Wales vs North Macedonia Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in World Cup Predictions
The final matchday in UEFA Group J of the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualification sees an interesting battle between Wales and North Macedonia. This match on Tuesday at Millennium Stadium between the Dragons and the Lions comes with our prediction of both teams scoring goals.
Belgium top the group with 15 points, while Macedonia (W3, D4) and Wales (W4, D1, L1) are right behind with 13 points each. Both Wales and Macedonia are guaranteed a playoff spot via the Nations League, but one of these sides can still finish second. In the very unlikely event of Belgium losing to Liechtenstein, the winner of this fixture can top the section and qualify directly for the World Cup.
Wales won 1-0 away at Liechtenstein last week to bounce back from three defeats in a row, including a 4-2 loss to Belgium on the previous matchday of this competition.
At home, the Dragons were beaten in their last two fixtures, although they had four victories in a row prior to those losses.
Macedonia drew 0-0 against Latvia in a friendly last week, which was their third draw in a row. They are yet to lose a game in this qualification campaign, while they won four and drew two of their recent six competitive trips, although they lost 2-1 in a friendly against Saudi Arabia.
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Wales v North Macedonia Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.56 | 4 | 6 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.04 | 6.8 |
|
|
1.58 | 3.9 | 6.05 |
|
|
1.57 | 3.96 | 6.1 |
|
|
1.6 | 4 | 5.25 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Wales and North Macedonia?
Our prediction for the Wales vs North Macedonia match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/11/2025 between Wales and North Macedonia in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.3% for a win of Wales against North Macedonia with odds of 1.6 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Wales vs North Macedonia is 23.37% with odds of 4.4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.33% chance ⭐ for a win of North Macedonia vs Wales with odds of 6.8 at 1xbet.
Wales - North Macedonia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Wales North Macedonia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Wales wins | 40.3% | 1.6 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 51.29% | 2.63 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 60.42% | 1.8 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Wales | 17.53% | 4.33 at Bet365 |
Wales vs North Macedonia Form
Wales and North Macedonia's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
16 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +10 |
|
3
|
13 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +3 |
Wales and North Macedonia Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
9 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Jun 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Jun 2025 - World Cup
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
Wales vs North Macedonia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
Wales against North Macedonia Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
T. King
A. Davies
DefenderR. Kpakio
C. Mepham
R. Norrington-Davies
MidfielderS. Thomas
R. Colwill
L. Koumas
J. Colwill
ForwardM. Harris
I. Davies
N. Broadhead
D. Iliev
I. Aleksovski
DefenderN. Serafimov
S. Despotovski
MidfielderD. Churlinov
R. Ramadani
J. Atanasov
D. Babunski
ForwardM. Ristovski
E. Rastoder
L. Qamili
A. Trajkovski
Missing players
B. Davies
Most goals and assists
Wales
North Macedonia
D. James
(6 Goals)
B. Miovski
(3 Goals)
S. Thomas
(5 Assists)
B. Ilievski
(2 Assists)
Wales - North Macedonia Key Points
- Three of Wales’ last five home games saw both teams score goals.
- Wales conceded in seven of their last ten matches.
- Macedonia scored in 14 of their last 16 matches.
- Macedonia scored in seven of their last eight matches on foreign soil.
- The reverse fixture ended in a 1-1 draw.
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Our Wales vs North Macedonia Prediction
Wales and North Macedonia come into this fixture with their playoff spot guaranteed, thanks to the Nations League ranking. That said, both teams can still qualify directly but need Belgium to slip up against Liechtenstein, which looks impossible. Realistically, both teams could be setting themselves up for finishing second in the section. Macedonia have an advantage coming into the game, and a draw would be enough. Wales have a number of injuries to contend with, which gives an extra edge to the visitors.
This could be a scrappy encounter, and our Wales vs North Macedonia prediction is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Wales North Macedonia
| Wales vs North Macedonia | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wales wins | 1.53 | 1.6 | +4.6% |
| Draw | 4 | 4.4 | +10.0% |
| North Macedonia wins | 5.75 | 6.8 | +18.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Wales is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 4.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 65.4% and is now 62.5% (-2.9%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Wales vs. North Macedonia game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Wales and North Macedonia when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on World Cup!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
