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20 April 2023 - 15:00 

- QF

Europe - Europa League

Union Saint-Gilloise
VS
Bayer Leverkusen

Prediction :

Draw

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Union Saint-Gilloise vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League

 by Kennedy Kechula | in Europa League Prediction

Union Saint-Gilloise will hope playing at home in their Europa League quarter-final return leg encounter with Bayer Leverkusen on Thursday at Lotto Park in Anderlecht, hands them the edge. The two teams played to a 1-1 draw in the first-leg last week in Leverkusen. The winner in this return match will advance to the semifinals of Europe’s second-tier competition where a two-legged tie against either Feyenoord or Roma awaits.

Bookies have Leverkusen as the favourites to win here and have proceeded to price an away win at 2.11 with a home win as the second likely outcome at 3.7. The odds for a draw come at 3.74. According to the bookies, it seems unlikely this game will head to extra time, as USG are backed to progress through extra time at 17.00 and Leverkusen at 11.00 on Bet365.

Union Saint-Gilloise vs Bayer Leverkusen Form

Union Saint-Gilloise and Bayer Leverkusen Last Matches

Union Saint-Gilloise
Union Saint-Gilloise Last matches
W W W D D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.67
BTTS
83%
Goals scored
1.83
Goals conceded
0.83
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

16 Apr 2023 - Jupiler Pro League

Union Saint-Gilloise
2 :  1
RFC Seraing

13 Apr 2023 - Europa League

Bayer Leverkusen
1 :  1
Union Saint-Gilloise

8 Apr 2023 - Jupiler Pro League

Gent
1 :  1
Union Saint-Gilloise

2 Apr 2023 - Jupiler Pro League

Union Saint-Gilloise
2 :  1
St. Truidense

16 Mar 2023 - Europa League

Union Saint-Gilloise
3 :  0
Union Berlin

12 Mar 2023 - Jupiler Pro League

Genk
1 :  2
Union Saint-Gilloise
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen Last matches
W W W W D D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.33
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
1.83
Goals conceded
0.5
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

16 Apr 2023 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
0 :  0
Bayer Leverkusen

13 Apr 2023 - Europa League

Bayer Leverkusen
1 :  1
Union Saint-Gilloise

8 Apr 2023 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
3 :  1
Eintracht Frankfurt

1 Apr 2023 - Bundesliga

Schalke 04
0 :  3
Bayer Leverkusen

19 Mar 2023 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  1
Bayern Munich

16 Mar 2023 - Europa League

Ferencvarosi Budapest
0 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen

Union Saint-Gilloise against Bayer Leverkusen : Head to Head (H2H)

13 Apr 2023 - Europa League

Bayer Leverkusen
1 :  1
Union Saint-Gilloise
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Union Saint-Gilloise - Bayer Leverkusen: Form Analysis

Union Saint-Gilloise are this season’s surprise package in the competition. This season’s campaign has seen the Belgian side make it to the main draw proper of a European competition for the first time since the 1964/65 campaign of the Inter-Cities Fairs Cup. They are also the only team out of the eight remaining in the competition yet to have won a European trophy in their history. They have fought against all odds to be here and a team that has very little to lose like USG is a tricky one to play against as can be testified by the teams left in their wake. Karel Geraerts’ men come into this match unbeaten in their last nine matches across all competitions and responded to the first-leg draw by beating RFC Seraing 2-1 at home to remain just two points adrift of top spot in the Belgian Pro League which is where they’d want to be if they can’t be top when the Championship playoffs roll in. Key to USG’s form domestically and in Europe has been their home form where they have lost just three times all season and come to this match having won their last five at home. They have also won against German opposition this season, beating Union Berlin 3-0 in the return match of their last 16 tie to secure a 3-1 aggregate victory and will feel even more confident of a win here. Due to USG’s home ground, the Stade Joseph Marien not being up to UEFA standards, this match will be played at Anderlecht’s home venue.

