Tomas Machac vs Tommy Paul Prediction & Betting Tips - Adelaide International
ATP - Adelaide International
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Tommy Paul is in the semi-finals of the Adelaide International for the second successive year. The second seed faces eighth-seeded Tomas Machac for a place in the final of this outdoor hard court tournament. Read our match prediction below.
The winner of this match will take on either top seed Alejandro Davidovich Fokina or unseeded Ugo Humbert in the title decider. If Paul can win. it'll take the American into his first final on this surface since 2024.
Paul has reached the last four without dropping a set. After beating fellow American Reilly Opelka 6-4 6-4, he defeated Aleksandar Vukic for the loss of only five games. The 28-year-old has risen to 20th in the live rankings.
He trails Machac 2-1 in previous meetings. Machac won both of their matches played on this surface. All three previous meetings went to a final set. Paul's win came last year but that was on clay.
Tomas Machac has also reached this semi-final without dropping a set. The Czech has had wins over wlld card James Duckworth Quentin Halys was beaten in round two and the quarter-finals saw him defeat Jaume Munar 6-4 6-4.
The 25-year-old is 33rd in the live list and last year won the Mexican Open on an outdoor hard court.
We tip Machac to win a set.
Limited Offer. Currently at Betway
The Best Betting Odds for Tomas Machac v Tommy Paul Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
2.3 | 1.62 |
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2.3 | 1.62 |
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|
2.26 | 1.58 |
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2.23 | 1.61 |
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2.3 | 1.62 |
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Who will win the Tomas Machac vs Tommy Paul Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Tomas Machac vs Tommy Paul match is: Tomas Machac wins a set.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Tomas Machac vs Tommy Paul game on 15/01/2026 of the current Adelaide International season:
- Tomas Machac has a 47.27% chance to win against Tommy Paul according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 2.3.
- Tommy Paul has a 52.73% probability of winning facing Tomas Machac ⭐ with odds of 1.67 at Shangrila.
Tomas Machac vs Tommy Paul Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Tomas Machac has a 47.27 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Tomas Machac | 47.27 % |
| Tommy Paul | 52.73 % |
Tomas Machac vs Tommy Paul Form
Tomas Machac and Tommy Paul Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
14 Jan 2026 - Adelaide International
13 Jan 2026 - Adelaide International
12 Jan 2026 - Adelaide International
4 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International
27 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
22 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
15 Jan 2026 - Adelaide International
13 Jan 2026 - Adelaide International
5 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International
30 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
28 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
26 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
Tomas Machac vs Tommy Paul Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
12 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
9 Oct 2024 - ATP Shanghai Masters
27 Sept 2024 - ATP Japan Open
Tomas Machac - Tommy Paul Key Points
- Machac leads Paul 2-1 in previous meetings.
- All three previous matches against Paul have seen Machac win a set.
- Machac is yet to drop a set this week.
- Machac has won at least one set in his last four matches.
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Our Tomas Machac vs Tommy Paul Prediction
Tommy Paul was in the top ten this time last year but had injury problems in the second half of 2025. After losing in round one of his opening tournament in 2026, Paul has made it to this Adelaide semi-final without dropping a set but against unseeded opposition.
Machac is also yet to lose a set in this tournament or face a seed. He has won both of his previous outdoor hard court matches against Paul. Our Tomas Machac v Tommy Paul prediction is Tomas Machac wins a set.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
