Toulouse vs Paris FC Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Toulouse and Paris FC are two struggling sides that are set to go head-to-head next in Ligue 1. Both are coming off defeats, which left hosts Toulouse 10th and Paris 15th. Let’s now have a look at the match prediction.
Out of a possible nine points in the last three league games, Toulouse have only pocketed one point. They are coming off two straight defeats in Ligue 1, the latest being a 2-1 fall against Le Havre.
This run has seen their hopes for Europe dwindle, but at 30 points, they remain within touching distance. About half of their points have been won at home, so returning after two straight away games will be welcome.
For Paris, what looked like a good gap from the relegation region has shrunk to just five points. That development is thanks to the newly promoted side failing to win four straight league matches.
While they seemed a bit in control in the earlier three matches, Paris were badly exposed in the recent outing. They were slammed 5-0 at home by league leaders Lens and will be targeting an immediate response.
The said response will call for a big performance, as Paris are winless in their last three meetings with Toulouse. The latest two ended in defeat, with Paris losing 3-0 in the reverse fixture.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Toulouse v Paris FC Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
2.05 | 3.35 | 4 |
|
|
|
1.99 | 3.3 | 4 |
|
|
|
2 | 3.3 | 4 |
|
|
|
2 | 3.3 | 3.9 |
|
|
|
1.99 | 3.25 | 3.9 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Toulouse and Paris FC?
Our prediction for the Toulouse vs Paris FC match is: BTTS-No.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/02/2026 between Toulouse and Paris FC in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.38% for a win of Toulouse against Paris FC with odds of 2.06 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Toulouse vs Paris FC is 21.58% with odds of 3.44 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.04% chance ⭐ for a win of Paris FC vs Toulouse with odds of 4.17 at 888Starz.
Toulouse - Paris FC Prediction and Best Odds:
| Toulouse Paris FC Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse wins | 45.38% | 2.06 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 52.26% | 2.3 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 70.83% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Toulouse | 18.87% | 5 at Bet365 |
Toulouse vs Paris FC Form
Toulouse and Paris FC's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
44 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | +1 |
|
11
|
44 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | -3 |
Toulouse and Paris FC Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
2 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
6 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
10 Jan 2026 - French Cup
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
7 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Jan 2026 - French Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
Toulouse vs Paris FC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
75 %
25 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Apr 2022 - Ligue 2
23 Oct 2021 - Ligue 2
5 Jan 2021 - Ligue 2
Toulouse against Paris FC Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
N. Said Mchindra
K. Haug
DefenderG. Bakhouche Piernas
T. Garondo
S. Koumbassa
MidfielderM. Sauer
A. Vossah
ForwardJ. Russell Rowe
J. Vignolo
O. Nkambadio
DefenderT. De Smet
Kolo
MidfielderJ. Lopez
V. Marchetti
J. Krasso
L. Koleosho
W. Geubbels
M. Simon
Missing players
A. Dominguez
DefenderM. McKenzie
MidfielderA. Francis
R. Messali
ForwardA. Donnum
F. Magri
R. Riou
DefenderH. Traore
S. Alakouch
MidfielderM. Lopez
S. Chergui
A. Camara
R. Matondo
ForwardP. Hamel
L. Gueye
Most goals and assists
Toulouse - Paris FC Key Points
- Toulouse failed to score in two of their last four games.
- Paris FC failed to score in four of their last five outings.
- In three of their last five home matches, Toulouse kept clean sheets.
- Four times in their last nine matches, Paris FC kept clean sheets.
- Toulouse won to nil in the reverse fixture.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Toulouse vs Paris FC Prediction
Both Toulouse and Paris FC have had glaring troubles ahead of this match. In their recent outings, they’ve struggled to piece together wins. A big chunk of that has been down to poor scoring runs. Paris FC, for example, have managed just two goals in the last five matches and failed to score in four.
They face a Toulouse side that has three clean sheets in five home matches, though the hosts themselves have also had questions on their attack. Our prediction for Toulouse v Paris FC is: BTTS-No.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Toulouse Paris FC
| Toulouse vs Paris FC | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse wins | 1.84 | 2.06 | +12.0% |
| Draw | 3.7 | 3.44 | -7.0% |
| Paris FC wins | 4.97 | 4.17 | -16.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Toulouse is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 12.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 54.3% and is now 48.5% (-5.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.