Ukraine vs Iceland Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
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by Steve Ashfield | in World Cup Predictions
There's plenty at stake on Sunday as Ukraine host Iceland. This is the final match for both countries in this World Cup qualifying group, Iceland are in second place, ahead of Ukraine in third on goal difference. Read our match prediction below.
Ukraine are the hosts but this vital World Cup match is being played in Poland due to the ongoing war. Thursday saw Ukraine lose 4-0 in France and that ended any faint hope of winning the group.
Instead, they dropped down to third place in the group and need to get back to second to go into the play-offs. Not since 2006 has Ukraine reached the finals but they have played in the last four European Championships.
Iceland's only appearance in the World Cup Finals came in 2018. They moved up into second place in this group after beating bottom-placed Azerbaijan 2-0 away on Thursday evening. That followed an impressive 2-2 home daw with France in their previous group fixture.
If we get a repeat of the reverse fixture then we're in for a treat on Sunday. Ukraine won that match but it ended 5-3. Iceland are the joint top scorers in this group with 13 goals but they have had nine goals scored against them.
We tip both teams to score in this match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Ukraine v Iceland Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.95 | 3.6 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.5 | 4 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.4 | 3.4 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.5 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.3 | 3.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Ukraine and Iceland?
Our prediction for the Ukraine vs Iceland match is: both teams score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/11/2025 between Ukraine and Iceland in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.15% for a win of Ukraine against Iceland with odds of 1.98 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ukraine vs Iceland is 13.81% with odds of 3.81 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.05% chance ⭐ for a win of Iceland vs Ukraine with odds of 6.17 at 22bet.
Ukraine - Iceland Prediction and Best Odds:
| Ukraine Iceland Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Ukraine wins | 56.15% | 1.98 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.11% | 2.1 at William Hill |
| Both Team To Score | 66.67% | 2 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Iceland / Full-time: Ukraine | 19.88% | 23 at Bet365 |
Ukraine vs Iceland Form
Ukraine and Iceland's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -1 |
|
3
|
7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
Ukraine and Iceland Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
Ukraine vs Iceland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - Euro
5 Sept 2017 - World Cup
Ukraine against Iceland Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 5 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
O. Zinchenko
Most goals and assists
Ukraine
Iceland
O. Gutsuliak
(3 Goals)
,
R. Malinovskyi
(3 Goals)
A. Gudmundsson
(4 Goals)
Ukraine - Iceland Key Points
- The reverse fixture ended 5-3 to Ukraine.
- Both teams have scored in three of Iceland's five games in this group.
- Two of Ukraine's last three matches in this group saw both teams score.
- Both teams have scored in four of the previous six games between these two nations.
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Our Ukraine vs Iceland Prediction
Ukraine need to win this match to go into the World Cup play-offs. They were heavily beaten in France on Thursday and with Iceland defeating Azerbaijan, they begin this final group game only third in the table.
The reverse fixture ended 5-3 to Ukraine and we could well be in for another thriller on Sunday. Iceland have scored in all five of their qualifying matches but regularly concede at the other end. Our Ukraine v Iceland prediction is both teams score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Ukraine Iceland
| Ukraine vs Iceland | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine wins | 1.65 | 1.95 | +18.2% |
| Draw | 3.7 | 3.6 | -2.7% |
| Iceland wins | 5.5 | 3.6 | -34.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Ukraine is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 18.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 60.6% and is now 51.3% (-9.3%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Ukraine vs. Iceland game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Ukraine and Iceland? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's World Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
