Toulouse vs Monaco Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Both Toulouse and Monaco will be gunning for a return to winning ways when they face off in Ligue 1 on Saturday. Placed 11th, Toulouse are out of contention for Europe, but seventh-placed Monaco are two points below the top six. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.
Toulouse have had a tough run in the past few weeks, and they will hope returning at home offers a break. Three of their last four matches in league and cup competitions were staged away from home.
They lost all four, the latest in the French Cup, where they fell 4-1 against Lens.
Monaco will be looking to return to winning ways after their impressive five-game winning run was stopped by Paris FC. That was two matchdays ago, and they had another opportunity at home but could only draw 2-2 with relegation-threatened Auxerre.
Monaco will feel satisfied by their comeback after falling 2-0 behind in the first half. The reality, though, is that they should ask themselves hard questions after conceding six times in the last two games.
Les Monegasques do have a strong run in this fixture and will be confident of addressing their shortcomings. In their last five matches against Toulouse, Monaco won.
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Toulouse v Monaco Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.95 | 3.95 | 1.87 |
|
|
3.96 | 3.96 | 1.82 |
|
|
3.8 | 3.9 | 1.87 |
|
|
3.9 | 4 | 1.83 |
|
|
3.55 | 3.75 | 1.95 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Toulouse and Monaco?
Our prediction for the Toulouse vs Monaco match is: Monaco wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/04/2026 between Toulouse and Monaco in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 22.15% for a win of Toulouse against Monaco with odds of 4.12 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Toulouse vs Monaco is 28.84% with odds of 4.07 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 49.02% chance ⭐ for a win of Monaco vs Toulouse with odds of 1.95 at Roobet.
Toulouse - Monaco Prediction and Best Odds:
| Toulouse Monaco Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Monaco wins | 49.02% | 1.95 at Roobet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.66% | 1.64 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 55.42% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Monaco/Monaco | 21.39% | 2.88 at Bet365 |
Toulouse vs Monaco Form
Toulouse and Monaco's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
54 | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | +6 |
|
10
|
44 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | +1 |
Toulouse and Monaco Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Apr 2026 - French Cup
17 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
3 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Apr 2026 - French Cup
17 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
3 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Mar 2026 - French Cup
28 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
10 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
6 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
13 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
6 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
Toulouse vs Monaco Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
7 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
7 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
18 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
20 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1
3 Jun 2023 - Ligue 1
Toulouse against Monaco Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
N. Said Mchindra
K. Haug
DefenderW. Kamanzi
D. Sidibe
S. Koumbassa
MidfielderM. Sauer
E. Da Silva
J. Vignolo
I. Azizi
P. Kohn
DefenderE. Dier
M. Coulibaly
S. Nibombe
A. Bamba
I. Toure
P. Pogba
A. Golovin
M. Biereth
Missing players
Y. Gboho
A. Francis
R. Messali
ForwardF. Magri
C. Henrique
M. Salisu
Vanderson
K. Ouattara
MidfielderT. Minamino
S. Idumbo-Muzambo
ForwardP. Brunner
Most goals and assists
Toulouse
Monaco
Y. Gboho
(8 Goals)
F. Balogun
(13 Goals)
S. Hidalgo
(5 Assists)
M. Akliouche
(6 Assists)
Toulouse - Monaco Key Points
- Monaco have won six of their most recent nine matches.
- Monaco won three of the last five meetings with Toulouse.
- Toulouse are winless in the last six matches; they hosted Monaco.
- Toulouse are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.
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Our Toulouse vs Monaco Prediction
Toulouse haven’t even had time to recover from their cup exit, and they are set to face another tough opponent in Monaco. The hosts come into this game on a losing run of four straight matches, and this is likely to stretch to five looking at their record against Monaco.
In the last five matches they hosted Monaco, Toulouse suffered three defeats, with the others ending in draws. For Monaco, who are also looking to bounce back, this is a perfect opportunity. Our prediction for Toulouse v Monaco is that Monaco wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Toulouse Monaco
| Toulouse vs Monaco | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse wins | 3.07 | 4.12 | +34.2% |
| Draw | 3.76 | 4.07 | +8.2% |
| Monaco wins | 2.36 | 1.95 | -17.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Monaco is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 17.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 42.4% and is now 51.3% (8.9%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
