Utrecht vs Ajax Prediction & Betting Tips - Eredivisie

Netherlands - Eredivisie

Utrecht
09/11/2025 06:15
Ajax

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Eredivisie Predictions

Ajax travels to Utrecht for the Eredivisie Sunday opener in Round 12, and that game is shaping up to be the highlight of this round, as both teams hunt for all three points. We expect a lot of goals, and you can see why in our Utrecht vs Ajax match prediction below.

Everything from their H2H history, recent games, and motives entering this game points to at least three goals by full-time. Both games they played last season featured four goals, with Utrecht thrashing Ajax 4-0 on this ground and the other fixture ending 2-2. Those performances now extend it to four of their last five clashes, which have recorded 3+ goals.

And when they've played on this ground in recent times, it's almost always been a goalfest as five of their last six have featured over 2.5 goals. Their recent games are also notable, as seven of Ajax’s last nine competitive games have seen more than 2 goals. The latest was their disappointing 3-0 home loss to Galatasaray in the UEFA Champions League.

As for Utrecht, while this bet failed to win in their latest game (1-0 win over NEC), their four games prior all featured 4+ goals. And at home in the league, four of Utrecht’s last six have also recorded over 3.5 goals by full-time. All we need is over 2.5 goals here.

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The Best Betting Odds for Utrecht v Ajax Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.75 3.6 2.4
Betfred
2.63 3.3 2.38
William Hill
2.75 3.4 2.3
Unibet
2.7 3.45 2.48
Betway
2.7 3.4 2.4
Check all Utrecht vs Ajax odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Utrecht and Ajax?

Our prediction for the Utrecht vs Ajax match is: Over 2.5 Goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/11/2025 between Utrecht and Ajax in Eredivisie :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.95% for a win of Utrecht against Ajax with odds of 3.11 at 22bet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Utrecht vs Ajax is 33.97% with odds of 3.88 at 22bet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 32.07% chance ⭐ for a win of Ajax vs Utrecht with odds of 2.48 at Unibet.

Utrecht - Ajax Prediction and Best Odds:

Utrecht Ajax Prediction Probability Odds
Draw 33.97% 3.88 at 22bet
Over 2.5 goals 60.21% 1.85 at Bet365
Both Team To Score 63.75%
Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw 13.42% 6 at Bet365

Utrecht vs Ajax Form

Utrecht and Ajax's standings in the Eredivisie

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
Ajax
Ajax
30 17 8 6 3 10
8
Utrecht
Utrecht
23 17 6 5 6 5

Utrecht and Ajax Last Matches

Utrecht
Utrecht Last matches
L W L L W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

6 Nov 2025 - Europa League

Utrecht
1 :  1
Porto

2 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie

Utrecht
1 :  0
NEC Nijmegen

26 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
4 :  1
Utrecht

23 Oct 2025 - Europa League

Freiburg
2 :  0
Utrecht

18 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie

Utrecht
3 :  1
Volendam

5 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie

Feyenoord
3 :  2
Utrecht
L L D W W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

6 Nov 2025 - Europa League

Utrecht
1 :  1
Porto

2 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie

Utrecht
1 :  0
NEC Nijmegen

18 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie

Utrecht
3 :  1
Volendam

28 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie

Utrecht
2 :  2
Heerenveen

25 Sept 2025 - Europa League

Utrecht
0 :  1
Lyon

14 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie

Utrecht
0 :  1
Groningen
W L L L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

26 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
4 :  1
Utrecht

23 Oct 2025 - Europa League

Freiburg
2 :  0
Utrecht

5 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie

Feyenoord
3 :  2
Utrecht

2 Oct 2025 - Europa League

SK Brann
1 :  0
Utrecht

20 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard
1 :  0
Utrecht

31 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie

Zwolle
0 :  2
Utrecht
Ajax
Ajax Last matches
D L L W D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

