4 | 3.8 |
|
|
2 | 3.4 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.2 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.25 | 4 |
|
|
2.06 | 3.4 | 3.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between West Brom and Derby County?
Our prediction for the West Brom vs Derby County match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/08/2025 between West Brom and Derby County in Carabao Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.14% for a win of West Brom against Derby County with odds of 2.06 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between West Brom vs Derby County is 18.76% with odds of 3.4 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.1% chance ⭐ for a win of Derby County vs West Brom with odds of 4.02 at 22bet.
West Brom - Derby County Prediction and Best Odds:
| West Brom Derby County Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom wins | 43.14% | 2.06 at Unibet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.66% | 2.29 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 80.42% | 1.95 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: West Brom | 16.85% | 5.2 at Unibet |
West Brom vs Derby County Form
West Brom and Derby County Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 May 2025 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 May 2025 - Championship
21 Apr 2025 - Championship
12 Apr 2025 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Apr 2025 - Championship
18 Apr 2025 - Championship
8 Apr 2025 - Championship
29 Mar 2025 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
22 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 May 2025 - Championship
18 Apr 2025 - Championship
8 Apr 2025 - Championship
2 Apr 2025 - Championship
11 Mar 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
22 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
West Brom vs Derby County Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
0 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Apr 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2024 - Championship
27 Dec 2021 - Championship
8 Jul 2020 - Championship
5 May 2019 - Championship
24 Oct 2018 - Championship
West Brom vs Derby County last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Most goals and assists
West Brom
Derby County
I. Price
(1 Goals)
C. Morris
(1 Goals)
A. Heggebo
(1 Assists)
West Brom - Derby County Key Points
- Seven of West Brom’s last 10 games have ended with both teams scoring.
- West Brom have conceded two or more goals in six of their last nine matches.
- West Brom have only failed to score in one of their last nine home games.
- Six of Derby’s last seven games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Both teams scored in both league games between these sides last season.
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Our West Brom vs Derby County Prediction
While West Bromwich Albion enter this match with the home advantage and as favourites, they are winless in their last five matches against this opponent and lost the most recent two last season.
Thus, Derby have the psychological advantage here, but they looked rusty when conceding three goals in their season opener to Stoke City over the past weekend. We feel this one could go either way, but fancy that both sides will find the target. Our West Bromwich Albion vs Derby County prediction is both teams to score.
Use £/€50 free bets for the West Brom vs. Derby County game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between West Brom and Derby County? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Carabao Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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