Ulster Rugby vs Stade Francais Paris Prediction & Betting Tips - Challenge Cup
Europe - Challenge Cup
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Challenge Cup Predictions
The battle for Challenge Cup Group 3’s top spot comes to a head on Saturday as Stade Francais Paris travel to face Ulster Rugby. The Pink Soldiers will look to defeat the Ulstermen to round off their pool-stage campaign on a perfect note. Here is our prediction for the game.
Ulster Rugby defeated Racing 92 by a 54-point margin in their Challenge Cup opener before falling against Cardiff Rugby by just three points in their second game. Richie Murphy’s men bounced back with a 28–0 shutout victory over Cheetahs in their third fixture in the competition.
That victory saw them move to second in Group 3 with 12 points, three points shy of Stade Francais Paris at the top. They have won their last three matches, as well as all five of their home games this season across all competitions.
Stade Francais Paris opened their Challenge Cup campaign with a 21-point victory over Cardiff Rugby and demolished Cheetahs 45–22 in their second fixture. A remarkable second-half performance saw them chalk off a 17-point first-half deficit to overcome Exeter Chiefs 27–25 in their third game, maintaining their perfect start to the competition.
However, Les Stadistes are not likely to find it easy against Ulster Rugby on Saturday. They have struggled on the road, losing four of their last five away games across all competitions.
Limited Offer. Currently at Betway
The Best Betting Odds for Ulster Rugby v Stade Francais Paris Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.05 | 34 | 9 |
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1.04 | 50 | 13 |
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1.06 | 20 | 8.2 |
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1.04 | 40 | 9.2 |
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1.04 | 50 | 13 |
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Ulster Rugby vs Stade Francais Paris Form
Ulster Rugby and Stade Francais Paris Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
11 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
2 Jan 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
27 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
19 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
13 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
5 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
2 Jan 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
5 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
28 Nov 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
11 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
26 Sept 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
26 Apr 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
11 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
27 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
19 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
13 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
25 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
18 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
10 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Top 14
27 Dec 2025 - Top 14
20 Dec 2025 - Top 14
13 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
6 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
10 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Top 14
20 Dec 2025 - Top 14
6 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
23 Nov 2025 - Top 14
25 Oct 2025 - Top 14
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
27 Dec 2025 - Top 14
13 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
29 Nov 2025 - Top 14
1 Nov 2025 - Top 14
18 Oct 2025 - Top 14
4 Oct 2025 - Top 14
Ulster Rugby - Stade Francais Paris Key Points
- Ulster Rugby have won their last three games.
- Ulster Rugby have won all five of their home games this season across all competitions.
- Stade Francais Paris have won their three Challenge Cup games.
- Stade Francais Paris have lost four of their last five away games across all competitions.
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Our Ulster Rugby vs Stade Francais Paris Prediction
The two teams have booked their place in the knockout stage of the competition, but the Pool’s top spot remains up for grabs. Stade Francais Paris have been the best team in the group and will look to build on that, but they have been found wanting in their recent away games.
Ulster Rugby may have underperformed in the group compared to the French club, but have been formidable at home this season. Hence, we expect a tight game likely to go either way. Our Ulster Rugby vs Stade Francais Paris prediction is Stade Francais Paris +21.5 handicap.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.