Ulster Rugby vs Stade Francais Paris Prediction & Betting Tips - Challenge Cup

Europe - Challenge Cup

Ulster Rugby
17/01/2026 08:00
Stade Francais Paris

Prediction :

 

Stade Francais Paris +21.5 handicap

1.54
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Challenge Cup Predictions

The battle for Challenge Cup Group 3’s top spot comes to a head on Saturday as Stade Francais Paris travel to face Ulster Rugby. The Pink Soldiers will look to defeat the Ulstermen to round off their pool-stage campaign on a perfect note. Here is our prediction for the game. 

Ulster Rugby defeated Racing 92 by a 54-point margin in their Challenge Cup opener before falling against Cardiff Rugby by just three points in their second game. Richie Murphy’s men bounced back with a 28–0 shutout victory over Cheetahs in their third fixture in the competition. 

That victory saw them move to second in Group 3 with 12 points, three points shy of Stade Francais Paris at the top. They have won their last three matches, as well as all five of their home games this season across all competitions. 

Stade Francais Paris opened their Challenge Cup campaign with a 21-point victory over Cardiff Rugby and demolished Cheetahs 45–22 in their second fixture. A remarkable second-half performance saw them chalk off a 17-point first-half deficit to overcome Exeter Chiefs 27–25 in their third game, maintaining their perfect start to the competition. 

However, Les Stadistes are not likely to find it easy against Ulster Rugby on Saturday. They have struggled on the road, losing four of their last five away games across all competitions. 

The Best Betting Odds for Ulster Rugby v Stade Francais Paris Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.05 34 9
Melbet
1.04 50 13
BC Game
1.06 20 8.2
Tonybet
1.04 40 9.2
888Starz
1.04 50 13
Check all Ulster Rugby vs Stade Francais Paris odds

Ulster Rugby vs Stade Francais Paris Form

Ulster Rugby and Stade Francais Paris Last Matches

Ulster Rugby
Ulster Rugby Last matches
W L L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

11 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup

Cheetahs
0 :  28
Ulster Rugby

2 Jan 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ulster Rugby
28 :  3
Munster

27 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Connacht Rugby
24 :  29
Ulster Rugby

19 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Leinster
24 :  20
Ulster Rugby

13 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup

Cardiff Rugby
29 :  26
Ulster Rugby

5 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup

Ulster Rugby
61 :  7
Racing 92
L W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

2 Jan 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ulster Rugby
28 :  3
Munster

5 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup

Ulster Rugby
61 :  7
Racing 92

28 Nov 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ulster Rugby
47 :  13
Benetton Treviso

11 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ulster Rugby
28 :  7
Bulls

26 Sept 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ulster Rugby
42 :  21
Dragons

26 Apr 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ulster Rugby
19 :  22
Hollywoodbets Sharks
W L L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

11 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup

Cheetahs
0 :  28
Ulster Rugby

27 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Connacht Rugby
24 :  29
Ulster Rugby

19 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Leinster
24 :  20
Ulster Rugby

13 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup

Cardiff Rugby
29 :  26
Ulster Rugby

25 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Lions
49 :  31
Ulster Rugby

18 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Hollywoodbets Sharks
26 :  34
Ulster Rugby
Stade Francais Paris
Stade Francais Paris Last matches
W W D L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

10 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup

Stade Francais Paris
27 :  25
Exeter RC Chiefs

3 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
33 :  15
Castres Olympique

27 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
35 :  34
Stade Francais Paris

20 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
20 :  20
Racing 92

13 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup

Cheetahs
22 :  45
Stade Francais Paris

6 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup

Stade Francais Paris
38 :  17
Cardiff Rugby
W W W D W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

10 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup

Stade Francais Paris
27 :  25
Exeter RC Chiefs

3 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
33 :  15
Castres Olympique

20 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
20 :  20
Racing 92

6 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup

Stade Francais Paris
38 :  17
Cardiff Rugby

23 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
51 :  24
RC Toulonnais

25 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
35 :  12
Montpellier Herault Rugby
W L L L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

27 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
35 :  34
Stade Francais Paris

13 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup

Cheetahs
22 :  45
Stade Francais Paris

29 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Clermont
36 :  32
Stade Francais Paris

1 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
29 :  17
Stade Francais Paris

18 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
29 :  24
Stade Francais Paris

4 Oct 2025 - Top 14

USA Perpignan
11 :  28
Stade Francais Paris

Ulster Rugby - Stade Francais Paris Key Points

  1. Ulster Rugby have won their last three games.
  2. Ulster Rugby have won all five of their home games this season across all competitions.
  3. Stade Francais Paris have won their three Challenge Cup games.
  4. Stade Francais Paris have lost four of their last five away games across all competitions.

Our Ulster Rugby vs Stade Francais Paris Prediction

The two teams have booked their place in the knockout stage of the competition, but the Pool’s top spot remains up for grabs. Stade Francais Paris have been the best team in the group and will look to build on that, but they have been found wanting in their recent away games. 

Ulster Rugby may have underperformed in the group compared to the French club, but have been formidable at home this season. Hence, we expect a tight game likely to go either way. Our Ulster Rugby vs Stade Francais Paris prediction is Stade Francais Paris +21.5 handicap.

Prediction :

 

Stade Francais Paris +21.5 handicap

1.54
€100 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Ulster Rugby vs Stade Francais Paris Prediction