Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Maritimo Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal
Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Liga Portugal Predictions
Matchday 9 in Liga Portugal gets underway with Vitória Guimarães taking on Marítimo at Estádio D. Afonso Henriques on Friday night. Os Conquistadores have kept two clean sheets in their last three home games, which sees us leaning toward a low-scoring outcome here as our match prediction.
After a disappointing ninth-place finish in the league last season, Vitoria Guimaraes have experienced a very poor start to this campaign, taking just five points from their first eight games.
A lack of attacking firepower has been key to their struggles this term, as we saw in their 2-0 loss to Benfica last week. They edged Lamelas 1-0 in the Taça de Portugal despite having 16 shots at goal in midweek.
However, the hosts are unbeaten in their last three home games and kept clean sheets in two. They have shut out their upcoming opponents in four of their last five encounters at this venue.
Meanwhile, Maritimo will be fairly pleased with their start to life back in the top flight. They have eight points in as many games, which sees them sat 12th in the league standings.
However, seven of the Green and Reds’ points came in their first three games of the season. After losing to Porto 2-1 last week, they are now winless in their last six league matches (D2 L4).
The visitors have earned four points from four away games this term (W1 D1 L2) but have not won a match at Estádio D. Afonso Henriques since December 2015.
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Vitoria SC Guimaraes v Maritimo Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.59 | 3.95 | 5.40 |
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1.63 | 4.05 | 5.89 |
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1.60 | 3.96 | 5.75 |
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1.60 | 3.96 | 5.75 |
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1.60 | 3.96 | 5.75 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Vitoria SC Guimaraes and Maritimo?
Our prediction for the Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Maritimo match is: under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/10/2026 between Vitoria SC Guimaraes and Maritimo in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.76% for a win of Vitoria SC Guimaraes against Maritimo with odds of 1.63 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Maritimo is 23.54% with odds of 4.05 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.7% chance ⭐ for a win of Maritimo vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes with odds of 6.2 at Shangrila.
Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Maritimo Form
Vitoria SC Guimaraes and Maritimo's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 |
|
15
|
5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 |
Vitoria SC Guimaraes and Maritimo Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Oct 2026 - Taca de Portugal
11 Oct 2026 - Liga Portugal
25 Sept 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
12 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
6 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
6 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
23 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
8 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
11 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
25 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Oct 2026 - Taca de Portugal
11 Oct 2026 - Liga Portugal
25 Sept 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
31 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
14 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2026 - Taca de Portugal
10 Oct 2026 - Liga Portugal
19 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
14 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
5 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
29 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2026 - Liga Portugal
5 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
8 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
15 May 2026 - Segunda Liga
1 May 2026 - Segunda Liga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2026 - Taca de Portugal
19 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
14 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
29 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
16 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
9 May 2026 - Segunda Liga
Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Maritimo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Apr 2023 - Liga Portugal
13 Nov 2022 - Liga Portugal
13 Mar 2022 - Liga Portugal
22 Oct 2021 - Liga Portugal
16 May 2021 - Liga Portugal
31 Jan 2021 - Liga Portugal
Missing players
Gui
Y. Santiago
Most goals and assists
Vitoria SC Guimaraes and Maritimo Stats in Liga Portugal
Vitoria SC Guimaraes - Maritimo Key Points
- Six of Vitoria Guimaraes’ eight league games this season have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Vitoria Guimaraes have kept clean sheets in two of their last three home games.
- Vitoria Guimaraes have kept clean sheets in four of their last five home games against this opponent.
- Maritimo have not recorded 1.0+ xG in any of their last three away league games.
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Our Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Maritimo Prediction
Vitoria Guimaraes have endured a very poor start to the season, but while they have struggled to score goals, they are still one of the toughest teams in the division to score against on their home patch.
Maritimo failed to find the back of the net in four of their last five visits to Estádio D. Afonso Henriques. With the hosts having already kept two clean sheets in their last three home matches, we feel chances will be at a premium in this one. Our Vitoria Guimaraes vs Maritimo prediction is under 2.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.