Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa del Rey
Spain - Copa del Rey
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Football Predictions
With 32 Copa Del Rey trophies between them, Valencia and Athletic Club are going for one more. Unfortunately, one of them has to drop off at the quarter-final stage, where they meet on Wednesday. Below we have a prediction for the match.
Hosts Valencia have bagged this trophy eight times and are fifth among the most successful. Los Che haven't had a great season and are coming here off their ninth league loss of the season after falling 2-1 to Real Betis.
This left them two points above the relegation region, but there’s a reason to be optimistic. When these two met in September, Valencia won 2-0.
Athletic will have revenge on their minds as they come into this game. They did win their latest Copa match against Valencia, back in 2023, and at this same level. A 3-1 win would see Athletic progress, and this is their chance to replicate that.
They will be positive about this game, following their battling 1-1 draw with Real Sociedad last time out. Ruiz Galarreta popped up with a late leveler in the game when it looked like Los Leones were dead and buried. Like their hosts, Athletic are also not doing well this season.
They are only four points above the relegation positions. Here though, they have a rich past, with 24 trophies, and they’ll be hoping to go all the way.
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Valencia v Athletic Bilbao Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.28 | 3.1 | 3.15 |
|
|
2.22 | 3.22 | 3.42 |
|
|
2.89 | 3.09 | 2.62 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.2 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.24 | 3.15 | 3.3 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Valencia and Athletic Bilbao?
Our prediction for the Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao match is: Valencia wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/02/2026 between Valencia and Athletic Bilbao in Copa del Rey :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.66% for a win of Valencia against Athletic Bilbao with odds of 2.89 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao is 34.83% with odds of 3.3 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.51% chance ⭐ for a win of Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia with odds of 3.42 at Melbet.
Valencia - Athletic Bilbao Prediction and Best Odds:
| Valencia Athletic Bilbao Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Valencia wins | 41.66% | 2.89 at Betwinner |
| Under 2.5 | 53.65% | 2 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 73.33% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Valencia | 23.01% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao Form
Valencia and Athletic Bilbao Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
24 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
18 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
15 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
10 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
3 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
10 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
19 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
7 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
21 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
9 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
18 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
15 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
3 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
16 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
13 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
24 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
13 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
22 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
3 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
13 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
7 Jan 2026 - Spanish Super Cup
3 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
18 May 2025 - LaLiga
28 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
20 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
29 Oct 2023 - LaLiga
11 Feb 2023 - LaLiga
Valencia against Athletic Bilbao Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
V. Abril
DefenderC. Tarrega
R. Iranzo
U. Nunez
J. Gaya
MidfielderA. Almeida
J. Guerra Moreno
G. Rodriguez
D. Lopez
L. Ramazani
H. Duro
U. Simon
DefenderJ. de Luis
A. Boiro
Y. Berchiche
U. Gomez
A. Rego Mora
I. Ruiz De Galarreta
N. Williams
E. Garcia
I. Williams
G. Guruzeta
Missing players
J. Agirrezabala
DefenderM. Diakhaby
T. Correia
Y. Alvarez
D. Vivian
A. Paredes
U. Egiluz
MidfielderO. Sancet
B. Prados
ForwardA. Berenguer
M. Sannadi
Valencia - Athletic Bilbao Key Points
- Valencia won three of the four matches ahead of this one.
- Three of Athletic Club’s last five matches ended in defeat.
- Valencia posted a win in the last meeting with Athletic Bilbao.
- In their last six home matches, Valencia are unbeaten, winning twice.
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Our Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction
Valencia have already beaten Athletic Club this season and will be glad to get the second meeting between them at home. Los Che are coming off three wins in the last four matches, so they will be confident of claiming a win here.
Athletic Bilbao are really struggling, and playing away from home will not help. They lost in two of their last four visits to the Mestalla, and this will be another tough game. Our prediction for Valencia v Athletic Bilbao is that Valencia wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Valencia Athletic Bilbao
| Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia wins | 3.46 | 2.89 | -16.5% |
| Draw | 3.11 | 3.3 | +6.1% |
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 2.26 | 3.42 | +51.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Valencia is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 16.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 28.9% and is now 34.6% (5.7%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
