Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Maritimo Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal

Portugal - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
23/10/2026 15:45
Maritimo

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath | in Liga Portugal Predictions

Matchday 9 in Liga Portugal gets underway with Vitória Guimarães taking on Marítimo at Estádio D. Afonso Henriques on Friday night. Os Conquistadores have kept two clean sheets in their last three home games, which sees us leaning toward a low-scoring outcome here as our match prediction. 

After a disappointing ninth-place finish in the league last season, Vitoria Guimaraes have experienced a very poor start to this campaign, taking just five points from their first eight games. 

A lack of attacking firepower has been key to their struggles this term, as we saw in their 2-0 loss to Benfica last week. They edged Lamelas 1-0 in the Taça de Portugal despite having 16 shots at goal in midweek. 

However, the hosts are unbeaten in their last three home games and kept clean sheets in two. They have shut out their upcoming opponents in four of their last five encounters at this venue. 

Meanwhile, Maritimo will be fairly pleased with their start to life back in the top flight. They have eight points in as many games, which sees them sat 12th in the league standings. 

However, seven of the Green and Reds’ points came in their first three games of the season. After losing to Porto 2-1 last week, they are now winless in their last six league matches (D2 L4). 

The visitors have earned four points from four away games this term (W1 D1 L2) but have not won a match at Estádio D. Afonso Henriques since December 2015. 

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Vitoria SC Guimaraes v Maritimo Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus
Stake
1.59 3.95 5.40
1xbet
1.63 4.05 5.89
Melbet
1.60 3.96 5.75
Betwinner
1.60 3.96 5.75
22bet
1.60 3.96 5.75
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What is the prediction for the football match between Vitoria SC Guimaraes and Maritimo?

Our prediction for the Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Maritimo match is: under 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/10/2026 between Vitoria SC Guimaraes and Maritimo in Liga Portugal :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.76% for a win of Vitoria SC Guimaraes against Maritimo with odds of 1.63 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Maritimo is 23.54% with odds of 4.05 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 24.7% chance ⭐ for a win of Maritimo vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes with odds of 6.2 at Shangrila.

Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Maritimo Form

Vitoria SC Guimaraes and Maritimo's standings in the Liga Portugal

Teams Pts P W D L GD
12 Maritimo
8 8 2 2 4 -5
15 Vitoria SC Guimaraes
5 8 1 2 5 -5

Vitoria SC Guimaraes and Maritimo Last Matches

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
Vitoria SC Guimaraes Last matches
D L D W L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

17 Oct 2026 - Taca de Portugal

Acdr Lamelas
0 :  1
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

11 Oct 2026 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  0
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

25 Sept 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Chaves
0 :  1
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

20 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
1 :  1
Moreirense

12 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal

Academico De Viseu FC
2 :  1
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

6 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
0 :  0
Casa Pia Lisbon
W L L W D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

20 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
1 :  1
Moreirense

6 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
0 :  0
Casa Pia Lisbon

23 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
1 :  0
Nacional Madeira

8 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
0 :  1
Arouca

11 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
0 :  1
Casa Pia Lisbon

25 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
2 :  0
Rio Ave
L L L W L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

17 Oct 2026 - Taca de Portugal

Acdr Lamelas
0 :  1
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

11 Oct 2026 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  0
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

25 Sept 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Chaves
0 :  1
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

12 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal

Academico De Viseu FC
2 :  1
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

31 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

SC Braga
1 :  0
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

14 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  2
Vitoria SC Guimaraes
Maritimo
Maritimo Last matches
L L L D L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

18 Oct 2026 - Taca de Portugal

Alcochetense
1 :  2
Maritimo

10 Oct 2026 - Liga Portugal

Maritimo
1 :  2
Porto

19 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
1 :  1
Maritimo

14 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
3 :  1
Maritimo

5 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal

Maritimo
0 :  3
Benfica Lisbon

29 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
2 :  1
Maritimo
W L W D L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2026 - Liga Portugal

