Toulouse vs Lens Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Lens will open their 2026 activities with a Friday Ligue 1 match at Toulouse. The league leaders are looking to extend the gap when eighth placed Toulouse comes calling. Let’s have a peek at the preview and a prediction for this match.
Toulouse finished 2025 on a high, with three straight wins across all competitions. Their 2-1 victory against Lyon-La Duchere in the French Cup was, however, labored, and this is a chance to do better.
In their last meeting with Lens, Toulouse played to a 1-1 draw, stretching their unbeaten run in this fixture to two. Having won just three of their eight home league matches this season, they carry major concerns here.
Before their loss to Toulouse last season, Lens had gone unbeaten in six meetings with Les Violets. They will be looking to start another such run and they can’t be faulted, having had a strong run lately.
Les Sang et Or have made the most of PSG’s struggles this season and lead the champions by a point. PSG plays two days later and Lens have the chance to put up a four-point buffer.
They easily sailed past Feignies-Aulnoye in the French Cup last time out, winning 3-1. That was the sixth time in seven matches that they scored 2+. However, three clean sheets only in their last 10 matches will pose tough questions.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Toulouse v Lens Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.6 | 3.3 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.2 | 2.93 |
|
|
2.51 | 3.2 | 2.91 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.2 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.48 | 3.2 | 2.88 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Toulouse and Lens?
Our prediction for the Toulouse vs Lens match is: Lens wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/01/2026 between Toulouse and Lens in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 27.42% for a win of Toulouse against Lens with odds of 2.6 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Toulouse vs Lens is 29.56% with odds of 3.4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 43.02% chance ⭐ for a win of Lens vs Toulouse with odds of 3.09 at 888Starz.
Toulouse - Lens Prediction and Best Odds:
| Toulouse Lens Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lens wins | 43.02% | 3.09 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.06% | 2.17 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 51.25% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lens | 18.49% | 6.75 at LSbet |
Toulouse vs Lens Form
Toulouse and Lens's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
70 | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | +31 |
|
10
|
44 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | +1 |
Toulouse and Lens Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Dec 2025 - French Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Dec 2025 - French Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
Toulouse vs Lens Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 May 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1
24 Sept 2023 - Ligue 1
2 May 2023 - Ligue 1
28 Oct 2022 - Ligue 1
Toulouse against Lens Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
K. Haug
DefenderW. Kamanzi
G. Bakhouche Piernas
S. Koumbassa
M. Sauer
N. Schmidt
ForwardS. Hidalgo
J. Vignolo
N. Edjouma
R. Gurtner
DefenderN. Celik
K. Antonio
MidfielderF. Sylla
A. Bermont
A. Sima
M. Guilavogui
F. Sotoca
R. Fofana
Missing players
D. Methalie
MidfielderA. Francis
ForwardF. Magri
I. Azizi
J. Gradit
R. Aguilar
J. Chavez
MidfielderM. Sangare
Most goals and assists
Toulouse
Lens
Y. Gboho
(8 Goals)
W. Said
(12 Goals)
, 
O. Edouard
(12 Goals)
S. Hidalgo
(5 Assists)
A. Thomasson
(10 Assists)
Toulouse - Lens Key Points
- Lens are on a seven-match winning run in all competitions.
- Lens have beaten Toulouse three times in the last five meetings.
- Toulouse suffered six losses to Lens in their last nine encounters.
- In their eight home league games this season, Toulouse won just three.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Toulouse vs Lens Prediction
A two-game unbeaten run against Lens will give Toulouse some mental lift coming into this game. However, Lens aren’t in the same form as when they lost and drew with Toulouse last season. They are challenging for the league and have shown real quality in their recent matches.
Lens went into the winter break off the back of an impressive streak, winning seven out of seven. Toulouse haven't had the killer instinct at home so far. This looks like a game that will trouble them. Our prediction for Toulouse v Lens is that Lens wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Toulouse Lens
| Toulouse vs Lens | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse wins | 2.9 | 2.6 | -10.3% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.4 | 0% |
| Lens wins | 2.5 | 3.09 | +23.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lens is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 23.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 40.0% and is now 32.4% (-7.6%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
