Swansea vs Wrexham Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Steve Ashfield | in Championship Predictions
Wrexham travel to Swansea City for this much-anticipated Welsh derby. The home side are 19th in the Championship, five places and the same number of points behind their visitors. Time for our match prediction.
It’s been 22 years since these two clubs last played each other. Both Swansea and Wrexham have won six league games this season, but the Swans have been beaten ten times, compared to Wrexham’s five.
City had won their last two league games before being beaten 2-1 at Stoke on Saturday. That has left them just four points above the relegation zone. Home form has produced four league victories with the last two won to nil. They have lost four home league games this season.
Wrexham may be only 14th in the Championship but they are just six points adrift of the final promotion play-off position. Wrexham would already be in those positions but for drawing ten of their 21 league fixtures.
Their last league game was a 2-2 home draw with Watford. They led and trailed in that game and rescued a point with a 92nd minute equalizer. Only two away league games have been won by them. 14 of their league games have seen under 2.5 goals scored and we tip that stat to come up here.
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Swansea v Wrexham Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.25 | 3.25 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.42 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.17 | 3.42 | 3.32 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.4 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.18 | 3.25 | 3.35 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Swansea and Wrexham?
Our prediction for the Swansea vs Wrexham match is: under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/12/2025 between Swansea and Wrexham in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.18% for a win of Swansea against Wrexham with odds of 2.25 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Swansea vs Wrexham is 32.34% with odds of 3.42 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.49% chance ⭐ for a win of Wrexham vs Swansea with odds of 3.5 at Melbet.
Swansea - Wrexham Prediction and Best Odds:
| Swansea Wrexham Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea wins | 37.18% | 2.25 at Stake |
| Under 2.5 | 59.63% | 2 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 52.38% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Swansea | 13.97% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Swansea vs Wrexham Form
Swansea and Wrexham's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
71 | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | +4 |
|
11
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | -2 |
Swansea and Wrexham Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
5 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
10 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
26 Nov 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
26 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
31 Oct 2025 - Championship
28 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
5 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
Swansea against Wrexham Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Substitutes
A. Fisher
DefenderJ. Key
K. Casey
I. Samuels-Smith
MidfielderM. Yalcouye
E. Ji-sung
J. Fulton
A. Idah
L. Cullen
C. Burton
DefenderD. Scarr
C. Coady
MidfielderO. Rathbone
R. Barnett
L. O'Brien
M. James
S. Smith
N. Broadhead
Missing players
A. James
Most goals and assists
Swansea
Wrexham
Z. Vipotnik
(23 Goals)
J. Windass
(16 Goals)
J. Tymon
(7 Assists)
I. Kabore
(8 Assists)
Swansea - Wrexham Key Points
- Seven of the last eight Wrexham games have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
- Only seven of Wrexham’s 21 league games this season have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
- Wrexham have the joint best away defensive record in the Championship but only two sides have scored less goals.
- Under 2.5 goals were scored in Swansea’s last two home league fixtures
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Our Swansea vs Wrexham Prediction
This is one of the games both sets of fans have been looking forward to since Wrexham won promotion to the Championship. It’s bound to be a heated affair with so much pride at stake but a game both sides really could do with winning.
Swansea are only four points above the bottom three, while Wrexham are just six away from the promotion play-offs. A tight game is likely and while Wrexham have such a good away defence, they struggle to score. Our Swansea City v Wrexham prediction is under 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Swansea Wrexham
| Swansea vs Wrexham | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea wins | 2.35 | 2.25 | -4.3% |
| Draw | 3.2 | 3.42 | +6.9% |
| Wrexham wins | 3.1 | 3.5 | +12.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Swansea is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 42.6% and is now 44.4% (1.9%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
