Sweden vs France Prediction & Betting Tips - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
World - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Basketball Predictions
40th-ranked Sweden host World No. 4 France at Avicii Arena in their second game of the FIBA World Cup 2027 European Qualifiers Second Round. France have lost three of their last five away games, with both wins on that stretch coming by tight margins. The Blues face another tough away outing against a Swedish side on a four-game winning streak, leading us to favour Sweden in our prediction.
Sweden’s dramatic turnaround in the FIBA World Cup 2027 European Qualifiers continued on Thursday when they edged 17th-ranked Finland away in their Second Round opener. Miami Heat guard Pelle Larsson stole the show, scoring a game-high 31 points from 9-of-17 shooting to inspire the visitors, who headed into the game as underdogs, to an 86–81 victory.
The Blue and Yellow have now aced each of their last four outings in the competition, climbing to fourth in the Group L standings with 11 points, two behind France at the top. They have been competitive at home as well, with all five of their recent home defeats coming by no more than 11 points.
NBA sensation Victor Wembanyama scored a game-high 22 points as France shot 41% from the field and 21% from three-point range to defeat visiting Slovenia 92–67 in their Second Round opener.
However, Frédéric Fauthoux’s men have lost three of their last five away games. Additionally, their two wins in that stretch, against 47th-ranked Hungary and World No. 36 Belgium, both came by no more than eight points.
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Sweden v France Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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6.35 | 1.1 |
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6.35 | 1.1 |
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6.5 | 1.1 |
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6 | 1.11 |
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6 | 1.11 |
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Who will win the Sweden vs France Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Sweden vs France match is: Sweden +12.5 handicap.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Sweden vs France game on 30/08/2026 of the current FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A season:
- Sweden has a 23.71% chance to pick up the win against France according to Betsson ⭐ with the odds of 7.
- There is a probability of 76.29% ⭐ for France to win vs Sweden with odds of 1.11 at Roobet.
Sweden vs France Form
Sweden and France's standings in the FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
|
3
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
Sweden and France Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
27 Aug 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
6 Jul 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
3 Jul 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
1 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
27 Feb 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
1 Dec 2025 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
1/5 (20%)
4/5 (80%)
3 Jul 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
27 Feb 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
1 Dec 2025 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
1 Sept 2025 - EuroBasket
27 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
27 Aug 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
6 Jul 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
1 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
28 Nov 2025 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
6 Sept 2025 - EuroBasket
3 Sept 2025 - EuroBasket
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
27 Aug 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
23 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games
20 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games
6 Jul 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
3 Jul 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
1 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
27 Aug 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
23 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games
6 Jul 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
1 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
28 Nov 2025 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
7 Sept 2025 - EuroBasket
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
20 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games
3 Jul 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
27 Feb 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
1 Dec 2025 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
31 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
28 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
Sweden - France Key Points
- Sweden have won their last four games in the competition.
- All five of Sweden's recent losses at home have come by no more than 11 points.
- France have lost three of their last five away games.
- France’s last two away wins have come by single-digit margins.
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Our Sweden vs France Prediction
Bookmakers favour France to secure victory given the significant gap separating the two teams in the world rankings. However, the World No. 4’s recent results on the road suggest this game is far from a foregone conclusion.
Sweden capped their terrific recent run with an impressive away victory over higher-ranked Finland last time out. They have also been competitive at home and are likely to give the French side a tough run. Our Sweden vs France prediction: Sweden +12.5 handicap.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