Bayer Leverkusen have also been solid on their travels, especially in 2023 where they have suffered just one loss in nine matches played this year. They also arrive for this match with an unbeaten record of their own as they have not lost in 11 straight matches across all competitions with eight of those encounters ending in victory. USG halted their seven-match winning streak with the 1-1 draw last week and they have now gone two matches without a win as they drew 0-0 with Wolfsburg over the weekend. The draw saw Xabi Alonso’s men lose more ground in the race to qualify for the Champions League next season as they are now seven points outside of the top four. Die Werkself are seeking to qualify for the last four of a European competition for the first time since making the final of the Champions League during the 2001/02 season. Leverkusen have drawn their last two away matches to Belgian opposition with the most recent being a 1-1 draw with Racing Genk in the 2011/12 Champions League. They will however not lose any sleep over this as they have proven to be strong away from home in this tournament and have won their last two away matches in the knockout rounds.

Union Saint-Gilloise against Bayer Leverkusen Lineups: Starting 11

Union Saint-Gilloise

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

49
A. Moris
2
B. Nieuwkoop
59
I. Kandouss
16
C. Burgess
28
K. Machida
20
S. Lynen
10
T. Teuma
94
L. Lapoussin
18
Y. Vertessen
8
J. Lazare Amani
7
V. Boniface
27
F. Wirtz
23
A. Hlozek
19
M. Diaby
8
R. Andrich
11
N. Amiri
5
M. Bakker
3
P. Hincapie
4
J. Tah
12
E. Tapsoba
30
J. Frimpong
1
L. Hradecky

Formation : 5 - 2 - 3

Bayer Leverkusen

Union Saint-Gilloise & Bayer Leverkusen Squad Analysis

USG have no injuries to report on following their weekend outing meaning that coach Geraerts will have a full squad at his disposal for this match. The first name to be jotted down in the 23-man squad should be that of in-form striker Victor Boniface who has scored 13 goals for the club across all competitions with six coming in the Europa League. Those six goals have the Nigerian forward tied with Manchester United’s Marcus Rashford as the top scorers in the competition. His goal broke the deadlock in the first leg. Fellow African striker Simon Adingara is also one to look out for. The Ivorian striker has scored 10 goals for USG and was among the goals over the weekend.

Bayer Leverkusen will continue to be without the services of goalkeeper Andrey Lunev and striker Patrik Schick due to back and groin injuries respectively. They could also be without Exequiel Palacios with Xabi Alonso sweating over the midfielder’s fitness following a thigh injury in the first-leg match. Alonso rested key players over the weekend which precipitated the drab 0-0 result with Wolfsburg and will hope that it was the right decision. One of those players rested was midfielder Florian Wirtz who scored the equalizer in the first match with eight minutes left to play. The others are Amine Adli and Johnathan Tah.

Union Saint-Gilloise - Bayer Leverkusen Key Points

  1. Leverkusen have drawn their last two matches
  2. USG have drawn two of their last three matches
  3. USG have drawn three of their last six matches in the Europa League
  4. Eight of the last 10 matches that USG have played have ended with both teams scoring
  5. Ten of Leverkusen’s last 14 matches have had both teams on the scoresheet
  6. The last seven matches that USG have played at home have produced over 2.5 goals
  7. Leverkusen have already needed penalties in the knockout rounds of the Europa League this season
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Our Union Saint-Gilloise vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction

This return match has all the hallmarks of a draw meaning that this tie could end up being decided by extra time or maybe penalties. The two sides have drawn most of their recent matches and our prediction for Union Saint-Gilloise v Bayer Leverkusen is for the match to end in a draw after 90 minutes.

Prediction :

Draw

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Union Saint-Gilloise vs Bayer Leverkusen - Other Interesting Predictions

Both teams to score

Considering how both teams have found it hard to keep clean sheets in recent weeks with the first-leg match giving strength to this fact, we predict that this match will also see both teams score.

Victor Boniface to score

USG’s in-form forward and the Europa League’s joint top scorer Victor Boniface will go into this game confident, having netted three times in the last three games in this competition. We are backing him to score here too.
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction

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