Swansea vs Wrexham Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Swansea
19/12/2025 13:00
Wrexham

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Steve Ashfield in Championship Predictions

Wrexham travel to Swansea City for this much-anticipated Welsh derby. The home side are 19th in the Championship, five places and the same number of points behind their visitors. Time for our match prediction.

It’s been 22 years since these two clubs last played each other. Both Swansea and Wrexham have won six league games this season, but the Swans have been beaten ten times, compared to Wrexham’s five.

City had won their last two league games before being beaten 2-1 at Stoke on Saturday. That has left them just four points above the relegation zone. Home form has produced four league victories with the last two won to nil. They have lost four home league games this season.

Wrexham may be only 14th in the Championship but they are just six points adrift of the final promotion play-off position. Wrexham would already be in those positions but for drawing ten of their 21 league fixtures.

Their last league game was a 2-2 home draw with Watford. They led and trailed in that game and rescued a point with a 92nd minute equalizer. Only two away league games have been won by them. 14 of their league games have seen under 2.5 goals scored and we tip that stat to come up here.

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The Best Betting Odds for Swansea v Wrexham Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.15 3.3 3.3
Betfred
2.25 3.2 3.3
William Hill
2.25 3.1 3.25
Unibet
2.3 3.2 3.2
Betway
2.2 3.2 3.2
Check all Swansea vs Wrexham odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Swansea and Wrexham?

Our prediction for the Swansea vs Wrexham match is: under 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/12/2025 between Swansea and Wrexham in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.13% for a win of Swansea against Wrexham with odds of 2.3 at Unibet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Swansea vs Wrexham is 32.41% with odds of 3.3 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 30.46% chance ⭐ for a win of Wrexham vs Swansea with odds of 3.35 at Shangrila.

Swansea vs Wrexham Form

Swansea and Wrexham's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
15
Wrexham
Wrexham
28 21 6 10 5 1
19
Swansea
Swansea
23 21 6 5 10 -7

Swansea and Wrexham Last Matches

Swansea
Swansea Last matches
L L L W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Stoke
2 :  1
Swansea

9 Dec 2025 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  0
Portsmouth

6 Dec 2025 - Championship

Swansea
2 :  0
Oxford United

29 Nov 2025 - Championship

West Brom
3 :  2
Swansea

25 Nov 2025 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  2
Derby County

22 Nov 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
3 :  0
Swansea
W L L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

9 Dec 2025 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  0
Portsmouth

6 Dec 2025 - Championship

Swansea
2 :  0
Oxford United

25 Nov 2025 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  2
Derby County

8 Nov 2025 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  4
Ipswich Town

29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup

Swansea
1 :  3
Manchester City

25 Oct 2025 - Championship

Swansea
2 :  1
Norwich
D D L L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Stoke
2 :  1
Swansea

29 Nov 2025 - Championship

West Brom
3 :  2
Swansea

22 Nov 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
3 :  0
Swansea

5 Nov 2025 - Championship

Preston North End
2 :  1
Swansea

1 Nov 2025 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
1 :  1
Swansea

18 Oct 2025 - Championship

Southampton
0 :  0
Swansea
Wrexham
Wrexham Last matches
D W D D L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Wrexham
2 :  2
Watford

10 Dec 2025 - Championship

Hull
2 :  0
Wrexham

6 Dec 2025 - Championship

Preston North End
1 :  1
Wrexham

29 Nov 2025 - Championship

Wrexham
1 :  1
Blackburn

26 Nov 2025 - Championship

Wrexham
2 :  0
Bristol City

22 Nov 2025 - Championship

Ipswich Town
0 :  0
Wrexham
L W W W D D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Wrexham
2 :  2
Watford

29 Nov 2025 - Championship

Wrexham
1 :  1
Blackburn

26 Nov 2025 - Championship

Wrexham
2 :  0
Bristol City

8 Nov 2025 - Championship

Wrexham
1 :  0
Charlton Athletic

31 Oct 2025 - Championship

Wrexham
3 :  2
Coventry City

28 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup

Wrexham
1 :  2
Cardiff
L D D D D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

10 Dec 2025 - Championship

Hull
2 :  0
Wrexham

6 Dec 2025 - Championship

Preston North End
1 :  1
Wrexham

22 Nov 2025 - Championship

Ipswich Town
0 :  0
Wrexham

5 Nov 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
0 :  0
Wrexham

25 Oct 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  1
Wrexham

18 Oct 2025 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  0
Wrexham

Swansea vs Wrexham last Lineups

Swansea

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

22
L. Vigouroux
30
E. Gaibraith
5
B. Cabango
15
C. Burgess
14
J. Tymon
17
G. Franco
6
M. Stamenic
35
R. Pereira Martins
20
L. Cullen
10
E. Ji-sung
9
Z. Vipotnik
19
K. Moore
10
J. Windass
7
J. McClean
27
L. O'Brien
37
M. James
15
G. Dobson
47
R. Longman
2
C. Doyle
5
D. Hyam
4
M. Cleworth
1
A. Okonkwo

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Wrexham

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Swansea
CD Huachipato Wrexham
Top Goalscorer
Slovenia Z. Vipotnik (10 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Wales K. Moore (10 Goals)
Best assists
England J. Tymon (3 Assists)
Sweden Z. Inoussa (3 Assists)
Best assists
I. Kabore (3 Assists)
Wales M. Cleworth (3 Assists)
Rep. of Ireland J. McClean (3 Assists)
England J. Windass (3 Assists)

Swansea and Wrexham Stats in Championship

Swansea
Swansea
Wrexham
Wrexham
29%
Wins
29%
24%
Draw
48%
48%
Losses
24%
2.43
Total goals per match
2.43
1.05
Goals scored per match
1.24
1.38
Goals conceded per match
1.19
48%
Over 2.5
33%
52%
Under 2.5
67%
57%
BTTS
62%
24%
Clean Sheet
29%

Swansea - Wrexham Key Points

  1. Seven of the last eight Wrexham games have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
  2. Only seven of Wrexham’s 21 league games this season have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
  3. Wrexham have the joint best away defensive record in the Championship but only two sides have scored less goals.
  4. Under 2.5 goals were scored in Swansea’s last two home league fixtures
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Our Swansea vs Wrexham Prediction

This is one of the games both sets of fans have been looking forward to since Wrexham won promotion to the Championship. It’s bound to be a heated affair with so much pride at stake but a game both sides really could do with winning.

Swansea are only four points above the bottom three, while Wrexham are just six away from the promotion play-offs. A tight game is likely and while Wrexham have such a good away defence, they struggle to score. Our Swansea City v Wrexham prediction is under 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Swansea vs Wrexham Prediction