Valencia vs Alavés Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
The La Liga match pitting Valencia against Alaves this Sunday is a crucial one for both teams in their survival push. Valencia plays host, coming into the weekend five points above the bottom three, with Alaves 16th. Read on for our prediction of this match.
Valencia are coming off a 1-0 win against Osasuna, which lifted them to 15th in the standings. Their seventh league win of the season will spark a boost in confidence going into this fixture they’ve struggled in lately.
At home this season, Valencia have only lost three of their 13 league matches, winning five and drawing as many. In their last eight home league matches, Valencia have only lost to Real Madrid.
The turmoil at Alaves continues into another week, and they carry here a 2-0 loss to Levante in their latest outing. That was their fifth straight winless outing and third defeat in the process.
This poor run has left Alaves just three points above the relegation region. No side outside the bottom three has lost more than Alaves (13) at the moment.
They’ve also gone without scoring in their latest three league defeats, and this already looks like a game to trouble new boss Quique Sanchez Flores. The new man meets an unwanted piece of history, as none of Alaves’ last seven managers won their opening league match.
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Valencia v Alavés Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.19 | 3.15 | 3.8 |
|
|
2.16 | 3.06 | 3.8 |
|
|
2.16 | 3.06 | 3.8 |
|
|
2.15 | 3 | 3.7 |
|
|
2.14 | 3 | 3.75 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Valencia and Alavés?
Our prediction for the Valencia vs Alavés match is: Valencia wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/03/2026 between Valencia and Alavés in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.93% for a win of Valencia against Alavés with odds of 2.24 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Valencia vs Alavés is 26.73% with odds of 3.18 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.34% chance ⭐ for a win of Alavés vs Valencia with odds of 3.95 at 888Starz.
Valencia - Alavés Prediction and Best Odds:
| Valencia Alavés Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Valencia wins | 43.93% | 2.24 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 57.22% | 2 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 54.58% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Valencia | 30.36% | 5 at Bet365 |
Valencia vs Alavés Form
Valencia and Alavés's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
49 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | -9 |
|
14
|
43 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | -12 |
Valencia and Alavés Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
15 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
4 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
4 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
24 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
10 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
19 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
15 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
18 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
15 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
3 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
23 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
4 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
30 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
4 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
25 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
14 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
4 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
30 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
18 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
10 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
20 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
Valencia vs Alavés Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
14 May 2025 - LaLiga
22 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
5 May 2024 - LaLiga
2 Sept 2023 - LaLiga
Valencia against Alavés Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
C. Rivero
DefenderJ. Vazquez
R. Saravia
C. Tarrega
MidfielderPepelu
B. Santamaria
A. Almeida
D. Lopez
H. Duro
A. Danjuma
D. Raba
D. Otorbi
R. Fernandez
G. Swiderski
DefenderV. Koski
Y. Enriquez
A. Guevara
Calebe
D. Suarez
I. Diabate
M. Diaz
A. Rebbach
Missing players
D. Foulquier
M. Diakhaby
J. Copete
F. Garces
MidfielderP. Ibanez
Most goals and assists
Valencia
Alavés
H. Duro
(10 Goals)
T. Martinez
(14 Goals)
L. Rioja
(6 Assists)
,
J. Guerra Moreno
(6 Assists)
C. Alena
(4 Assists)
, 
A. Rebbach
(4 Assists)
,
A. Perez
(4 Assists)
Valencia - Alavés Key Points
- Alaves are winless in their last five games, losing three.
- Alaves have lost nine of their 13 away La Liga matches.
- Valencia have posted wins in five of their latest nine outings.
- Valencia have avoided defeat in 10 of their 13 home league games.
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Our Valencia vs Alavés Prediction
Valencia have hit a positive run in recent matches. Their latest outing served their fourth win in seven La Liga games. With safety not guaranteed, Los Che will want to push on with this run as far as they can.
Meetings with Alaves in recent times haven't come with the best results, a narrative they’ll be keen to address here. Alaves carry a four-game winless run into this encounter. They are also on eight losses in their last 10 away league matches. Our prediction for Valencia v Alaves is that Valencia wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Valencia Alavés
| Valencia vs Alavés | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia wins | 2.25 | 2.24 | -0.4% |
| Draw | 3.13 | 3.18 | +1.6% |
| Alavés wins | 3.99 | 3.95 | -1.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Valencia is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 0.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 44.4% and is now 44.6% (0.2%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
