Toulouse vs Auxerre Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Toulouse’s chase for European football will be at the forefront again, as they host Auxerre in the 20th round of Ligue 1. Heading into this game Toulouse are two slots and two points outside the top six, while Auxerre are six points below safety. Let’s have a look at the match prediction here.
Toulouse finished three places below European football last season and are determined to close in this time. Les Violets have only lost to league leaders Lens in the last six league outings.
Four wins in that space mean they could enter the top six with a win on Sunday. Last time out they beat Brest 2-0, building on a 5-1 win over Nice in their latest home game.
Auxerre posted their first win in seven matches the last time these teams met. That was back in September. In this encounter, they will be meeting a very different Toulouse side, and their hopes for a double may not come to fruition.
Auxerre, first of all, have lost four times in the last seven meetings with Toulouse. That aside, AJA are coming into this game on a really poor run of form, being winless in five matches, all defeats.
The most recent of them was a 1-0 loss to PSG, which has them winless in nine of their last 10 games.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Toulouse v Auxerre Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.84 | 3.6 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.76 | 3.5 | 5 |
|
|
1.79 | 3.46 | 4.84 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.5 | 5 |
|
|
1.79 | 3.45 | 4.6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Toulouse and Auxerre?
Our prediction for the Toulouse vs Auxerre match is: Toulouse wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/02/2026 between Toulouse and Auxerre in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.2% for a win of Toulouse against Auxerre with odds of 1.89 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Toulouse vs Auxerre is 31.19% with odds of 3.6 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 15.61% chance ⭐ for a win of Auxerre vs Toulouse with odds of 5.2 at Tonybet.
Toulouse - Auxerre Prediction and Best Odds:
| Toulouse Auxerre Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse wins | 53.2% | 1.89 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 56.47% | 2.11 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 61.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Toulouse | 31.75% | 4.5 at Bet365 |
Toulouse vs Auxerre Form
Toulouse and Auxerre's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
44 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | +1 |
|
15
|
34 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | -10 |
Toulouse and Auxerre Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
10 Jan 2026 - French Cup
2 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
2 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
6 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
10 Jan 2026 - French Cup
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
1 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
Toulouse vs Auxerre Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
1 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
27 May 2023 - Ligue 1
11 Jan 2023 - Ligue 1
19 Mar 2022 - Ligue 2
Toulouse against Auxerre Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3
Substitutes
K. Haug
DefenderW. Kamanzi
G. Bakhouche Piernas
S. Koumbassa
MidfielderA. Vossah
M. Sauer
R. Messali
J. Vignolo
N. Edjouma
T. De Percin
DefenderF. Oppegard
B. Okoh
T. Siwe
MidfielderL. Coulibaly
N. Ahamada
A. Diousse
S. Mara
J. Casimir
Missing players
A. Dominguez
DefenderD. Methalie
MidfielderA. Francis
ForwardF. Magri
I. Azizi
F. Sierralta
M. Senaya
Most goals and assists
Toulouse
Auxerre
Y. Gboho
(8 Goals)
L. Sinayoko
(12 Goals)
S. Hidalgo
(5 Assists)
L. Sinayoko
(4 Assists)
Toulouse - Auxerre Key Points
- Auxerre have suffered seven defeats in their latest 10 games.
- Five times in their last seven matches, Toulouse emerged winners.
- Toulouse are unbeaten in their last seven home games against Auxerre (5W, 2D).
- Auxerre have lost to Toulouse four times in their last seven meetings.
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Our Toulouse vs Auxerre Prediction
This looks like another match Toulouse will collect points from. The hosts have been in good form lately, and especially in their Ligue 1 matches. This is helping a lot in their European ambitions, and they will look at this match across a similar continental lens.
They’ve only lost once in their last six league games, and taking on a relegation-threatened side will favor them. Auxerre are coming off four straight defeats in Ligue 1 action and head into a game they haven't done so well in. Our prediction for Toulouse v Auxerre is that Toulouse wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Toulouse Auxerre
| Toulouse vs Auxerre | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse wins | 1.7 | 1.89 | +11.2% |
| Draw | 3.74 | 3.6 | -3.7% |
| Auxerre wins | 6.32 | 5.2 | -17.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Toulouse is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 11.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 58.8% and is now 52.9% (-5.9%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Toulouse vs. Auxerre game
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
