Uruguay vs Cape Verde Isl. Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
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by Ita Emmanuel | in World Cup Predictions
World No.16 Uruguay takes on 67th-ranked Cape Verde in a pivotal 2026 World Cup Group H fixture that will shape the race for a place in the knockout stages for both teams on Monday. Cape Verde have kept clean sheets in each of their last three games, while Uruguay have struggled to find the net in recent outings, hence our prediction here favoring a low-scoring contest.
Initially tipped as underdogs, World Cup debutants Cape Verde have proven their readiness to compete on football's biggest stage after a strong start against Spain. The Blue Sharks challenged the odds by holding the reigning European champions to a goalless draw, picking up a crucial one point that boosted their chances of reaching the next round.
However, the job is far from complete for the Bubista-led team with two-time champions Uruguay their next tough test. La Celeste were also held to a stalemate by Saudi Arabia in their opening match, leaving all four teams in the group with a lot to play for in this second round. What are their chances heading into this contest? Continue reading as we explore further.
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Uruguay v Cape Verde Isl. Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.35 | 1.25 | 15 |
|
|
8 | 1.11 | 26 |
|
|
1.39 | 4.38 | 9.3 |
|
|
1.39 | 4.38 | 9.3 |
|
|
15.6 | 1.12 | 13.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Uruguay and Cape Verde Isl.?
Our prediction for the Uruguay vs Cape Verde Isl. match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/06/2026 between Uruguay and Cape Verde Isl. in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.16% for a win of Uruguay against Cape Verde Isl. with odds of 15.6 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Uruguay vs Cape Verde Isl. is 39.12% with odds of 4.6 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.72% chance ⭐ for a win of Cape Verde Isl. vs Uruguay with odds of 26 at 1xbet.
Uruguay - Cape Verde Isl. Prediction and Best Odds:
| Uruguay Cape Verde Isl. Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 39.12% | 4.6 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 57.87% | 2.29 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 64.29% | 1.57 at 1xbet |
| Half-time : Uruguay / Full-time : Cape Verde Isl. | 14.45% | 22 at Roobet |
Uruguay vs Cape Verde Isl. Form
Uruguay and Cape Verde Isl.'s standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
|
3
|
2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 |
Uruguay and Cape Verde Isl. Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Jun 2026 - World Cup
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
13 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Jun 2026 - World Cup
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
13 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
29 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
26 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
17 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
29 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
17 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
13 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Jun 2026 - World Cup
26 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
8 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
8 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
29 May 2025 - International Friendlies
Uruguay - Cape Verde Isl.: Form Analysis
Uruguay's struggle in the attack continued in their World Cup opener against 61st-ranked Saudi Arabia on Monday. The Sky Blue exerted total dominance of proceedings in the game, but found themselves trailing from the 41st minute before Maximiliano Araujo struck late to level the tie and salvage a point.
That result means Marcelo Bielsa's men have now failed to score more than once in seven of their last eight matches. They have averaged just 1.3 goals per contest across those eight games, failing to find the net in three of those.
Uruguay's last eight World Cup group-stage matches have produced an average of 1.5 total goals per game
Cape Verde headed into this tournament with back-to-back emphatic victories over Serbia and Bermuda, keeping clean sheets on both occasions. Their solid backline came under a far stern test against Spain in the opening match, and they didn't disappoint.
Despite sitting 65 places below the European giants in world rankings, they fought them to a standstill, extending their clean-sheet streak to three matches. Overall, Bubista's side have not conceded more than one goal in regulation time in seven of their last eight matches.
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Uruguay against Cape Verde Isl. Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Substitutes
S. Mele
S. Rochet
DefenderM. Vina
S. Bueno
J. Gimenez
MidfielderJ. Piquerez
N. de la Cruz
R. Zalazar
E. Martinez
B. Rodriguez
D. Nunez
F. Pellistri
R. Aguirre
C. Dos Santos
M. Rosa
DefenderW. Pina
L. Costa
K. Pires
Stopira
MidfielderW. Semedo
D. Duarte
Y. Semedo
Joao Paulo
J. Cabral
H. Varela
L. Duarte
N. Da Costa
D. Livramento
Missing players
R. Araujo
MidfielderG. de Arrascaeta
Uruguay & Cape Verde Isl. Squad Analysis
Uruguay have Giorgian de Arrascaeta still sidelined for this clash after missing the attacking midfielder in the opener against Saudi Arabia due to a calf injury. The 60-capped playmaker's absence was noticeable against Saudi Arabia with the team struggling to create chances through the middle despite dominating possession.
Goalkeeper Fernando Muslera is the most experienced World Cup player in the Uruguay squad with 17 appearances across five tournaments
Marcelo Bielsa is also without a key defender Ronald Araujo, with the player still nursing a knee injury that ruled him out of the first match. Sebastián Cáceres replaced the Barcelona defender and is expected to return in the center-back alongside Napoli's Mathias Olivera. Bielsa is likely to stick to the deep-lying midfield duo of Man United's Manuel Ugarte and Real Madrid's Valverde, while Darwin Nunez spearheads the attack.
30-capped Jovane Cabral was taken off in the 61st minute against Spain with an undisclosed injury and remains a doubt for Cape Verde ahead of this clash. Willy Semedo is the first candidate to replace the Estrela star. Veteran goalie Vozinha will look to put up another Man of the Match performance after making seven saves in the tournament opener, with Dailon Livramento leading the Tubarões Azuis' attack.
Most goals and assists
Uruguay
Cape Verde Isl.
M. Araujo
(2 Goals)
M. Araujo
(1 Assists)
Uruguay - Cape Verde Isl. Key Points
- Uruguay have not scored more than one goal in seven of their last eight matches.
- Uruguay’s last eight World Cup group-stage matches have produced an average of 1.5 total goals.
- Cape Verde have not conceded more than one goal in seven of their last eight matches.
- Cape Verde have kept a clean sheet in each of their last three matches.
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Our Uruguay vs Cape Verde Isl. Prediction
Uruguay's recent World Cup group-stage matches have been predominantly low-scoring affairs. They left it late to find the net against Saudi Arabia in their opener and haven't been terrific in front of goal in recent months.
Cape Verde carried their defensive prowess to the World Cup with a solid performance against Spain and are unlikely to drop that standard on Monday. From the foregoing, we expect another gritty contest likely to end in a low scoreline. Our Uruguay vs Cape Verde prediction: less than 2.5 goals.
Uruguay vs Cape Verde Isl. Alternative Predictions
Uruguay wins
BTTS: No
The match will be far from a goalfest with both teams unlikely to find the net.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Uruguay Cape Verde Isl.
| Uruguay vs Cape Verde Isl. | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Uruguay wins | 1.47 | 15.6 | +961.2% |
| Draw | 4.41 | 4.6 | +4.3% |
| Cape Verde Isl. wins | 7.27 | 26 | +257.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 4.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 22.7% and is now 21.7% (-0.9%)
Uruguay vs Cape Verde Isl. - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
