Toulouse vs Paris FC Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

France - Ligue 1

Toulouse
21/02/2026 13:00
Paris FC

Prediction :

 

BTTS: No

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions

Toulouse and Paris FC are two struggling sides that are set to go head-to-head next in Ligue 1. Both are coming off defeats, which left hosts Toulouse 10th and Paris 15th. Let’s now have a look at the match prediction.

Out of a possible nine points in the last three league games, Toulouse have only pocketed one point. They are coming off two straight defeats in Ligue 1, the latest being a 2-1 fall against Le Havre.

This run has seen their hopes for Europe dwindle, but at 30 points, they remain within touching distance. About half of their points have been won at home, so returning after two straight away games will be welcome.

For Paris, what looked like a good gap from the relegation region has shrunk to just five points. That development is thanks to the newly promoted side failing to win four straight league matches.

While they seemed a bit in control in the earlier three matches, Paris were badly exposed in the recent outing. They were slammed 5-0 at home by league leaders Lens and will be targeting an immediate response.

The said response will call for a big performance, as Paris are winless in their last three meetings with Toulouse. The latest two ended in defeat, with Paris losing 3-0 in the reverse fixture.

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Toulouse v Paris FC Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.05 3.35 4
Melbet
1.99 3.3 4
Betwinner
2 3.3 4
Bet365
2 3.3 3.9
Roobet
1.99 3.25 3.9
Check all Toulouse vs Paris FC odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Toulouse and Paris FC?

Our prediction for the Toulouse vs Paris FC match is: BTTS-No.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/02/2026 between Toulouse and Paris FC in Ligue 1 :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.38% for a win of Toulouse against Paris FC with odds of 2.06 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Toulouse vs Paris FC is 21.58% with odds of 3.44 at 888Starz.
  • Our prediction model gives a 33.04% chance ⭐ for a win of Paris FC vs Toulouse with odds of 4.17 at 888Starz.

Toulouse - Paris FC Prediction and Best Odds:

Toulouse Paris FC Prediction Probability Odds
Toulouse wins 45.38% 2.06 at 888Starz
Under 2.5 52.26% 2.3 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score: No 70.83%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Toulouse 18.87% 5 at Bet365

Toulouse vs Paris FC Form

Toulouse and Paris FC's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams Pts P W D L GD
10 Toulouse
44 33 12 8 13 +1
11 Paris FC
44 34 11 11 12 -3

Toulouse and Paris FC Last Matches

Toulouse
Toulouse Last matches
W W D W L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
2 :  1
Toulouse

8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Angers
1 :  0
Toulouse

4 Feb 2026 - French Cup

Toulouse
1 :  0
Amiens SC

1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  0
Auxerre

25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest
0 :  2
Toulouse

17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
5 :  1
Nice
L W L W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

4 Feb 2026 - French Cup

Toulouse
1 :  0
Amiens SC

1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  0
Auxerre

17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
5 :  1
Nice

2 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  3
Lens

6 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
1 :  0
Strasbourg

23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  1
Angers
W W D W L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
2 :  1
Toulouse

8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Angers
1 :  0
Toulouse

25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest
0 :  2
Toulouse

10 Jan 2026 - French Cup

Angers
1 :  1
Toulouse

20 Dec 2025 - French Cup

Lyon La Duchere
1 :  2
Toulouse

13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
0 :  3
Toulouse
Paris FC
Paris FC Last matches
W D D L D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
0 :  5
Lens

8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
0 :  0
Paris FC

4 Feb 2026 - French Cup

Lorient
2 :  0
Paris FC

31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
2 :  2
Marseille

25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
0 :  0
Angers

18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Nantes
1 :  2
Paris FC
L D L D D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
0 :  5
Lens

31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
2 :  2
Marseille

25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
0 :  0
Angers

13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
0 :  3
Toulouse

29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
1 :  1
Auxerre

7 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
0 :  1
Rennes
W L W W L D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
0 :  0
Paris FC