5 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Ajax
0 :  3
Galatasaray

1 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie

Ajax
1 :  1
Heerenveen

26 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie

Twente
2 :  3
Ajax

22 Oct 2025 - Champions League

Chelsea
5 :  1
Ajax

18 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie

Ajax
0 :  2
AZ Alkmaar

4 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam
3 :  3
Ajax
W L W L D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

5 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Ajax
0 :  3
Galatasaray

1 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie

Ajax
1 :  1
Heerenveen

18 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie

Ajax
0 :  2
AZ Alkmaar

27 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  1
NAC Breda

17 Sept 2025 - Champions League

Ajax
0 :  2
Inter Milan

13 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie

Ajax
3 :  1
Zwolle
D D L D L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

26 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie

Twente
2 :  3
Ajax

22 Oct 2025 - Champions League

Chelsea
5 :  1
Ajax

4 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam
3 :  3
Ajax

30 Sept 2025 - Champions League

Marseille
4 :  0
Ajax

21 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven
2 :  2
Ajax

30 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie

Volendam
1 :  1
Ajax

Utrecht vs Ajax Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Utrecht

33 %

Draw

17 %

Ajax

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.83
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.83
Goals scored (home team)
2
Goals scored (away team)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

20 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie

Utrecht
4 :  0
Ajax

4 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  2
Utrecht

3 Mar 2024 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  0
Utrecht

22 Oct 2023 - Eredivisie

Utrecht
4 :  3
Ajax

21 May 2023 - Eredivisie

Ajax
3 :  1
Utrecht

28 Aug 2022 - Eredivisie

Utrecht
0 :  2
Ajax

Utrecht against Ajax Lineups: Starting 11

Utrecht

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
V. Barkas
2
S. Horemans
40
M. Didden
24
N. Viergever
16
S. El Karouani
27
T. Engwanda Ongena
20
D. De Wit
21
G. Zechiel
22
M. Rodriguez
91
S. Haller
15
A. Blake
25
W. Weghorst
11
M. Godts
10
O. Gloukh
17
O. Edvardsen
8
K. Taylor
6
Y. Regeer
41
G. Alders
15
Y. Baas
37
J. Sutalo
2
L. Rosa
22
R. Pasveer

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Ajax

Missing players

Utrecht
Utrecht
Defender

N. Vesterlund

M. Van Der Hoorn

Midfielder

V. Jensen

Ajax
Ajax
Midfielder

B. Van den Boomen

Forward

S. Berghuis

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Utrecht
CD Huachipato Ajax
Top Goalscorer
Spain M. Rodriguez (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands W. Weghorst (7 Goals) Belgium M. Godts (7 Goals)
Best assists
Morocco S. El Karouani (11 Assists)
Best assists
Belgium M. Godts (7 Assists)

Utrecht - Ajax Key Points

  1. Both clashes between Utrecht and Ajax last season produced four goals.
  2. Four of the last five meetings between Utrecht and Ajax have also seen 3+ goals.
  3. At Utrecht’s home, five of their last six meetings against Ajax have featured over 2.5 goals.
  4. Seven of Ajax’s last nine competitive games have seen over 2.5 goals.
  5. Four of Utrecht's last five league games ended with 4+ goals.
  6. At home in the league, four of Utrecht's last five games also featured over 2.5 goals.
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Our Utrecht vs Ajax Prediction

The stakes are equally high for both teams in Round 12 of the Eredivisie, so we're expecting all-out attacking action that should produce over 2.5 goals. Just last season, both meetings between these two ended with four goals in each game, with Utrecht taking a 4-0 win at home.

And when they've played in the stadium in recent times, five of their last six featured 3+ goals. What's more, seven of Ajax’s last nine competitive games and four of Utrecht's last five games in the league have now seen the over 2.5 goals bet win. Hence, our Utrecht vs Ajax prediction is Over 2.5 Goals.

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Utrecht Ajax

Utrecht vs Ajax Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Utrecht wins 3 2.75 -8.3%
Draw 3.8 3.6 -5.3%
Ajax wins 2.1 2.4 +14.3%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • A draw is the most likely outcome
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 5.3% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 26.3% and is now 27.8% (1.5%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Utrecht vs Ajax Prediction