ATP - ATP French Open
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by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP French Open Predictions
Tommy Paul and Carlos Alcaraz are set to clash in the quarter-finals at the French Open, meeting for the seventh time. This will also mark their second straight clash on clay after facing off at the Olympic Games last year. Below is our prediction of the match, the winner set to face Lorenzo Musetti or Frances Tiafoe.
Paul had his first runout without dropping a set at this event in the last round. He needed just under two hours to see off Alexei Popyrin for an eighth win in nine matches.
He hadn’t spent less than three hours in the opening three matches, and he will do with some rest. This will be his first-ever quarter-final appearance at the French Open.
The opponent he faces has not only beaten him four times in six meetings but has also clinched three titles already and is the defending champion here.
Alcaraz is coming from a 3-1 win against Ben Shelton for his 11th straight victory at the French Open. Ahead of this major, Alcaraz had bagged the Rome title, and he has so far played seven quarter-finals this season.
He was defeated in only two - one of them the Australian Open. The world No. 2 lost two of his first three meetings with Paul but has gone on to win each of the last three.
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The Best Betting Odds for Tommy Paul v Carlos Alcaraz Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
8 | 1.05 |
|
|
7.5 | 1.08 |
|
|
7 | 1.1 |
|
|
8 | 1.08 |
|
|
10 | 1.05 |
|
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Who will win the Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz match is: Alcaraz to win in four sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz game on 03/06/2025 of the current ATP French Open season:
- Tommy Paul has a 24.76% chance to win against Carlos Alcaraz according to Unibet ⭐ with the odds of 10.
- Carlos Alcaraz has a 75.24% probability of winning facing Tommy Paul ⭐ with odds of 1.1 at Betway.
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Tommy Paul has a 24.76 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Tommy Paul | 24.76 % |
| Carlos Alcaraz | 75.24 % |
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Form
Tommy Paul and Carlos Alcaraz Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
1 Jun 2025 - ATP French Open
30 May 2025 - ATP French Open
28 May 2025 - ATP French Open
25 May 2025 - ATP French Open
16 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
15 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
1 Jun 2025 - ATP French Open
30 May 2025 - ATP French Open
28 May 2025 - ATP French Open
26 May 2025 - ATP French Open
18 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
16 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
20 %
80 %
1 Aug 2024 - Olympic Tournament
9 Jul 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
17 Aug 2023 - ATP Cincinnati Open
11 Aug 2023 - Toronto, Canada
28 Mar 2023 - ATP Miami
Tommy Paul - Carlos Alcaraz Key Points
- Alcaraz won against Paul in straight sets only twice.
- Paul lost four of his last six matches against Alcaraz.
- Alcaraz has dropped a set in each of his last three matches.
- Paul lost at least one set in the first three of his four games here.
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Our Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction
Alcaraz remains among the favorites to win the French Open title in 2025. However, he hasn’t been as clinical as he was in Rome. In his last game he had another subpar performance, though he still sailed through. Against Paul it will be another tricky encounter, and this matchup has only once produced a straight-sets win.
Tommy Paul lost each of the last three meetings. He has also dropped five sets already at the French Open, meaning he has played two hours more than Alcaraz. Our prediction for Tommy Paul v Carlos Alcaraz is for Alcaraz to win in four sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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