Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo Prediction & Betting Tips - J.League
Japan - J.League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Football Predictions
Saturday brings us the first Tokyo Derby of the season, with Tokyo Verdy taking on FC Tokyo at the Ajinomoto Stadium. Aoaka have won two of the last three matches against their local rivals, and our prediction is that they will come out on top in this one as well.
After a solid 2026 league campaign, Tokyo Verdy have endured a dismal start to this season, winless after nine games and bottom of the table with just four points to date (D4 L5).
Verdy suffered a 2-0 defeat to Sanfrecce Hiroshima last weekend and are the lowest-scoring team in the division with just four goals, three fewer than any other side in the top flight.
With both sides sharing Ajinomoto Stadium as their home ground, home/away record carries little weight here. Verdy have not beaten this opponent at this venue since August 2008.
Meanwhile, FC Tokyo finished second to Kashima Antlers in Group A last season, and they have made a promising start to this campaign, currently fourth in the table with 20 points.
Aoaka beat Urawa Reds 3-0 last weekend and have now kept six clean sheets in their last seven games in all competitions. However, they did bow out of the J-League Cup to Mito 1-0 in midweek.
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Tokyo Verdy v FC Tokyo Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.80 | 3.65 | 1.68 |
|
|
5.13 | 3.82 | 1.69 |
|
|
5.10 | 3.78 | 1.69 |
|
|
5.10 | 3.78 | 1.69 |
|
|
5.10 | 3.78 | 1.69 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Tokyo Verdy and FC Tokyo?
Our prediction for the Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo match is: FC Tokyo wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/10/2026 between Tokyo Verdy and FC Tokyo in J.League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 13.62% for a win of Tokyo Verdy against FC Tokyo with odds of 5.13 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo is 27.82% with odds of 3.82 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 58.57% chance ⭐ for a win of FC Tokyo vs Tokyo Verdy with odds of 1.72 at Shangrila.
Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo Form
Tokyo Verdy and FC Tokyo's standings in the J.League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
20 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 |
|
20
|
4 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -10 |
Tokyo Verdy and FC Tokyo Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2026 - J.League
7 Oct 2026 - Emperor's Cup
29 Sept 2026 - J. League Cup
19 Sept 2026 - J.League
13 Sept 2026 - J.League
9 Sept 2026 - J. League Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2026 - J.League
13 Sept 2026 - J.League
2 Sept 2026 - J.League
29 Aug 2026 - J.League
26 Aug 2026 - Emperor's Cup
14 Aug 2026 - J.League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Oct 2026 - Emperor's Cup
29 Sept 2026 - J. League Cup
19 Sept 2026 - J.League
9 Sept 2026 - J. League Cup
6 Sept 2026 - J.League
22 Aug 2026 - J.League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2026 - J. League Cup
10 Oct 2026 - J.League
7 Oct 2026 - Emperor's Cup
29 Sept 2026 - J. League Cup
19 Sept 2026 - J.League
12 Sept 2026 - J.League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2026 - J.League
7 Oct 2026 - Emperor's Cup
19 Sept 2026 - J.League
6 Sept 2026 - J.League
26 Aug 2026 - Emperor's Cup
21 Aug 2026 - J.League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2026 - J. League Cup
29 Sept 2026 - J. League Cup
12 Sept 2026 - J.League
2 Sept 2026 - J.League
29 Aug 2026 - J.League
15 Aug 2026 - J.League
Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
67 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 May 2026 - J.League
22 Mar 2026 - J.League
15 Sept 2025 - J.League
2 Apr 2025 - J.League
17 Aug 2024 - J.League
13 Apr 2024 - J.League
Most goals and assists
Tokyo Verdy
FC Tokyo
N. Hayashi
(2 Goals)
M. Nagakura
(6 Goals)
I. Someno
(1 Assists)
,
S. Meshino
(1 Assists)
,
S. Mizoguchi
(1 Assists)
,
K. Ichimi
(1 Assists)
M. Nagakura
(4 Assists)
Tokyo Verdy - FC Tokyo Key Points
- Tokyo Verdy are winless in the league this season.
- Tokyo Verdy have scored just four goals in nine league matches this season.
- Tokyo Verdy are winless in their last nine matches against this opponent.
- FC Tokyo have won six of their nine league matches this season.
- FC Tokyo have kept clean sheets in six of their last seven matches in all competitions.
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Our Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo Prediction
Tokyo Verdy have made a shocking start to the season, still winless after nine games and rooted to the bottom of the table, while also having scored the fewest goals in the top flight to date.
FC Tokyo, on the other hand, are unbeaten in their last eight league matches and have conceded just once in their last seven across all competitions. Given the stats, we fancy Aoaka to take the three points from this match. Our Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo prediction is FC Tokyo wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