4 Feb 2026 - French Cup

Lorient
2 :  0
Paris FC

18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Nantes
1 :  2
Paris FC

12 Jan 2026 - French Cup

PSG
0 :  1
Paris FC

4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG
2 :  1
Paris FC

20 Dec 2025 - French Cup

US Raonnaise
0 :  3
Paris FC

Toulouse vs Paris FC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Toulouse

75 %

Draw

25 %

Paris FC

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.75
Total goals
50%
BTTS
2
Goals scored
0.75
Goals conceded
75%
Over 2.5
25%
Under 2.5

13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
0 :  3
Toulouse

2 Apr 2022 - Ligue 2

Toulouse
2 :  1
Paris FC

23 Oct 2021 - Ligue 2

Paris FC
2 :  2
Toulouse

5 Jan 2021 - Ligue 2

Toulouse
1 :  0
Paris FC

Toulouse against Paris FC Lineups: Starting 11

Toulouse

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

1
G. Restes
19
D. Sidibe
4
C. Cresswell
2
R. Nicolaisen
12
W. Kamanzi
23
C. Casseres Jr
18
P. Diop
24
D. Methalie
11
S. Hidalgo
10
Y. Gboho
20
E. Da Silva
36
C. Immobile
93
J. Ikone
10
I. Kebbal
19
N. Sangui
18
M. Munetsi
33
P. Lees-Melou
7
A. Gory
6
Otavio
5
M. Mbow
42
D. Coppola
35
K. Trapp

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Paris FC

Substitutes

Toulouse
Toulouse
Goalkeeper

N. Said Mchindra

K. Haug

Defender

G. Bakhouche Piernas

T. Garondo

S. Koumbassa

Midfielder

M. Sauer

P. Diop 85'

A. Vossah

Forward

J. Russell Rowe

E. Da Silva 64'

J. Vignolo

W. Kamanzi 61'

Paris FC
Paris FC
Goalkeeper

O. Nkambadio

Defender

T. De Smet

A. Gory 66'

Kolo

Midfielder

J. Lopez

V. Marchetti

M. Munetsi 67'

Forward

J. Krasso

C. Immobile 80'

L. Koleosho

J. Ikone 67'

W. Geubbels

M. Simon

I. Kebbal 85'

Missing players

Toulouse
Toulouse
Goalkeeper

A. Dominguez

Defender

M. McKenzie

Midfielder

A. Francis

R. Messali

Forward

A. Donnum

F. Magri

Paris FC
Paris FC
Goalkeeper

R. Riou

Defender

H. Traore

S. Alakouch

Midfielder

M. Lopez

S. Chergui

A. Camara

R. Matondo

Forward

P. Hamel

L. Gueye

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Toulouse
CD Huachipato Paris FC
Top Goalscorer
France Y. Gboho (8 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Algeria I. Kebbal (9 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina S. Hidalgo (5 Assists)
Best assists
Algeria I. Kebbal (4 Assists)
France M. Lopez (4 Assists)

Toulouse - Paris FC Key Points

  1. Toulouse failed to score in two of their last four games.
  2. Paris FC failed to score in four of their last five outings.
  3. In three of their last five home matches, Toulouse kept clean sheets.
  4. Four times in their last nine matches, Paris FC kept clean sheets.
  5. Toulouse won to nil in the reverse fixture.
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Our Toulouse vs Paris FC Prediction

Both Toulouse and Paris FC have had glaring troubles ahead of this match. In their recent outings, they’ve struggled to piece together wins. A big chunk of that has been down to poor scoring runs. Paris FC, for example, have managed just two goals in the last five matches and failed to score in four.

They face a Toulouse side that has three clean sheets in five home matches, though the hosts themselves have also had questions on their attack. Our prediction for Toulouse v Paris FC is: BTTS-No.

Prediction :

 

BTTS: No

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Toulouse Paris FC

Toulouse vs Paris FC Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Toulouse wins 1.84 2.06 +12.0%
Draw 3.7 3.44 -7.0%
Paris FC wins 4.97 4.17 -16.1%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Toulouse is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 12.0% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 54.3% and is now 48.5% (-5.8%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Toulouse vs Paris FC Prediction