Maritimo
1 :  2
Porto

5 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal

Maritimo
0 :  3
Benfica Lisbon

22 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Maritimo
2 :  2
Academico De Viseu FC

8 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Maritimo
1 :  0
Casa Pia Lisbon

15 May 2026 - Segunda Liga

Maritimo
1 :  3
Chaves

1 May 2026 - Segunda Liga

Maritimo
3 :  2
Leixoes
L W L L D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

18 Oct 2026 - Taca de Portugal

Alcochetense
1 :  2
Maritimo

19 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
1 :  1
Maritimo

14 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
3 :  1
Maritimo

29 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
2 :  1
Maritimo

16 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Famalicao
1 :  2
Maritimo

9 May 2026 - Segunda Liga

Penafiel
1 :  0
Maritimo

Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Maritimo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Vitoria SC Guimaraes

83 %

Draw

17 %

Maritimo

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.5
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored
0.33
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

29 Apr 2023 - Liga Portugal

Maritimo
1 :  2
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

13 Nov 2022 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
1 :  0
Maritimo

13 Mar 2022 - Liga Portugal

Maritimo
0 :  1
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

22 Oct 2021 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
2 :  1
Maritimo

16 May 2021 - Liga Portugal

Maritimo
0 :  0
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

31 Jan 2021 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
1 :  0
Maritimo
Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Maritimo Prediction

Missing players

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
Vitoria SC Guimaraes
Goalkeeper

Gui

Maritimo
Maritimo
Midfielder

Y. Santiago

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Vitoria SC Guimaraes
CD Huachipato Maritimo
Top Goalscorer
Portugal Samu (1 Goals) , 
Senegal A. Ndoye (1 Goals) , 
Brazil G. Silva (1 Goals) , 
Portugal G. Nogueira (1 Goals) , 
Croatia T. Borevkovic (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Portugal R. Guzzo (1 Goals) ,  Spain M. Diouri (1 Goals) ,  Germany M. Boakye (1 Goals) ,  Portugal P. Henrique (1 Goals) ,  Spain A. Butzke (1 Goals) ,  Spain M. Tejon (1 Goals) ,  Portugal R. Correia (1 Goals) ,  Nigeria I. Ayuma (1 Goals) ,  Hungary G. Szalai (1 Goals)
Best assists
Portugal M. Nogueira (3 Assists)
Best assists
Spain M. Tejon (1 Assists) , 
Switzerland M. Dominguez (1 Assists)

Vitoria SC Guimaraes and Maritimo Stats in Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
Vitoria SC Guimaraes
Maritimo
Maritimo
13%
Wins
25%
63%
Losses
50%
25%
Draws
25%
1.88
Average goals per match
2.88
0.63
Goals scored per match
1.13
1.25
Goals conceded per match
1.75
75%
Under 2.5 goals
25%
25%
Over 2.5 goals
75%
25%
No goals conceded
13%
38%
BTTS
75%

Vitoria SC Guimaraes - Maritimo Key Points

  1. Six of Vitoria Guimaraes’ eight league games this season have ended with under 2.5 goals.
  2. Vitoria Guimaraes have kept clean sheets in two of their last three home games.
  3. Vitoria Guimaraes have kept clean sheets in four of their last five home games against this opponent.
  4. Maritimo have not recorded 1.0+ xG in any of their last three away league games.
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Our Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Maritimo Prediction

Vitoria Guimaraes have endured a very poor start to the season, but while they have struggled to score goals, they are still one of the toughest teams in the division to score against on their home patch. 

Maritimo failed to find the back of the net in four of their last five visits to Estádio D. Afonso Henriques. With the hosts having already kept two clean sheets in their last three home matches, we feel chances will be at a premium in this one. Our Vitoria Guimaraes vs Maritimo prediction is under 2.5 goals. 

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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