Utrecht vs Ajax Prediction & Betting Tips - Eredivisie
Netherlands - Eredivisie
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Eredivisie Predictions
Ajax travels to Utrecht for the Eredivisie Sunday opener in Round 12, and that game is shaping up to be the highlight of this round, as both teams hunt for all three points. We expect a lot of goals, and you can see why in our Utrecht vs Ajax match prediction below.
Everything from their H2H history, recent games, and motives entering this game points to at least three goals by full-time. Both games they played last season featured four goals, with Utrecht thrashing Ajax 4-0 on this ground and the other fixture ending 2-2. Those performances now extend it to four of their last five clashes, which have recorded 3+ goals.
And when they've played on this ground in recent times, it's almost always been a goalfest as five of their last six have featured over 2.5 goals. Their recent games are also notable, as seven of Ajax’s last nine competitive games have seen more than 2 goals. The latest was their disappointing 3-0 home loss to Galatasaray in the UEFA Champions League.
As for Utrecht, while this bet failed to win in their latest game (1-0 win over NEC), their four games prior all featured 4+ goals. And at home in the league, four of Utrecht’s last six have also recorded over 3.5 goals by full-time. All we need is over 2.5 goals here.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Utrecht v Ajax Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.75 | 3.6 | 2.4 |
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2.63 | 3.3 | 2.38 |
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|
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2.75 | 3.4 | 2.3 |
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|
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2.7 | 3.45 | 2.48 |
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2.7 | 3.4 | 2.4 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Utrecht and Ajax?
Our prediction for the Utrecht vs Ajax match is: Over 2.5 Goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/11/2025 between Utrecht and Ajax in Eredivisie :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.95% for a win of Utrecht against Ajax with odds of 3.11 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Utrecht vs Ajax is 33.97% with odds of 3.88 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.07% chance ⭐ for a win of Ajax vs Utrecht with odds of 2.48 at Unibet.
Utrecht - Ajax Prediction and Best Odds:
| Utrecht Ajax Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 33.97% | 3.88 at 22bet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.21% | 1.85 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 63.75% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 13.42% | 6 at Bet365 |
Utrecht vs Ajax Form
Utrecht and Ajax's standings in the Eredivisie
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
30 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
|
8
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
Utrecht and Ajax Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
2 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
26 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
18 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
5 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
2 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
18 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
28 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
25 Sept 2025 - Europa League
14 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
5 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
20 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
31 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
26 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
4 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
18 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
27 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
17 Sept 2025 - Champions League
13 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
4 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
21 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
30 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
Utrecht vs Ajax Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie
4 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie
3 Mar 2024 - Eredivisie
22 Oct 2023 - Eredivisie
21 May 2023 - Eredivisie
28 Aug 2022 - Eredivisie
Utrecht against Ajax Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
N. Vesterlund
M. Van Der Hoorn
MidfielderV. Jensen
B. Van den Boomen
ForwardS. Berghuis
Most goals and assists
Utrecht - Ajax Key Points
- Both clashes between Utrecht and Ajax last season produced four goals.
- Four of the last five meetings between Utrecht and Ajax have also seen 3+ goals.
- At Utrecht’s home, five of their last six meetings against Ajax have featured over 2.5 goals.
- Seven of Ajax’s last nine competitive games have seen over 2.5 goals.
- Four of Utrecht's last five league games ended with 4+ goals.
- At home in the league, four of Utrecht's last five games also featured over 2.5 goals.
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Our Utrecht vs Ajax Prediction
The stakes are equally high for both teams in Round 12 of the Eredivisie, so we're expecting all-out attacking action that should produce over 2.5 goals. Just last season, both meetings between these two ended with four goals in each game, with Utrecht taking a 4-0 win at home.
And when they've played in the stadium in recent times, five of their last six featured 3+ goals. What's more, seven of Ajax’s last nine competitive games and four of Utrecht's last five games in the league have now seen the over 2.5 goals bet win. Hence, our Utrecht vs Ajax prediction is Over 2.5 Goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Utrecht Ajax
| Utrecht vs Ajax | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utrecht wins | 3 | 2.75 | -8.3% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 3.6 | -5.3% |
| Ajax wins | 2.1 | 2.4 | +14.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 5.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 26.3% and is now 27.8% (1.5%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Utrecht vs. Ajax game

You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Utrecht and Ajax when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Eredivisie!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.